Monday, December9, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Naples Park, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:02AMSunset 5:36PM Monday December 9, 2019 4:45 AM EST (09:45 UTC) Moonrise 3:59PMMoonset 4:28AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 338 Am Est Mon Dec 9 2019
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of sprinkles in the afternoon.
Tonight..East winds 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of sprinkles.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..South southeast winds 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Wednesday night..East northeast winds 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
Thursday and Thursday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ600 Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds-945 Pm Cst Sun Dec 8 2019
Synopsis..A light to moderate easterly to southeasterly flow continues this evening before winds decrease and become more southerly to southwesterly tonight into Monday ahead of an approaching cold front. Areas of marine fog may restrict visibility over bays and sounds and adjacent near shore waters overnight. An increasing offshore flow will develop with frontal passage late Tuesday, persisting through early Thursday in its wake. A small craft advisory will likely be necessary by Tuesday night through at least Thursday morning, especially over the gulf waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples Park, FL
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location: 26.28, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 090833 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 333 AM EST Mon Dec 9 2019

Short Term. (Today-Tuesday night): Model solutions are in fair agreement regarding the eastward progression of a broad high pressure system over the west Atlantic, bringing its SW periphery closer to SoFlo. This will translate in veering winds to a more SE flow today. And while the atmosphere remains relatively stable, any onshore flow that develops this afternoon could generate brief showers, especially over the Atlantic metro areas where the best pool of moisture resides.

The southerly component of the wind regime will help in further warm up afternoon temperatures today with highs in the low to mid 80s, warmer near the Gulf coast.

For Tuesday . the mid level ridge ENE of the area will further migrate east as an amplifying trough and associated long frontal system will stretch across much of the SE and mid Atlantic states. The Florida peninsula will then remain in its warm sector. Model soundings suggests gradually increasing PWATs to around 1.5 inches as, although still there is no significant lifting mechanism for maybe a few afternoon and/or evening brief showers at best.

The air mass will become moist and warm, and with overall flow remaining weak to moderate, Tuesday afternoon could feel muggy and uncomfortable at times, especially over interior and west Coast areas. This will further push afternoon highs into warmer values, with low-mid 80s over the eastern half of SoFlo, and in the upper 80s for the west-interior and Gulf coast.

Long Term. Wednesday and Thursday .

As we get to mid-week an upper level trough will be moving across the eastern US with an attendant cold front approaching the region Wednesday slowly moving down the peninsula. Models have come into better agreement of this front not making it to South Florida stalling just north of the region. With a stalled boundary in the vicinity, and moisture continuing to be advected in across the area this will allow for increased rain chances with scattered showers across South Florida Wednesday and Thursday.

Friday into Next Weekend .

A mid-level short wave moving into the Gulf, with a surface low developing in the Gulf of Mexico along the stalled out surface boundary. This low will continue to allow moisture to be elevated across the area as it is picked up by an upper level trough digging down the eastern US into north/central Florida and ejected northeastward up the eastern seaboard. Scattered showers across the region will continue to be possible. However, with the proximity of the low and how far south the mid-upper level trough digs south may allow for enough upper level dynamic instability to support some thunderstorm potential Friday into Saturday. As of now best dynamics look to remain north of the region so have left out the mention of thunder for now but it may need to be added in subsequent forecast if dynamic upper level support gets close enough to South Florida.

As the surface low deepens as it moves up the eastern seaboard it will allow a cold front to develop to its south. Models have this front moving through the region Saturday night into Sunday. Showers will be possible ahead of and along the front. No real cooler air behind this front but some drier air does try to filter down the peninsula.

Temperatures throughout the long term will remain at or above normal throughout the period.

Marine. Winds turn more southeasterly today with possible breezy periods, along with seas to 3-5 feet. Locally higher seas are possible over the Gulf Stream. Similar pattern continues on Tuesday, before a weather system approaches the area by mid week. Deteriorating marine conditions during the second half of the work week will result in hazardous boating conditions as winds, waves and shower activity increase. A large northerly swell will affect the northern portions of the Atlantic waters for the Thursday-early Friday time frame.

Aviation. VFR expected to prevail during the next 24 hours at all terminals. Light ESE winds will increase to around 10kt after 14-15Z, except APF where sea breeze circulations will veer winds to the SW around 10kt in the afternoon

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 81 69 82 69 / 10 20 20 10 Fort Lauderdale 81 72 82 72 / 0 20 10 10 Miami 81 71 83 71 / 0 20 10 10 Naples 81 66 83 67 / 0 0 0 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 17/AR Aviation . 17/AR Short Term . 17/AR Long Term . 33/Kelly


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 10 mi112 min E 6 G 7 67°F 1019.9 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 10 mi58 min ENE 4.1 G 5.1
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 17 mi181 min E 2.9 62°F 1020 hPa62°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 26 mi58 min SE 2.9 G 4.1
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 49 mi106 min 71°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL9 mi53 minNE 310.00 miFair64°F62°F93%1019 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL18 mi53 minENE 310.00 miFair62°F59°F90%1019.2 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL21 mi53 minE 310.00 miFair63°F59°F87%1019.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE6NE6NE7E6E8NE7SE95W9W8SW7W4CalmE5SE7CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE4NE4NE3
1 day agoCalmCalmNE3NE4NE4E5E4CalmW6W6W7W9W6W3NW4CalmN3E3CalmNE6NE4NE6E6E6
2 days agoCalmNE4NE3NE5NE6NE53SE4CalmNW8W6W6W8NW4NW3NW3N3CalmN3CalmE3E3CalmNE3

Tide / Current Tables for Little Hickory Island, Florida
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Little Hickory Island
Click for Map
Mon -- 04:28 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:22 AM EST     -0.12 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:03 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:20 PM EST     1.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:59 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 04:29 PM EST     1.16 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:27 PM EST     2.34 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.91.510.50.1-0.1-0.10.10.50.91.21.51.61.51.41.31.21.21.31.61.92.22.32.3

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:15 AM EST     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 04:29 AM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 06:26 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:27 AM EST     1.03 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 02:12 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:53 PM EST     -0.29 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:59 PM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 05:22 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 08:22 PM EST     0.98 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:09 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.4-0.8-1.1-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.30.30.8110.90.60.40.1-0.2-0.3-0.10.30.710.90.60.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.