Sunrise 6:31 AM   Sunset 8:02 PM Moonrise 2:03 PM   Moonset 2:07 AM

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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Tonight - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms in the evening. Sat - S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S sw 1 foot at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the afternoon. Sat night - S sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S 2 ft at 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms. Sun - S sw winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Wave detail: S sw 1 foot at 3 seconds and ne 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers with a chance of tstms. Sun night - S winds 5 to 10 kt becoming sw in the morning. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wave detail: S 1 foot at 3 seconds and N 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Mon - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Wave detail: W sw 2 ft at 4 seconds and N ne 1 foot at 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Mon night - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely with a chance of tstms. Tue - N ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters light chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. Showers likely. A chance of tstms in the afternoon. Tue night - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely in the evening. A slight chance of tstms through the night. A chance of showers after midnight. Wed - E ne winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms. Wed night - E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Intracoastal waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 401 Pm Edt Fri May 17 2024
Synopsis -
a gentle to moderate southwesterly to southerly wind flow will prevail across the local waters this afternoon and through the weekend as a slow-moving low-pressure system tracks across the southeast us. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible over the local waters each day through the weekend.
gulf stream hazards: none.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 16, 2024 at 12 utc - .
1 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 3 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KMFL 172320 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 720 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1231 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

A broad mid-level ridge will build over the Florida Peninsula today and hang around through Saturday, helping to stabilize the atmosphere and lead to mostly dry weather in the short term period.
However, isolated shower and thunderstorm activity will be possible for coastal locations mainly on the Atlantic side as the sea breeze boundary pushes inland in the afternoon and early evening hours today and tomorrow. Additionally, while the broad high pressure and presence of a dry layer in the mid-levels should inhibit storm growth, there will remain the chance for a couple of stronger storms capable of producing damaging wind gusts and small hail along the sea breeze.

Since the weather will be a bit more stable over the next few days, the main headline will be the abnormally hot conditions for this time of year. The setup responsible for sparking this heat wave is both the presence of a shortwave trough over the Gulf states that will be advecting through the Southeast states and the high pressure over the Florida Peninsula. This pattern produces a warm and moist south-southwest flow over the region while sinking air under the high pressure also leads to warming, and this combination is establishing the heat wave. In addition, high pressure typically leads to less cloud cover, which would allow for extra diurnal surface heating.

With all that said, heat indices today are expected to range around 103-107F and thus a Heat Advisory is in place for only Miami-Dade today with heat indices expected to exceed 105F for multiple hours.
General high temperatures for today are expected in the low to mid 90s. For Saturday, temperatures are expected to rise further due to reasons stated above into the mid to upper 90s with heat indices up to 107-100F, so another Heat Advisory will be possible for tomorrow if trends continue and could spread to multiple counties. Overall, whether advisories or warnings are issued or not, anyone sensitive to heat should plan to avoid extended time outside or take cooling breaks and stay hydrated if required to be outside.

LONG TERM
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 222 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Increased rain chances return for Sunday and early next week as an upper level short wave approaches and then crosses the area, and a surface front very slowly crosses the state of Florida Sunday and Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected especially during the afternoon and early evening hours, with locally heavy rain possibly leading to a few instances of urban flooding across the metro. A few storms may be on the strong to severe side, with damaging wind gusts from localized downbursts being the main threat.

Upper levels ridging will try to build in early to mid next week, however the mid and upper level trough will linger just to the east of the peninsula. While PoPs decrease somewhat, daily chances of afternoon showers/storms will remain in the forecast each day, primarily driven by diurnal sea-breeze convection in the afternoon and early evening hours.

Temperatures will remain above normal through the middle of next week with highs in the low to mid 90s through Monday. As the flow becomes more easterly the east coast metro will get a reprieve of a few degrees towards the middle of next week with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s, while middle 90s will continue over interior and SW FL. Overnight lows will remain very warm in the 70s to around 80 through Monday and then lows will retreat towards normal values through the middle of next week.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 711 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

VFR will prevail at all TAF sites through the 00Z TAF period.
Winds will become light and variable by 03Z with benign conditions expected overnight. Tomorrow, winds will shift to the S/SE and become breezy in the afternoon with the potential for isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Activity is most likely to impact the eastern TAF sites beginning 16-18Z as the sea breeze kicks in.

MARINE
Issued at 1231 PM EDT Fri May 17 2024

Mainly benign conditions today and over the weekend with light to moderate southwesterly to southerly flow. There will be some scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly over the Atlantic waters today and tomorrow, which could create locally chaotic seas at times and gusty winds.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 81 94 80 93 / 0 30 10 60 West Kendall 77 97 78 95 / 0 20 10 50 Opa-Locka 79 96 80 94 / 0 30 10 60 Homestead 79 94 80 93 / 0 20 10 50 Fort Lauderdale 80 92 80 91 / 0 30 20 70 N Ft Lauderdale 79 93 80 92 / 10 30 20 70 Pembroke Pines 80 97 80 96 / 0 30 10 70 West Palm Beach 76 94 77 91 / 10 40 20 80 Boca Raton 78 94 78 93 / 10 40 20 70 Naples 79 92 80 91 / 0 10 20 60

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.

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Hillsboro Beach
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Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:00 AM EDT     2.19 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:33 AM EDT     0.41 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 05:35 PM EDT     2.15 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 11:54 PM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hillsboro Beach, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet

Yamato
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Fri -- 12:21 AM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:18 AM EDT     2.16 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:32 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:54 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:53 PM EDT     2.13 feet High Tide
Fri -- 08:01 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Yamato, ICWW, Florida, Tide feet

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