Sunday, February23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Naples Park, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:55AMSunset 6:25PM Sunday February 23, 2020 2:59 AM EST (07:59 UTC) Moonrise 7:11AMMoonset 6:35PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ656 Coastal Waters From Chokoloskee To Bonita Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From East Cape Sable To Chokoloskee Fl Out 20 Nm- 930 Pm Est Sat Feb 22 2020
.small craft should exercise caution...
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and northeast around 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Sunday..East northeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and east northeast 5 to 15 knots offshore. Seas less than 2 feet nearshore and 2 to 3 feet offshore. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night and Tuesday..South southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots nearshore and south southeast 10 to 15 knots offshore. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Chance of showers after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots nearshore and northwest 15 to 20 knots offshore. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
Thursday..North northwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet nearshore and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet offshore. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning.
GMZ600 Synopsis For Pascagoula Ms To Okaloosa Walton County Line Fl Out 60 Nm Including Major Area Bays And Sounds- 926 Pm Cst Sat Feb 22 2020
Synopsis..High pressure over the marine area early this evening will shift toward the southeastern states and western atlantic through Sunday night. Light easterly flow tonight will gradually become a light to moderate southeasterly flow Sunday into Sunday night. Moderate southerly flow will follow into Monday ahead of an approaching cold front. The front is expected to move through the region late Monday night into Tuesday morning, with an increasing northwesterly flow in the wake of the front expected through Thursday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples Park, FL
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location: 26.28, -81.8     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 230605 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 105 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

Aviation (06z TAFS).

VFR conditions will prevail across S Fl and all terminals throughout the period. Isolated SHRA across the Atlantic waters continue to advect across the east coast terminals, however, vis and cigs have remained VFR. Handled this with VCSH for east coast sites but brief MVFR cigs/vis are possible with the more robust SHRA. East coast SHRA should diminish this morning by 12Z. NE winds will become E across S Fl today.

Prev Discussion. /issued 838 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2020/

Update . High pressure will remain over the Western Atlantic waters tonight keeping an northeast wind flow over South Florida. This will allow for the isolated showers to continue over the Atlantic waters tonight working into the east coast metro areas before dissipating. Therefore, a slight chance of showers will continue over the east coast metro areas for tonight.

The northeast swells will slowly decrease from 6 to 10 feet this evening to 4 to 7 feet Sunday morning. This in turn will allow for the breakers along the beaches of Palm Beach County to slowly decrease from 8 to 10 feet this evening to 6 to 8 feet Wednesday morning, as the Atlantic seas slowly decrease from 10 to 12 feet this evening to 7 to 11 feet Wednesday morning. Therefore, the High Surf Advisory remains in effect for the beaches of Palm Beach County, High Risk of Rip Currents remains in effect for east coast beaches of South Florida, and the SCA remains in effect for the Atlantic waters.

Rest of the forecast looks good at this time and no other changes are planned.

Prev Discussion . /issued 338 PM EST Sat Feb 22 2020/

Short Term .

Remainder of Today through Tonight .

Pesky rain showers driving southwestward across the Atlantic and over the east coast earlier thanks to breezy NE winds of 10-20 mph, with locally higher gusts, will ease up as the afternoon progresses and high pressure begins to settle in and exert its influence over the region. Not much in the way of these rain showers as there is plenty of dry air aloft along with pretty stable mid- upper levels. With moisture somewhat depleting and the aforementioned high pressure slides east (relaxing the pressure gradient in the process), PoPs will decrease overnight as do winds.

Main weather story for the remainder of today will continue to be the beach/marine hazards. More on that in the Marine and Beach sections below.

Temperatures tomorrow morning look to be in the low-mid 60s across the east coast with low-mid 50s elsewhere.

Long Term .

Tomorrow through Friday .

An area of high pressure will dominate the weather pattern across the region through the rest of the weekend and into early next week. A slight chance of showers cannot be ruled out on Sunday morning as well as Monday morning mainly across the Atlantic waters and the east coast as there will be enough low level moisture remaining in place. Winds will start to shift around to a more southeasterly direction and this will allow for moderating temperatures for the rest of the weekend and into early next week. High temperatures on Sunday will range from the mid 70s across the east coast to around 80 across the southwestern interior sections.

