Sunday, August18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Delray Beach, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 7:55PM Sunday August 18, 2019 2:58 AM EDT (06:58 UTC) Moonrise 9:03PMMoonset 8:25AM Illumination 93% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 920 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Rest of tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 4 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Sunday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 3 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the day. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Monday night and Tuesday..East southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers. Chance of Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers through the night.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers in the evening. Slight chance of Thunderstorms through the night. Chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 920 Pm Edt Sat Aug 17 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure will build northward across the region this weekend into early next week bringing prevailing southeast winds. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible across the local waters each day. Winds and waves could be locally higher in an around any shower or Thunderstorm.
Gulf stream hazards..Lightning, gusty winds, and waterspouts are possible with Thunderstorms over the gulf stream. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of aug 17, 2019 at 1200 utc... 5 nautical miles southeast of fowey rocks. 9 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 8 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Delray Beach, FL
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location: 26.45, -80.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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Fxus62 kmfl 180523
afdmfl
area forecast discussion
national weather service miami fl
123 am edt Sun aug 18 2019

Aviation
Vfr conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. Light
and variable winds for the rest of the night will increase out of
the southeast to 10 to 15 knots by Sunday afternoon. At kapf,
winds will shift around to the southwest in the afternoon as a
gulf coast sea breeze moves inland. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are possible across the interior and west coast
sections. Chances are too low for tafs for east coast terminals.

Prev discussion issued 918 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019
update...

convection continues to trend down this evening with some remnant
cells over the everglades making up the last convection for now.

The convection over cuba today was more limited today which means
that there should be a lack of an outflow to get as much
convection going over the waters tonight. Tweaked the forecast a
bit to kept some remnant rain chances over the everglades over the
next few hours. Updated zones have been transmitted. Have a great
Saturday night!
prev discussion... Issued 755 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019
aviation...

primarilyVFR conditions are expected through the period. Another
round of showers and thunderstorms are expected across the area
tomorrow, but the best coverage should shift more towards the
interior and west coast. Therefore the east coast TAF sites have
been left dry for now, although an isolated shower or storm cannot
be ruled out along the seabreeze.

Prev discussion... Issued 404 pm edt Sat aug 17 2019
convective focus shifting to SW florida this week...

discussion...

this afternoon and evening: we saw a peak in convective activity
over the last few hours with things generally winding down as
activity pushes northward along the southerly flow. Boundaries
will provide the focus for any remaining convection, particularly
as the afternoon winds down into the evening.

Overnight: tonight should be drier than last night with a
noticeable lack of convection over cuba this afternoon to fuel an
outflow boundary that could initiate convection over the waters
again tonight. Slightly drier air will also help cut off the
amount of convection but the warm, rich surface moisture over the
atlantic and gulf waters will provide an environment where shallow
convection could definitely persist overnight and any interactions
by that convection with boundaries could lead to some strong
thunderstorms. For the forecast, most high resolution guidance was
fairly dry so adjustments were made for the gridded forecast to
illustrate that low end rain and thunderstorm chances focused over
the waters tonight.

Sunday: slightly drier air advecting into the area from the east
on Sunday will help to cap convective coverage but convection
should still be able to get going with the sea breezes. The
easterly flow regime will favor the convective focus over the
interior and west coast. Morning showers becoming early afternoon
thunderstorms along the sea breezes near the coasts are in the
forecast with the majority of the rain chances over southwest
florida, particularly inland portions along the state road 29
corridor, on Sunday afternoon. Temperatures will continue to be
warm with a degree or so above the consensus blend preferred for
the forecast in most areas.

Monday-Wednesday: with the surface ridge of high pressure reaching
into the region from the atlantic to start the week, the surface
trough and associated pooled moisture will remain north of the
area. A weakness in the mid to upper level ridge will begin to
develop which may allow a trough to return over the peninsula of
florida. This small shift in pattern could allow for an increase
in convective coverage but the easterly to southeasterly pattern
through mid- week should keep the focus of convection over
southwest florida and the interior. The national hurricane center
continues to monitor the surface trough to our north in case
tropical development were to occur (formation chances per the 2 pm
edt tropical weather outlook remain low through the next 5 days).

