Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lochmoor Waterway Estates, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 6:54PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 8:54 PM EDT (00:54 UTC) Moonrise 12:25AMMoonset 2:18PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lochmoor Waterway Estates CDP, FL
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location: 26.65, -81.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 230044
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
844 pm edt Tue oct 22 2019

Update (overnight and Wednesday)
A cold front is on its way southward through the florida peninsula
late this evening. The current position of the front is somewhere
just south of the i-4 corridor... And the front settle into south
florida during the overnight. There is drier air behind the front
but it will be slow to filter in, and will likely take much of the
night for any real difference in airmass to be felt to the south
of the i-4 corridor.

Band of light broken showers along the front has been weakening
the past hour or two as it passed through the tampa bay area.

There really isn't much left of these shower other than well
offshore over the gulf. The complete loss of any synoptic forcing
and slow frontolysis overnight will continue to weaken any
remaining low level focus for ascent, and expect the potential for
showers any further south to decrease rather quickly from this
point onward.

Well inland we still see a few more robust showers exiting eastern
highlands county. These were not associated with the front, but
are more of the summer-convection variety... Forced by the
collision of the east and west coast sea-breezes over the interior
of the state. Now that we are losing daytime heating, this
convection should also weaken quickly.

Low temperatures by dawn may actually range from the upper 50s
over levy county to the middle 60s along the i-4 corridor..And
lower 70s down toward fort myers.

As advertised... We will see one brief day of drier less humid air
for Wednesday behind this front. The greater impact of this
airmass will be felt the further north one travels, especially
along and north of the i-4 corridor. These northern zones should
see dewpoints in the 50s for Wednesday... Especially for the
afternoon hours. Further south, the push of drier air will be
less, but should still see dewpoints drop into the 60s. While this
is not "comfy" air... It is certainly drier than the middle upper
70s dewpoints we have seen the past few days. Afternoon high
temperatures range from the upper 70s to the north of crystal
river... To the lower mid 80s along the i-4 corridor and southward.

By the end of the Wednesday, the moisture will already be trying
to come back north... Especially just above the surface, where
winds will shift back to a more southerly direction. By the later
afternoon hours, this warm air moisture advection should help to
cloud things back over for areas like
lee charlotte desoto southern highlands counties. Some guidance
members are even trying to support a few showers sprinkles late in
the day. Given that the overall airmass will have changed the
least in these far southern areas behind the front, can not rule
out that a shower or two will be possible, but anything should be
isolated and light in nature. At this point, outdoor
activities plans would likely not need to be altered by this low
impact shower potential.

Aviation (23 00z through 24 00z)
A cold front continue to settle south through the region this
evening... Now located just south of ktpa pie. A narrow band of
broken showers may still give a brief sprinkle to ksrq before 03z,
but otherwise, no significant aviation concerns through the
overnight wasVFR should prevail. Wind will continue to shift to
the northwest, north, and then northeast for all terminals by
sunrise. Wednesday will see prevailingVFR with a steady 8-12kt ne
wind flow. Late in the day, mainly after 20z, increasing clouds,
with a broken deck in the 3500-5000kft range is forecast to return
to kfmy krsw with a few isolated light showers.

Marine
A weak cold front pushing through the area overnight will help to
shift winds to a more northerly direction and will result in
winds increasing. Central and northern waters to the north of
englewood will reach exercise caution conditions overnight as
winds increase to 15 to 20 knots. Winds will shift to an easterly
direction Wednesday night... But remain breezy through Friday with
winds around 15 knots.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 67 82 70 87 10 0 0 30
fmy 74 87 73 89 0 20 20 30
gif 68 83 70 87 10 0 10 40
srq 70 85 71 89 10 0 0 30
bkv 63 81 66 87 0 0 0 40
spg 69 84 72 88 10 0 0 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Mroczka


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 0 mi54 min W 5.1 G 7 82°F 87°F1014.9 hPa (+0.8)
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 17 mi120 min W 5.1 G 11 84°F 1015.5 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 36 mi54 min NW 8.9 G 11 83°F 86°F1015.3 hPa (+0.6)
RKXF1 - Rookery Bay Reserve, FL 42 mi69 min WNW 2.9 79°F 1016 hPa77°F
VENF1 - Venice, FL 42 mi54 min W 7 G 8 83°F 85°F1015.5 hPa (+0.6)78°F

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL5 mi61 minNW 710.00 miFair83°F75°F77%1015.1 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL10 mi61 minNW 310.00 miFair82°F75°F79%1014.9 hPa
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL20 mi61 minW 610.00 miFair81°F77°F88%1015.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFMY

Wind History from FMY (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS3CalmSE3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SE7S6--SW7W8W9SW9
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1 day agoCalmCalmSE3CalmS3SE3S3S4S4S3SE5SE4S6S7SW7SW10S9S9SW8SW10SW10
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Tide / Current Tables for Fort Myers, Florida
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Fort Myers
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:51 AM EDT     0.83 feet High Tide
Tue -- 01:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:34 AM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:31 AM EDT     1.34 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:52 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:24 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.80.80.70.60.60.70.91.11.21.31.31.21.10.90.70.50.30.20.10.10.20.40.6

Tide / Current Tables for Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of), Florida Current
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Point Ybel (0.4 Mi. NW of)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:59 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:26 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 01:49 AM EDT     -0.08 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 02:39 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:25 AM EDT     0.59 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:35 PM EDT     -1.13 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:18 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:38 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:53 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:01 PM EDT     0.92 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0-0.10.10.40.60.50.3-0-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.9-1.1-1.1-0.9-0.40.20.60.90.90.90.80.7

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.