Saturday, August17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Estero, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 8:03PM Saturday August 17, 2019 1:46 PM EDT (17:46 UTC) Moonrise 8:38PMMoonset 7:42AM Illumination 95% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 951 Am Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
This afternoon..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated Thunderstorms early in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming west around 5 knots late in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms early in the morning, then isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..North winds around 10 knots then becoming east in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Monday..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered showers in the evening. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 951 Am Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis.. Tightened pressure gradient in ne gulf this morning between a stalled front and high pressure ridge axis moving northward from the S gulf to keep sw scec winds and choppy seas into this afternoon. High pressure weakens and holds over the region Sunday into mid next week with lighter winds and seas. Continue to expect summertime showers and Thunderstorms to bring locally higher winds and seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Estero, FL
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location: 26.4, -81.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 171346
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
946 am edt Sat aug 17 2019

Update
Scattered thunderstorms and rainshowers continue to move in from the
gulf coast waters this morning. Interaction between high pressure
ridging over southern florida and troughing over the east coast
is keeping a southwest wind flow over the region resulting in a
moisture rich environment. The 12z morning sounding showed a
reflection of this with 2.18 inches pwat and southwest winds
through 20k feet. Latest hrrr guidance keeps rain chances high
with 50-80% pops expected across the region today with the highest
chances north of tampa bay. Based on latest surface observations
and satellite imagery, the forecast looks good for now with no
major changes needed.

Aviation
We continue to remain in a very moist and unstable southwest flow
through the day. Shra with embedded tsra can be expected through the
forecast period with southwest winds around 5-10 knots. The highest
rain storm chances will be from ksrq northward with brief periods of
MVFR ifr conditions possible through this afternoon, so will hold
vcts through 00z and will closely monitor radar for needed tempo
changes through the day.

Marine
Tightened pressure gradient in NE gulf this morning between a stalled
front and high pressure ridge axis moving northward from the s
gulf to keep SW scec winds and choppy seas into this afternoon.

High pressure weakens and holds over the region Sunday into mid
next week with lighter winds and seas. Continue to expect
summertime showers and thunderstorms to bring locally higher winds
and seas.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 88 75 90 76 70 40 60 20
fmy 90 75 91 75 50 10 50 20
gif 89 74 91 74 60 20 70 40
srq 88 75 91 75 60 30 50 20
bkv 87 73 91 73 80 40 60 30
spg 88 75 90 76 70 40 50 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... Flood watch until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal citrus-
coastal hernando-coastal levy-coastal pasco-inland citrus-
inland hernando-inland levy-inland pasco-sumter.

Coastal flood advisory until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal
citrus-coastal levy.

High rip current risk until 8 pm edt this evening for coastal
charlotte-coastal hillsborough-coastal lee-coastal manatee-
coastal sarasota-pinellas.

Gulf waters... None.

Update aviation marine... 74 wynn
upper air... 97 flannery
decision support... 57 mcmichael


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 3 mi112 min SSW 8 G 9.9 87°F 1019.7 hPa
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 17 mi46 min WSW 6 G 9.9 87°F 83°F1018.6 hPa (+0.3)
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 19 mi46 min 89°F 87°F1018.8 hPa (+0.3)
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 25 mi61 min S 6 91°F 1019 hPa80°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL10 mi53 minWSW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds89°F75°F63%1018.6 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL13 mi53 minSW 11 G 1610.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F75°F65%1018.8 hPa
Naples, Naples Municipal Airport, FL18 mi53 minSW 610.00 miFair91°F75°F61%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KRSW

Wind History from RSW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8W7W19
G26
NW8W4W4CalmSE3SE3CalmCalmSE3SE4SE4CalmCalmSE5S7S7SE76S5SW9SW11
1 day agoSW12W14
G22
SW8SW8CalmN9
G19
NE6SE4SE3S5S9S9S5SE3CalmCalmSE3SE5S10S8CalmW3SW7S10
2 days agoS5CalmS8S4SW6SW4S7S5S5CalmS3CalmCalmCalmCalmSE3E3E4CalmS4S6S5SW6SW9

Tide / Current Tables for Coconut Point, Florida
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Coconut Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:48 AM EDT     1.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 08:45 AM EDT     1.27 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:42 PM EDT     2.94 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:59 PM EDT     0.43 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.91.31.71.921.91.71.51.31.31.41.82.22.62.92.92.82.41.91.40.90.60.40.6

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:47 AM EDT     1.05 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 05:27 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:38 AM EDT     -0.40 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:17 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 12:16 PM EDT     1.21 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 03:15 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:40 PM EDT     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.910.90.60.40.1-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.10.40.91.21.10.70.1-0.4-0.8-1.1-1.3-1.3-1.1-0.50.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.