To the south, a tropical wave pushing across the caribbean could
bring some additional moisture to the region, particularly if a
surface trough breaks off the northern portion of the wave and
moves into the region Monday into Tuesday.

Thursday-Saturday: easterly to southeasterly flow will persist
into the end of the week with a pattern that favors a continued
convective focus over southwest florida and the interior. Another
northern trough from a tropical wave traversing the caribbean
Friday into Saturday could again bring additional moisture into
the region to close out the extended forecast period. With these
waves, the convective activity could be more widespread temporally
instead of focused along the more normal diurnal pattern.

Marine...

a more typical pattern for august with south southeast flow this
weekend becoming east southeast into the upcoming week as the
ridge axis from atlantic high pressure builds over the region and
shifts northward. With prevailing speeds generally less than
10kts, seas will be 2 feet or less for all waters. The main
boating concern will remain scattered showers and storms, where
winds and waves could be locally higher in and around any
activity.

Hydrology...

while much of the area remains saturated, a lack of widespread
coverage the last couple of days has allowed the ground to
tolerate heavy rainfall a bit better the last couple of
afternoons. With a shift to easterly to southeasterly flow, the
greatest concern for flooding from repeated rounds of afternoon
convection day after day will shift from the east coast metro
towards southwest florida. Locally heavy rainfall anywhere in
south florida could still cause minor flooding over the coming
days, but those with interests over in southwest florida
particularly should monitor conditions and the forecast over the
coming week.

Fisheating creek at palmdale is currently at 6.14 feet with
additional heavy rainfall from thunderstorms over portions of the
basin in northern glades and highlands counties occurring the
afternoon. The forecast trend is an expectation for fisheating
creek to gradually rise over the coming days. At this time, all
the ensemble guidance continues to maintain the creek below flood
stage at palmdale.

Preliminary point temps pops
West palm beach 92 78 90 78 20 20 20 30
fort lauderdale 91 79 90 79 20 20 20 30
miami 92 79 90 78 20 20 20 40
naples 91 76 91 76 30 20 40 30

Mfl watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Gm... None.

Aviation... 55 cwc


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 11 mi65 min NNW 2.9 G 4.1
PEGF1 25 mi65 min ESE 6 G 8 86°F 1018.9 hPa
PVGF1 - Port Everglades Channel, FL 25 mi125 min SE 4.1 G 5.1 85°F 1019.3 hPa76°F
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 50 mi65 min E 6 G 8 86°F 90°F1018.2 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL5 mi4.2 hrsNE 410.00 miFair81°F75°F84%1020 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL14 mi2.1 hrsN 510.00 miA Few Clouds82°F73°F74%1019.5 hPa
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL16 mi2.1 hrsN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F73°F87%1019.6 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL18 mi2.1 hrsN 410.00 miFair80°F73°F82%1019.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBCT

Wind History from BCT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------------Calm----S5S10S10S10SE8
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1 day ago--------------Calm----S7--SW9SW9S10S14
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2 days ago--------------SW5SW5W5W5SW8S8S14--S15SW10
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Tide / Current Tables for South Delray Beach, ICWW, Florida
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South Delray Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:15 AM EDT     2.73 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:43 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:29 PM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:56 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.72.72.31.81.20.70.40.30.61.11.72.32.62.62.31.91.30.80.40.30.50.91.62.2

Tide / Current Tables for Lake Wyman, ICWW, Florida
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Lake Wyman
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:11 AM EDT     2.49 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:33 AM EDT     0.32 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:53 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:25 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 12:25 PM EDT     2.38 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:46 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:02 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.52.42.11.61.10.60.40.30.61.11.62.12.42.32.11.61.10.70.40.30.511.52

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.