Both of the GFS and the ECMWF show an area of low pressure moving into the Ohio Valley Monday night into Tuesday. The cold front associated with this system will extend into the southeastern portion of the country during this time frame. Out ahead of this cold front, the wind flow across South Florida will shift to a more south to southwesterly direction Tuesday into Wednesday. This will allow for temperatures to warm into the lower to mid 80s across the east coast to the upper 80s across the southwestern interior during this time frame. There will be a chance of showers Tuesday night into Wednesday as the cold front approaches and moves through the region. Some thunderstorm activity is possible out ahead of this front as well depending on where the best dynamics and instability lines up. This will continued to be monitored as the week progresses.

Behind the front, a much colder air mass will move into South Florida as temperatures on Thursday may struggle to reach into the mid 60s to lower 70s. Overnight low temperatures by the end of the week could drop into the 40s across a good portion of the region with only the immediate Atlantic coastline possibly staying in the 50s.

Marine .

Breezy northeasterly winds continue across the waters of South Florida behind a cold front that moved through the region yesterday. With that said, a Small Craft Advisory is in effect for all Atlantic waters through tomorrow morning and for Biscayne Bay through this evening.

Hazardous seas will continue through the remainder of the weekend due to the strong northeasterly winds and swell. The Atlantic waters could see seas of 13 to 16 feet today before subsiding on Sunday. Conditions should slowly begin to improve by early next week, first in the Gulf and then in the Atlantic.

Beach Forecast .

Gusty winds and large swell will result in hazardous beach conditions, mostly for the Atlantic coast. Currently, there is a High Risk of Rip Currents for all Atlantic beaches with a High Surf Advisory in effect for coastal Palm Beach.

Another concern is the potential for coastal flooding with high tides during the new moon this weekend. Minor coastal impacts for at least this weekend will exist given the moon phase, northeasterly to easterly winds, persistent swell, and high seas. All of these factors will contribute to the potential for higher-than-normal tides for the east coast.

Will continue to monitor the latest forecast models to see if a coastal flood advisory will be needed for some or all of the coastal areas this weekend. The last few high tide observations are running almost half a foot above predicted levels.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 74 63 76 67 / 10 0 20 0 Fort Lauderdale 75 66 77 69 / 20 0 0 0 Miami 75 64 77 68 / 20 0 0 0 Naples 79 60 80 66 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk through this evening for FLZ168-172-173.

High Surf Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for FLZ168.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST this morning for AMZ650-651- 670-671.

GM . None.

Aviation . 18/Weinman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 10 mi66 min NE 6 G 11 60°F 71°F1022.9 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 17 mi75 min E 5.1 59°F 1023 hPa56°F
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 26 mi108 min NE 6 G 12 60°F 70°F1023.2 hPa
WPLF1 - Watson Place, FL 49 mi120 min 70°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL9 mi67 minNE 810.00 miFair60°F55°F86%1022 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL18 mi67 minNE 1110.00 miFair57°F53°F87%1022.3 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL21 mi67 minENE 710.00 miFair58°F53°F84%1022.7 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KAPF

Wind History from APF (wind in knots)
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2 days agoSE4E4E5E4E3NE4SE5Calm6SW8SW13S8SW6W8W6SW6W4W5W5NW8NW8NW5W6W6

Tide / Current Tables for Little Hickory Island, Florida
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Little Hickory Island
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:03 AM EST     2.18 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:56 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:10 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:26 AM EST     -0.46 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 10:33 AM EST     New Moon
Sun -- 02:15 PM EST     1.34 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:24 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:35 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 06:39 PM EST     0.73 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.11.81.40.80.3-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.20.20.611.21.31.31.10.90.80.70.91.21.51.9

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:56 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:16 AM EST     -1.52 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:57 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:11 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:26 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:33 AM EST     New Moon
Sun -- 11:20 AM EST     1.13 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 03:48 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:52 PM EST     -0.52 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:25 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:36 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 07:40 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:28 PM EST     1.09 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.4-0-0.5-0.9-1.3-1.5-1.4-1-0.30.40.91.11.10.90.60.3-0.1-0.4-0.5-0.30.20.71.11

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.