Thursday, December5, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Gulf Stream, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:52AMSunset 5:28PM Thursday December 5, 2019 5:43 PM EST (22:43 UTC) Moonrise 1:40PMMoonset 12:52AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Coastal Waters From Deerfield Beach To Ocean Reef Fl Out 20 Nm- 308 Pm Est Thu Dec 5 2019
Tonight..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..East southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday night..East winds 5 knots becoming north after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters smooth.
Saturday..North northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Saturday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Sunday night through Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of light showers in the morning.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 308 Pm Est Thu Dec 5 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure across the region will allow for generally dry conditions to continue with winds 10 knots or less. Winds will begin to veer from northerly to easterly as high pressure slowly slides eastward as we move into the weekend. Seas will be generally 3 feet or less across local south florida waters.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 05, 2019 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles east southeast of fowey rocks. 23 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 11 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 9 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gulf Stream, FL
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location: 26.46, -79.95     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 052001 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 301 PM EST Thu Dec 5 2019

Discussion.

Short Term (Tonight through Friday Night): the only noteworthy feature this afternoon are veils of cirrus racing across the South Florida skies as the area remains under the influence of high pressure centered over the SE CONUS. Temperatures tonight will be a few degrees warmer, with upper 40s to low 50s across most of the region. The only exception being the east coast metro areas, which will be near 60.

Through the day tomorrow, the surface high will continue to slide eastward into the western Atlantic, veering winds further out of the east to southeast. The return of an easterly component to the flow will moderate the airmass and induce a gradual warming trend across the region. Afternoon temperatures are forecast to climb into the upper 70s across most of the area and low 80s over the southwestern portions.

.Long Term (Saturday-Thursday): Saturday, the dominant high pressure across the SE states will continue to migrate further east and into the West Atlantic. This will bring east to south east winds, which will be veering ahead of an approaching front. The parent low will be migrating across the southern states during the weekend, with the latest global models depicting the best dynamical support remaining to the north of SoFlo. Therefore, only a very modest increase in moisture and a few showers are expected for the Saturday through Monday timeframe.

With the described synoptic scenario in place, temperatures should continue to climb back to near normals with morning lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s by Sunday. Afternoon highs will likely hit the upper 70s to lower 80s.

For next week, model solutions show an amplifying mid-upper level trough across the eastern seaboard, which will once again veer flow to the south and southwest ahead of an associated frontal boundary moving thru the SE US and the peninsula. This will bring increased moisture advection from the south and increasing chances of showers from Tuesday and into the middle of the week. There are still some inter and intra-model differences regarding timing and overall intensity of this potential FROPA, so will refrain from departing from the consensus attm.

Marine. Generally dry conditions should continue into next week as high pressure remains across the region. Winds will begin to veer from northerly to easterly as high pressure slowly slides eastward tomorrow into the weekend. Seas will be generally 3 feet or less across local South Florida waters. The minor northerly swell over the Atlantic nearshore waters will gradually diminish through the day tomorrow.

Aviation. High pressure will keep dry, VFR conditions through the TAF period. Northerly flow may briefly swing out of the NNE this afternoon. Winds then become light and variable overnight with an increase out of the E to SE around 8 knots tomorrow.

Fire Weather. Conditions will improve tomorrow as easterly winds return, allowing minimum RH values to moderate back above 40.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. West Palm Beach 57 77 60 78 / 10 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 60 77 62 78 / 10 0 0 10 Miami 60 78 61 80 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 53 76 58 77 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None. GM . None.

Marine . 11/HVN Aviation . 11/HVN Fire Weather . 11/HVN Short Term . 11/HVN Long Term . SG/AR


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 11 mi56 min N 7 G 8.9 68°F 78°F1019.9 hPa
PEGF1 27 mi62 min NNW 7 G 8.9 73°F 1019.1 hPa
VAKF1 - 8723214 - Virginia Key, FL 52 mi62 min NNW 4.1 G 6 72°F 76°F1018.4 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Boca Raton, Boca Raton Airport, FL10 mi57 minNNW 510.00 miFair70°F37°F31%1019 hPa
Pompano Beach, Pompano Beach Airpark, FL17 mi51 minN 410.00 miFair71°F37°F29%1018.9 hPa
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL18 mi51 minN 310.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F41°F35%1018.9 hPa
Fort Lauderdale, Fort Lauderdale Executive Airport, FL21 mi51 minNNW 410.00 miPartly Cloudy69°F39°F33%1019 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KBCT

Wind History from BCT (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW8N4--N3--Calm--------------N5N9N10N10N10NE4--N7--N7N5
1 day agoN5N4N3N4Calm5--------------NW5CalmSW4W6NW10
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NW11NW15--------------NW6N7NW10NW10NW10NW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Delray Beach, ICWW, Florida
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Delray Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:53 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:30 AM EST     2.42 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:00 AM EST     0.96 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:39 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:49 PM EST     2.55 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:35 PM EST     0.78 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.41.82.22.42.42.21.91.61.3111.11.41.82.22.52.52.42.11.81.310.8

Tide / Current Tables for South Delray Beach, ICWW, Florida
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South Delray Beach
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:53 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 04:27 AM EST     2.39 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:53 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:52 AM EST     0.96 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:39 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:46 PM EST     2.52 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:27 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 11:27 PM EST     0.78 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.41.82.22.42.42.21.91.61.2111.11.41.82.22.52.52.42.11.71.310.8

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Miami-South Florida, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Miami, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.