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Marine Weather and Tides Estero, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports. 6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

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Sunrise 7:06AM

Sunset 5:38PM

Monday December 16, 2019 3:31 AM EST (08:31 UTC)

Moonrise 10:18PM

Moonset 11:02AM

Illumination 79%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Estero, FL

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Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 160812 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 312 AM EST Mon Dec 16 2019

DISCUSSION. Mid level ridging across FL and much of the Gulf of Mexico slides east out over the Atlantic by late Tue. This is in response to a long wave trough initially from Nunavut Territory, Canada to the central high plains that shifts southeastward . stretching from Ontario Province, Canada to the southern plains on Tue. At the surface - eastward tracking high pressure in the Atlantic and ridging back over FL to the Gulf continues into Tue then gives way to a cold front . accompanying the mid level trough . moves into the Gulf and reaches from the Florida Big Bend to the Yucatan peninsula late Tue.

Today continues with stable and dry conditions as southeast 1000 to 700 mb flow becomes south-southeast. The flow continue to shift with southerly tonight resulting in increasing moisture. Not enough for any rainfall but enough for late night-early morning fog. On Tue the flow becomes more southerly to southwesterly as the moisture continues to increase . with model PWAT values in the 1.6 to 1.9 inch range for the afternoon. This moisture along with the approaching mid level trough and front will support some isolated showers moving into the Nature Coast in the morning and spreading south across the rest of the area late morning and afternoon with showers and isolated thunderstorms.

For Wed-Sun: The mid level trough and cold front moves through early Wed with showers and thunderstorms then exits the area late Wed . taking the rain chances with it. Deep layer ridging builds over the western/central Gulf region Thu and moves across the area Fri with dry and stable conditions . keeping the forecast rain free. Temperatures begin to drop in the wake of the front and will be significantly cooler for a couple of days. During the weekend the deep ridging departs as a deep low forms in the Gulf region and increases moisture across the area . providing high rain chances. Model discrepancy continues . resulting in some uncertainty for the last couple of days of the forecast. The ECMWF is slower and more robust than the GFS.

AVIATION. 16/06Z. VFR conditions prevail as SKC gives way to FEW-SCT. Light easterly/VRBL winds become SE . with SSW at northern coastal terminals . at no more than 11kt.

MARINE. High pressure moving across the waters will slowly veer winds from southeast to southwest by early Tue at 15 knots or less. These winds will advect some moist air across cooler Gulf waters with patchy to areas of sea fog tonight into early Tue . generally north of Tarpon Springs. An approaching front will supply showers and some thunderstorms Tue afternoon through Wed and shift winds to northerly at up to 20 to 25 knots. High pressure builds in and moves east mid to late week with winds veering and diminishing.

FIRE WEATHER. Slightly drier air works in mid to late week but cooler temperatures will help keep minimum RH values above critical levels.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 81 68 80 56 / 0 0 50 60 FMY 85 70 84 64 / 0 10 30 60 GIF 83 67 83 58 / 0 0 60 60 SRQ 82 67 81 58 / 0 0 60 60 BKV 83 62 82 52 / 0 10 50 60 SPG 80 69 79 58 / 0 0 50 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 09/Rude DECISION SUPPORT . 42/Norman

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL	3 mi	98 min	E 5.1 G 8	68°F			1020.7 hPa
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL	17 mi	50 min	E 4.1 G 5.1	65°F	73°F		1019.8 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL	19 mi	50 min	NE 4.1 G 5.1	66°F	72°F		1019.7 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL	25 mi	107 min	ESE 4.1	63°F			1021 hPa	63°F

Wind History for Naples, FL

(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help

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4 AM

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Last 24hr

NE4

NE5

NE8

NE7 G11

NE4

NE4 G7

NE4 G8

NE6 G11

E7 G12

E6 G9

E4 G8

SE6 G12

E5 G9

SW6

W3

W2

N4

E3

NE2

E2

NE3

NE3

E3

NE3

1 day ago

S7

S9

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W12 G15

W8

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W10

NW14

NW14

NW13 G16

NW13

NW11 G14

N12

N11 G14

NE5

E2

NE3

NE3

NE4

2 days ago

NE4

NE4

E4

E3

E3

SE2 G7

S5

S4

S7

S6

S5

S3

S4

SE3

SE6

S4 G11

S7 G14

S9 G15

S6

S7

S7

S8

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL	10 mi	39 min	ENE 5	10.00 mi	Fair	62°F	60°F	93%	1019.8 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL	13 mi	39 min	E 3	10.00 mi	Fair	64°F	61°F	90%	1020.1 hPa
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL	18 mi	39 min	ENE 5	10.00 mi	Fair	64°F	61°F	90%	1019.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRSW

Wind History from RSW (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

Calm

Calm

NE3

NE3

NE5

NE8

E9

NE6

E12

E8

E8

E9

SE9

E6

NE5

E5

E6

E6

E6

E9

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E4

E5

1 day ago

S7

SW11

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SW9

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SW13

W7

W11

W8 G17

W11

W12 G19

W12 G16

NW9 G16

NW9

NW6

NW6

N3

Calm

N3

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

Calm

2 days ago

Calm

NE3

E5

Calm

Calm

E3

E3

Calm

S8

S7

SW8

SW9

SW8

SW6

S6

S8

S8

S10

NW4

SW8

S6

S5

S6

SW7

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Tide / Current Tables for Coconut Point, Florida

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Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (3,6,7,8)

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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL

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Gulf Stream Current

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