Sunrise 6:44 AM   Sunset 7:42 PM Moonrise 3:58 PM   Moonset 3:55 AM

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AMZ075 Northern Bahamas From 24n To 27n- 1026 Am Edt Tue Mar 26 2024
Today - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.Tonight - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Wed - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft atlc exposures, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Wed night - E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft atlc exposures, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere. Thu - S to sw winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Thu night - NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Fri - N to ne winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Fri night - NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat - NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Sat night - E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

FXUS62 KMFL 192308 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 708 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION

UPDATE
Issued at 705 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

No changes were made to the overnight forecast with the evening update, and another quiet night is expected over SFL with dry conditions and seasonable overnight lows.

SHORT TERM
(This afternoon through Saturday)
Issued at 1127 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

With the assistance of broad upper level ridging and a surface high, conditions will remain dry and benign as we wrap up the week and move into the weekend. As the the wind flow veers to a more SE then SW direction, it will allow for a gradual increase in tropical moisture and warm air advection. Therefore, the warming trend will continue today and tomorrow afternoon. The Atlantic and Gulf coast breezes will keep the immediate coastal afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s. However, the interior temperatures, especially in SW FL, there is potential to rise into the low 90s. With the influence of the RH values and heat indices, it will feel a few degrees warmer across portions of the region. Overnight lows will fall into the 60s in a majority of South FL, with the coast keeping to the low 70s.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 214 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Models show a weakening of the persisting ridging north of the area as a strong trough/low storm complex migrates across the E CONUS to start the long term. This will bring back rain chances for SoFlo for the Mon/Tue timeframe as the ridge erodes into the western Atlantic and allows for a weakening frontal boundary to push south into central Florida and eventually SoFlo.

Latest solutions keep the best dynamic support well north of the area, with the boundary reaching the area basically as a frontolytic feature. With no significant upper-level support, expect mainly showers accompanying this FROPA, with southerly winds enhancing moisture advection from the Caribbean. There will be a slight chance of thunderstorms, but mainly for the Lake region. Models still show the decaying front stalling out somewhere over the region and lingering through mid week, and keeping very low chances of showers around the Atlantic coast each day.

The warm moisture advection will result in afternoon temperatures reaching the mid-upper 80s near the coasts, and lower 90s across interior areas.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 705 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. SErly winds will trend light and variable overnight, before becoming re- established around 10kts by Saturday afternoon. Winds at KAPF will be W-SW Saturday afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 1127 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

Gentle southeasterly winds will prevail across all local waters to wrap up the week as a surface high over the western Atlantic continues to shift eastward. Seas will generally remain 2 feet or less as we move into the weekend.

BEACHES
Issued at 1127 AM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

A moderate rip current threat is possible for the Palm Beach county beaches through the end of the week into the weekend.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 71 86 72 86 / 0 0 0 10 West Kendall 67 88 68 88 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 70 89 71 89 / 0 0 0 10 Homestead 68 86 70 86 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 71 85 71 86 / 0 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 71 87 72 86 / 0 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 71 90 71 89 / 0 0 0 10 West Palm Beach 68 88 70 88 / 0 0 0 10 Boca Raton 69 88 71 88 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 69 86 71 85 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

Pelican Harbour
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:03 AM EDT     3.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:14 PM EDT     1.15 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:05 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:24 PM EDT     3.23 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:33 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

Nassau
Click for Map
Fri -- 04:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:44 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:57 AM EDT     0.78 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:08 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:13 PM EDT     2.93 feet High Tide
Fri -- 07:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Nassau, New Providence Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

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