St. James City, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for St. James City, FL

June 22, 2024 8:40 AM EDT (12:40 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:25 PM
Moonrise 8:30 PM   Moonset 5:51 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 405 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Today - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south this afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: north 1 foot at 2 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms until late afternoon, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms late.

Tonight - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 4 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers. Scattered Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Sunday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 7 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southeast winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Numerous showers. Scattered Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Monday - East winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: south 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Numerous showers. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Wave detail: southwest 1 foot at 5 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.

Tuesday - Northwest winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - West winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening.

Wednesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 405 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Synopsis - Quiet winds and seas are expected through the week as a ese flow gradually becomes wsw over the next few days. While the flow remains ese, the greatest potential for storms across coastal waters looks to be late in the afternoon and into the evening. Strong gusty winds could lead to locally hazardous seas as heavy rain limits visibility. Once the winds veer more wsw, storms will become increasingly likely at anytime, but favored more so during the morning and midday time-frame.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. James City, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 221213 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 813 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

New AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 400 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

A typical summertime pattern is settling in across the region. With a broad upper-level ridge across the Southeast, the Bermuda High has settled in to the east. In response, a light ESE flow is in place.
Given ample moisture (PWATs exceeding 2 inches as of 3AM), instability (MCLAPE of 1800 J/KG MLCAPE as of 3AM), and the sea breeze this afternoon to act as a forcing mechanism, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected today. The expectation is that this activity will consolidate across West Central Florida by late afternoon. While gusty winds are frequent lightning are likely, the greatest concern is for heavy rainfall.
Model forecast soundings support a classic setup for this with deep moisture, a deep and narrow CAPE profile, and virtually no steering flow (meaning convection is likely to be more stationary than not).
This may lead to localized flooding in urban areas and places with poor drainage. Overall, though, the rainfall should be beneficial.

Today really kicks off what looks to be an extended period of this similar pattern. Scattered to numerous mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected each day as high pressure remains in control. By early next week, though, it looks like the Bermuda High may slide a bit farther east, ushering in a light WSW flow. This could lead to more storms in the morning across the Gulf that drift onshore after sunrise. As this activity pushes inland, continued forecast PWATs over 2 inches could yield additional convection after a brief recovery period, meaning some places may have a chance to see more than one storm each day.

All the while, warm and muggy conditions will persist. This combo favors heat indices of 100 to 105 across the region each afternoon, with little reprieve given the light flow. Overnight lows along the coast are likely to struggle to dip below 80 during the overnight hours next week. Hopefully, the west coast will be rewarded with more storms to at least provide us with more beneficial rains as the rainy season truly gets underway.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 811 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Thunderstorms are expected today around all terminals mainly in the late afternoon and evening hours. Besides on station thudnerstorms we can expect VFR conditions throughout the period with wind generally staying below 10 knots.

MARINE
Issued at 400 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Quiet winds and seas are expected through the week as a ESE flow gradually becomes WSW over the next few days. While the flow remains ESE, the greatest potential for storms across coastal waters looks to be late in the afternoon and into the evening. Strong gusty winds could lead to locally hazardous seas as heavy rain limits visibility. Once the winds veer more WSW, storms will become increasingly likely at anytime, but favored more so during the morning and midday time-frame.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 400 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Ample moisture is in place for the week ahead, leading to scattered to numerous showers and storms each day. There are no significant fire weather concerns at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 77 91 78 / 70 60 70 40 FMY 92 76 91 76 / 70 70 70 40 GIF 93 76 93 75 / 70 60 70 30 SRQ 92 75 91 76 / 70 60 70 50 BKV 94 74 93 73 / 70 50 70 40 SPG 92 79 92 81 / 60 60 70 50

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 12 mi53 minESE 2.9G5.1 81°F 86°F30.08
VENF1 - Venice, FL 40 mi41 minE 6G7 81°F 84°F30.0678°F
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 41 mi116 minESE 2.9 75°F 30.0675°F


Wind History for No Ports station near this location
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No data


Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KFMY PAGE FIELD,FL 11 sm47 minSE 0610 smClear81°F75°F84%30.05
KRSW SOUTHWEST FLORIDA INTL,FL 17 sm47 minESE 0610 smClear81°F77°F89%30.06
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Wind History graph: FMY
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Tide / Current for Tropical Homesites Landing, Pine Island, Florida
   
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Tropical Homesites Landing
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Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:40 PM EDT     2.47 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:45 PM EDT     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tropical Homesites Landing, Pine Island, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0
1
am
0.3
2
am
0.7
3
am
1
4
am
1.2
5
am
1.3
6
am
1.3
7
am
1.3
8
am
1.4
9
am
1.5
10
am
1.7
11
am
2
12
pm
2.3
1
pm
2.4
2
pm
2.5
3
pm
2.3
4
pm
2.1
5
pm
1.7
6
pm
1.2
7
pm
0.7
8
pm
0.3
9
pm
-0.1
10
pm
-0.3
11
pm
-0.4


Tide / Current for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
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Sat -- 12:36 AM EDT     1.15 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:36 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:06 AM EDT     0.30 knots Min Flood
Sat -- 10:59 AM EDT     1.16 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 01:35 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 06:19 PM EDT     -1.82 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:24 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:29 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:22 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current, knots
12
am
1.1
1
am
1.1
2
am
1
3
am
0.9
4
am
0.7
5
am
0.6
6
am
0.4
7
am
0.3
8
am
0.4
9
am
0.7
10
am
1
11
am
1.2
12
pm
1
1
pm
0.4
2
pm
-0.3
3
pm
-1
4
pm
-1.4
5
pm
-1.7
6
pm
-1.8
7
pm
-1.8
8
pm
-1.5
9
pm
-1
10
pm
-0.3
11
pm
0.4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast   
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Tampa Bay Area, FL,




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