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AMZ075 Northern Bahamas From 24n To 27n- 406 Am Est Tue Nov 28 2023
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft atlc exposures, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
Tonight..N to ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft atlc exposures, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
Wed..N to ne winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft atlc exposures, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft atlc exposures, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
Thu..NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat..E to se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat night..E to se winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.

FXUS62 KMFL 281716 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 1216 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

New SHORT TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, BEACHES

SHORT TERM
(Rest of today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1212 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

Northerly flow associated with surface high pressure over the Deep South continues to bring in refreshing cooler air to South FL. An upper level trough moving across the eastern US today will result in mid and high clouds moving across the area through tonight, but then drier mid/upper levels on Wednesday will result in a mostly sunny day tomorrow. Tonight will be a bit tricky with the temp forecast due to the mid/upper clouds, but still went on the lower end of guidance especially over interior SW FL where there is a higher confidence of clearing in the pre-dawn hours. Overnight lows will range from the low to mid 40s over interior SW FL, to around 60 over SE FL. The cooler air will remain in place for at least one more day on Wednesday, with below normal afternoon high temps in the 70s.

LONG TERM
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 147 AM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

South Florida will remain in the dry and cooler air mass through Thursday, with strong surface high pressure over the SE US resulting in northerly flow and minimized rain chances. The below normal temperatures will continue through Wednesday night with overnight lows in the 50s to low 60s. By the latter half of the week, the high pressure will start to weaken and shift north, with winds over South Florida gradually veering from northerly on Thursday morning to southeasterly by Friday afternoon. This will warm temperatures by a few degrees on Thursday, and several more on Friday, with highs reaching back into the mid 80s.

Moving into the weekend, a mid-level ridge builds over the Caribbean and South Florida Peninsula. East-southeasterly flow will continue at the surface, which will extend the above normal temperature trend, and support an uptick in moisture, with an occasional opportunity for rain. While still days out, overall long term guidance has been in supportive of spotty, light showers along the far east coast and Atlantic waters. With the SE flow, and PWATS approaching 2.0", the current NBM forecast may be on the lighter side; thus, as confidence grows, a chance for rainfall has the potential to increase with afternoon showers not out of the question. The high temperatures over the weekend will rise into the mid to upper 80s, with overnight lows in the upper 60s to mid 70s.
Heat indices have the potential to reach the low to mid 90s, especially across the SW portion of the region.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

VFR through the 18Z TAF periods. N/NW winds around 10 kts except for APF for winds are N/NE. Mid and high clouds will hang around until early Wednesday morning. Winds by Wednesday afternoon switch to N/NE across the east coast metro.

MARINE
Issued at 1212 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

Moderate to fresh northerly breeze continues across the local waters with high pressure in control. Brief SCA conditions this evening for the Atlantic waters with winds around 20 kts. Atlantic seas 4-6 ft today subsiding to 3-4 ft on Wednesday. Gulf seas 2-4 ft today subsiding to 2-3 ft on Wednesday.

BEACHES
Issued at 1212 PM EST Tue Nov 28 2023

A moderate risk of rip currents remains in place through Wednesday for the Atlantic beaches, with a high risk likely by the end of the week as the wind flow becomes more easterly.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 60 76 64 79 / 10 10 0 0 West Kendall 57 77 59 80 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 60 76 63 80 / 10 10 0 0 Homestead 59 76 64 80 / 10 10 0 0 Fort Lauderdale 59 76 65 79 / 10 10 0 0 N Ft Lauderdale 58 76 64 79 / 10 10 0 0 Pembroke Pines 59 76 62 80 / 10 10 0 0 West Palm Beach 54 75 62 78 / 10 10 0 0 Boca Raton 56 76 64 79 / 10 10 0 0 Naples 52 74 55 80 / 10 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for AMZ650-651- 670-671.

GM...None.

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Pelican Harbour
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Tue -- 02:03 AM EST     0.52 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:36 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:53 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 08:32 AM EST     3.91 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:02 PM EST     0.64 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:15 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:18 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:50 PM EST     3.13 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Pelican Harbour, Abaco Island, Bahamas, Tide feet

Eleuthera Island (west coast)
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:05 AM EST     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:31 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:48 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 10:26 AM EST     3.80 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:06 PM EST     0.72 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:14 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:19 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 10:44 PM EST     3.03 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Eleuthera Island (west coast), Bahamas, Tide feet

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