Thursday, July18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
McGregor, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 8:23PM Thursday July 18, 2019 5:17 PM EDT (21:17 UTC) Moonrise 8:53PMMoonset 7:10AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 344 Pm Edt Thu Jul 18 2019
Tonight..East winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the evening. Isolated Thunderstorms toward morning.
Friday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 344 Pm Edt Thu Jul 18 2019
Synopsis.. Atlantic high pressure ridges westward over the gulf of mexico... With an axis meandering through central florida during the weekend. This will result in a southeasterly flow pattern...except for an onshore shift near the coast in afternoon breezes. The ridge axis shifts south for early next week with a southerly to southwesterly flow pattern. The gradient remains relaxed with winds of 10 knots and seas of 2 feet...or less. Although these will be higher near Thunderstorms.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near McGregor, FL
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location: 26.56, -81.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 181743
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
143 pm edt Thu jul 18 2019

Discussion
High pressure will ridge across the area through the weekend
keeping a generally SE flow in place with afternoon sea breezes
turning winds onshore each day. Mainly scattered showers and
thunderstorms will be possible each afternoon and evening as
storms develop along the sea breeze and subsequent outflow
boundaries then push back toward the coast in the evening. Highs
will generally be 90-95 with heat index values of 100-105 each
afternoon, with lows in the lower to mid 70s inland to around 80
near the coast each night.

For next week, an upper trough shifts over the eastern us, with
the surface trough settling into the deep south Monday Tuesday,
and stalling just to the north of the state Wednesday Thursday.

This will shift the ridge axis in place across the state to the
south, bringing more S SW flow across the area and SW flow aloft.

This will allow for greater thunderstorm coverage for mid-next
week, along with bringing afternoon high temperatures down a
couple of degrees, with upper 80s to lower 90s expected. Lows will
remain in the mid 70s inland to near 80 coastal.

Aviation
The sea breeze is starting to develop along the coast and turn
winds to the southwest. Winds will continue to turn to the W nw
through the rest of the afternoon, with scattered storms
developing. Winds become light and variable after 02z with storms
dissipating. Light and variable flow continues through the mid
morning Friday, with a few morning showers possible north.

GenerallyVFR conditions are expected, though brief tempo MVFR ifr
conditions possible in storms.

Marine
Winds and seas will remain generally SE through the weekend with
an afternoon sea breeze turning winds onshore each day. Winds
will then shift to the S SW as the ridge settles southward for
early next week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
possible through the period. Winds will generally remain below 15
knots and seas less than 3 feet, except briefly increasing in the
vicinity of thunderstorms.

Fire weather
No concerns.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 79 91 78 91 20 30 20 30
fmy 76 92 76 92 20 40 20 40
gif 76 93 76 93 20 40 20 40
srq 76 91 76 91 20 30 20 30
bkv 74 92 74 92 20 40 20 30
spg 81 91 80 92 20 20 20 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... 24 hubbard
decision support... 74 wynn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 7 mi47 min SE 4.1 G 6 85°F 87°F1017.6 hPa
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 11 mi83 min E 5.1 G 8 79°F 1019.4 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 30 mi47 min 78°F 87°F1018 hPa
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 37 mi92 min WNW 1.9 74°F 74°F
VENF1 - Venice, FL 45 mi77 min WSW 5.1 G 6 86°F 86°F1018.5 hPa (-0.8)74°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL3 mi24 minS 310.00 miFair85°F68°F57%1017.6 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL9 mi24 minS 710.00 miFair85°F70°F61%1017.5 hPa

Wind History from FMY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW12NW4N8E4CalmNE10NE8E6E5SE5SE8NE4NE4NE3NE7NE4CalmE5NE4CalmE7S10SE7S3
1 day agoW6N4SE3NE4NE4CalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3SE5SE6SE656S53SW8NE3SE7
2 days agoNE84CalmS4SE4S5CalmCalmE4E4CalmCalmE3E3SE5SE6E94E864SW9SW13Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Cape Coral Bridge, Florida
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Cape Coral Bridge
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Thu -- 12:17 AM EDT     -0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     0.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 10:37 AM EDT     0.58 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:06 PM EDT     1.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0-00.10.30.40.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.60.80.91.11.11.110.90.70.50.30.1

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:07 AM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:34 AM EDT     -0.09 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:19 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:44 AM EDT     1.16 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 02:36 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:27 PM EDT     -1.57 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:48 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.9110.80.70.50.2-0-0.10.20.71.11.10.90.3-0.2-0.7-1.1-1.4-1.5-1.5-1.2-0.60.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.