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AMZ075 Northern Bahamas From 24n To 27n- 855 Am Est Wed Nov 29 2023
Today..NE winds 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Fri..E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Fri night..E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat..E to se winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
Sun..SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E swell.
Sun night..SE to S winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.

AMZ005
No data

FXUS62 KMFL 300104 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 804 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

New AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 715 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

Broad high pressure remains in firm control of the region with a sfc ridge slowly migrating eastward across the area. This will allow for winds to gradually veer to the ENE through Thursday afternoon. Generally dry conditions continue tonight with overnight lows in the low-mid 50s around the Lake, and mid-upper 60s near the coasts.

No significant changes are required for the evening update as current forecast remains on track.

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Thursday)
Issued at 1230 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

Drier air and north to northeasterly winds will prevail today which will keep benign and partly sunny conditions across the area through the rest of the day. As a ridge of high pressure at the surface advects eastward, winds will begin to shift more easterly early Thursday morning into the afternoon hours. With a more easterly wind flow, we can expect lower level moisture to slowly increase, and there could be a couple isolated showers embedded in the easterly flow through the day on Thursday, although the vast majority of the area will remain completely dry.

Temperatures this evening will not be quite as cool as the past few nights, although we will still remain in the 50s to 60s. For northern interior areas near the lake, mid to low 50s can be expected. For coastal areas, lower to mid 60s is more likely this evening. Highs on Thursday will be in the mid to upper 70s area- wide.

LONG TERM
(Thursday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 226 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

A mid level ridge centered over the Carribean Sea will gradually push northward during the end of the week and into the upcoming weekend. At the surface, high pressure will continue push further into the western Atlantic as a cold front pushes through the Southeastern portion of the country as well as Northern and Central Florida. Many areas will remain dry across South Florida on Friday and Saturday, however, winds will gradually shift and become more southeasterly through the first half of the weekend, before becoming south southwesterly on Sunday. This will allow for moisture advection to take place during this time frame along with a moderating trend in temperatures. With just enough lower level moisture in place, an isolated shower cannot be ruled out over the east coast on Saturday. High temperatures will rise into the lower to mid 80s along the east coast Friday and through the weekend to the upper 80s across interior portions of Southwest Florida.

The latest global and ensemble guidance is starting to show signs of agreement for the second half of the weekend and into early next week with bringing a weakening cold front through South Florida later on Monday or Monday night. This front will not have a lot of moisture to work with, however, it could spark off some isolated shower activity later on Sunday and during the day on Monday out ahead of it. As it passes through, winds will shift to the west northwest filtering in a cooler and drier air mass towards the middle of the week. Uncertainty in timing and exact details still remain high as this is towards the end of the forecast period. If the movement of this frontal boundary trends towards the slower side of things, the warmer temperatures will hang on longer into the week. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 710 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

VFR will continue at all terminals during the next 24 hours.
Dry conditions are expected to continue, although a quick sprinkle is possible after 15Z. Light winds will gradually veer to a more NNE direction through Thursday morning, and to the ENE after 18Z in the 10-12kt range.

MARINE
Issued at 1230 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

A moderate northerly wind flow continues on Wednesday which will shift to an easterly direction on Thursday and eventually southeasterly by Friday. Seas of 3-4ft are expected in the Atlantic for the next couple days and 2-3ft in the Gulf.

BEACHES
Issued at 1230 PM EST Wed Nov 29 2023

A moderate risk of rip currents remains in place through Wednesday for the Atlantic beaches, with a high risk likely by the end of the week as the wind flow becomes more easterly.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 65 79 71 83 / 0 0 0 10 West Kendall 60 80 67 84 / 0 0 0 10 Opa-Locka 63 80 70 84 / 0 0 0 10 Homestead 64 79 70 83 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 65 79 71 83 / 10 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 65 79 71 83 / 10 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 63 79 69 84 / 0 0 0 10 West Palm Beach 63 79 69 83 / 10 10 0 10 Boca Raton 65 79 71 83 / 10 0 0 10 Naples 57 81 64 84 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:47 AM EST     0.61 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:53 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:16 AM EST     3.80 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:46 PM EST     0.75 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:15 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:14 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:35 PM EST     3.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:51 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:53 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:20 AM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:51 PM EST     0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:15 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:14 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:39 PM EST     2.34 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas (2), Tide feet

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