Sunrise 6:46 AM   Sunset 8:01 PM Moonrise 2:46 AM   Moonset 2:28 PM

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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 257 Pm Edt Fri May 3 2024
Tonight - E winds 5 to 10 kt nearshore and E 10 to 15 kt offshore. Seas 0 to 1 foot. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. Sat - E se winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S se in the afternoon. NEar shore, gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers through the day. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore - .except E 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Sun - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. NEar shore, gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Sun night - E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore - .except E 10 to 15 kt well offshore. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Mon - E se winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts to around 20 kt near shore - .except E se 5 to 10 kt well offshore. Seas 0 to 1 foot near shore and 1 to 2 ft well offshore. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt near shore - .except E se 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt well offshore. NEar shore, gusts up to 20 kt in the evening. Seas 2 ft or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. A chance of showers in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Tue - SE winds around 10 kt becoming S se in the evening. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers. A slight chance of tstms in the afternoon. Tue night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Wed - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wed night - SE winds 5 to 10 kt near shore - . Except se 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt well offshore. Seas less than 2 ft. Bay and inland waters a light chop.

GMZ600 949 Am Cdt Fri May 3 2024
Synopsis - A light onshore flow will persist through the weekend and then increase slightly during the early part of next week as surface high pressure continues to ridge into the marine area from the east. Slightly higher winds are expected in the afternoon hours near the coast in association with an enhanced sea breeze circulation.

FXUS62 KMFL 031850 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL Issued by National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 250 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

A rather benign weather pattern remains in place across South Florida today with continued light to moderate easterly flow with surface high pressure to the east. Southwest Florida has the best opportunity for any isolated showers or weak convection with the sea breeze this afternoon. An upper level disturbance advancing towards and into the Florida panhandle tonight will open a small weakness in the upper level flow across the Florida peninsula from Saturday into Saturday night. This weak upper level disturbance combined with an increase in the moisture profile between 850 and 700 mb should induce some slightly greater PoPs during Saturday afternoon into the 20 to 40 percent range. With the continued moderate easterly flow, this activity will be most favored across the interior/western portions of South Florida. Expect for the afternoon highs to top out in the mid 80s to near 90 degrees. The overnight lows will trend in the low to mid 70s along the coast while interior locations dip into the mid to upper 60s.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

The weak upper level disturbance lingers through Sunday atop the Florida peninsula before becoming more diffuse. The 500 mb heights then increase into mid to late week as upper level ridging will build into the region from the west. Surface high pressure stays focused to the east in the Atlantic, maintaining the light to moderate east to east-southeasterly flow across the region. Like Saturday, Sunday will feature around 20 to 40 percent chance for showers and convection across the interior and western portions portions of South Florida. Early next week keeps some isolated opportunities but solely with any lift from the afternoon sea breeze. The PoPs then look to diminish even more into mid to late next week as the upper level ridge strengthens. The temperatures also respond as afternoon highs could reach the mid 90s across interior locations by Wednesday and Thursday of next week.



AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 107 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

VFR flight conditions are expected to primarily prevail through the TAF operational period at the local aerodromes. Kept VCSH at KAPF as some isolated showers and/or weak convection across portions of southwest Florida. Light to moderate east to east-southeasterly flow will continue. The only exception is KAPF for a time this afternoon where the flow becomes west-southwesterly thanks to the influence of any of the sea breeze and any isolated showers/weak convection in that region.

MARINE
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Besides occasional times of gusty easterly winds, anticipate for marine conditions to stay rather benign through the weekend and entering into early next week. Isolated to scattered rain showers and a few thunderstorms are possible each day, which could bring brief periods of rough seas and gusty winds. Seas will generally remain at 2 to 4 feet in the Atlantic waters and 2 feet or less across the Gulf waters. Winds are likely to peak in the 13-18 kts range out of the east and likely induce periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions.

BEACHES
Issued at 248 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

Breezy easterly flow will lead to an elevated risk for rip currents along the Atlantic beaches through the remainder of the today and this upcoming weekend. Highest rip current risk today will be maximized across the Palm Beach County beaches.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 74 84 74 84 / 20 20 10 30 West Kendall 71 85 72 86 / 20 20 10 30 Opa-Locka 73 86 73 86 / 20 20 10 30 Homestead 73 85 73 85 / 20 20 20 30 Fort Lauderdale 74 83 74 83 / 30 20 20 30 N Ft Lauderdale 74 84 74 84 / 30 30 10 30 Pembroke Pines 73 87 73 87 / 30 20 10 20 West Palm Beach 72 84 72 84 / 20 20 10 20 Boca Raton 73 84 74 85 / 40 20 10 30 Naples 71 88 71 89 / 20 40 10 30

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Saturday evening for FLZ168.

AM...None.
GM...None.

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Little Hickory Island
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Fri -- 03:47 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:11 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:15 AM EDT     1.85 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 04:17 PM EDT     1.03 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:10 PM EDT     2.10 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Little Hickory Island, Florida, Tide feet

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:13 AM EDT     -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:11 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:33 AM EDT     1.08 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 12:47 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:09 PM EDT     -0.71 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 03:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:29 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 08:10 PM EDT     0.72 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 11:36 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots

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