Tuesday, October15, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bokeelia, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 7:01PM Tuesday October 15, 2019 6:53 AM EDT (10:53 UTC) Moonrise 7:27PMMoonset 7:53AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 430 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019
Today..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southwest around 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..South winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms toward morning.
Wednesday..Southwest winds around 10 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening. Isolated Thunderstorms. A chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..North winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast around 5 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening. Isolated Thunderstorms. A chance of showers after midnight.
Friday..Northeast winds around 5 knots increasing to around 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the morning. Isolated Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 430 Am Edt Tue Oct 15 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure stretching across the peninsula continues light east southeast winds and slight seas with an onshore sea breeze component developing along the coast during the afternoon. Rain chances increase Wednesday ahead of a cold front expected to move through early Thursday. Southerly flow from a disturbance in the central gulf of mexico will draw deep moisture north bringing additional rainfall through the upcoming weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bokeelia, FL
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location: 26.72, -82.26     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 150843
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
443 am edt Tue oct 15 2019

Discussion
High pressure aloft and at the surface continues to influence
conditions across the region with generally partly cloudy skies
and variable to light easterly flow. Shower activity has affected
a few southern offshore locations overnight although nothing
widespread. More of the same can be expected over the next 24
hours with a gradual increase in westerly flow aloft as the upper
ridge retreats south in response to a deep closed low moving
across the great lakes region. Surface flow will become
southwesterly Wednesday as the surface ridge weakens and moves
east into the atlantic in advance of an approaching front sinking
into the region associated with a developing low pressure system
off the mid-atlantic coast.

Wednesday will feature more in the way of cloudiness and rain
chances as southwesterly flow aids moisture transport across the
region ahead of the approaching frontal boundary. Greatest rain
chances currently appear likely extending from the nature coast
south to central interior and southwest coastal sections. As the
mid-atlantic system deepens and lifts northeast Thursday, high
pressure building across the ohio valley in its wake will force
the frontal boundary south thru the remainder of the peninsula
allowing somewhat cooler and drier air to begin filtering into the
region under northerly flow.

It appears Friday will be relatively close to average, temperature-
wise, with increasing cloud cover as northerly surface flow
gradually transitions to easterly while southwest flow aloft
strengthens out ahead of a shortwave progressing east across the
northern gulf coast. A weak surface trough area of low pressure is
expected to develop over the southwest gulf Friday into Saturday
in response to the shortwave energy and ride northeast toward the
central gulf coast and fl panhandle throughout the day Saturday,
shifting winds across the peninsula to south southeast as
moisture again increases across the region and lingers through the
weekend along with the return of above normal temps. Ridging
aloft builds across the region and into the western atlantic early
next week... With the surface ridge displaced a bit further out in
the atlantic, allowing continued south southeast flow across the
state until another front approaches heading into mid-week.

Aviation
Vfr conditions expected thru period with variable light easterly
flow increasing to southeast 6 to 8 knots by 15z, shifting southwest
by 20-21z, decreasing to light variable at southern interior
terminals after 02z.

Marine
High pressure stretching across the peninsula continues light east
southeast winds and slight seas today before shifting increasing
to southwest 10 to 15 knots Wednesday ahead of an approaching cold
front with showers and storms possible. Flow diminishes slightly
and becomes northerly Thursday before gradually shifting to
east southeast Friday and increasing Saturday. Seas generally 2
to 3 feet in open waters, light chop bay and inland waters.

Fire weather
Humidity values expected to remain above critical thresholds
throughout the period. High pressure to the east responsible for
light east southeast flow will give way to an approaching frontal
system and increasing rain chances Wednesday with west southwest
flow... Gradually shifting to south southeast during the weekend.

Rh values will drop behind the front Thursday and Friday but will
recover over the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 88 75 86 74 0 60 50 20
fmy 89 73 88 75 0 10 10 20
gif 89 72 88 72 0 20 30 10
srq 89 75 88 75 0 40 30 30
bkv 89 71 87 70 0 60 60 20
spg 89 76 88 75 0 50 50 20

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... Hurt
decision support... Hubbard


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 21 mi53 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 74°F 83°F1016.9 hPa (-0.6)
VENF1 - Venice, FL 26 mi53 min E 5.1 G 6 75°F 82°F1017.2 hPa (-0.4)72°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 30 mi59 min E 5.1 G 7 77°F 1017.7 hPa
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 47 mi83 min SSE 16 G 18 83°F1016.6 hPa
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 47 mi53 min ENE 1.9 G 4.1 76°F 83°F1016.9 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL20 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair70°F70°F100%1017.5 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL23 mi60 minESE 310.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1017.1 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPGD

Wind History from PGD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE4NE4E5E6SE7SE43E7E63CalmNE7NE5CalmNW5E9E9SE6SE6SE6E4CalmE3Calm
1 day agoNE3NE5E8E7E8E8SE8SE5E4E4E9E9NE6E5E8E7SE8SE5E4E4E4E6N4NE5
2 days agoNE5NE5NE7NE7E12E11E8NE6NE6NE7NE7NE6NE6NE4E3E5E7E7E5NE4E5E4NE5NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Port Boca Grande, Charlotte Harbor, Florida
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Port Boca Grande
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:30 AM EDT     1.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:49 AM EDT     0.19 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:57 PM EDT     1.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:30 PM EDT     0.87 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.71.71.51.20.80.50.30.20.30.50.811.31.41.51.41.210.90.911.21.4

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current
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Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:03 AM EDT     2.24 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 02:51 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:20 AM EDT     -2.34 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 09:42 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:51 PM EDT     2.69 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 04:42 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 07:10 PM EDT     -1.00 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:26 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 09:26 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.21.91-0.2-1.2-2-2.3-2.3-1.8-0.80.41.62.42.72.31.50.6-0.2-0.8-1-0.9-0.30.51.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.