Wednesday, October16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Burnt Store Marina, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:27AMSunset 7:00PM Wednesday October 16, 2019 5:33 PM EDT (21:33 UTC) Moonrise 8:04PMMoonset 8:47AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ856 Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Englewood Fl Out 20 Nm- 155 Pm Edt Wed Oct 16 2019
Tonight..West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..Northwest winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth. A chance of showers early in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms until late afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming northeast after midnight. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..East winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet or less. Bay and inland waters smooth. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds around 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..South winds around 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday..South winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 155 Pm Edt Wed Oct 16 2019
Synopsis..A frontal boundary will continue so sink southward across the region through tonight, with some shower activity possible. Southwest winds today will become more northwest and then north tonight through Thursday. A low pressure system will approach the area Friday through the weekend, with increasing rain chances as well as winds and seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Burnt Store Marina, FL
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location: 26.76, -82.06     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 161749
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
149 pm edt Wed oct 16 2019

Discussion
Zonal flow remains in place aloft over the region with a low moving
over the great lakes region and high pressure to our south. At the
surface, weak high pressure extends over the southern half of the
florida peninsula with a nearly stationary frontal boundary draped
to our north. This setup is keeping a generally southwest flow in
place across the region. Showers and a few thunderstorms have been
ongoing since this morning, especially across our northern counties,
closer to the frontal boundary, and these will continue to slowly
expand southward but also diminish in coverage as the boundary sinks
southward through tonight.

Thursday will bring a brief shot of cooler and drier air as high
pressure builds over the southeast. These nicer conditions will be
most felt across the nature coast region, where some 50s dew points
are forecast. This will be short-lived as an area of low pressure
develops over the central gulf of mexico and starts to head toward
florida on Friday. Flow becomes southeast, with plenty of tropical
moisture spreading over the region. This area of low pressure
currently has a percent chance of becoming a tropical system within
the next 5 days and bears watching. Global models are in general
agreement that this system will make its way toward the region
through the weekend, but the overall evolution still needs to be
refined and these details will obviously play a large part in our
local impacts. For now, those impacts include cloudy and showery
conditions for Saturday and into Sunday. We will also need to keep a
close eye on possible severe weather, mainly Friday night into
Saturday, as well as the possibility of some coastal flooding issues
into the weekend. Still have a couple of days to hopefully nail down
some details, so stay tuned to future forecasts.

High pressure will build back over the area late Sunday or Monday,
although we are not currently forecast to completely dry out. Then
another low pressure system will bring a cold front near the region
toward the middle part of next week.

Aviation
Will keep vcsh in the forecast for all sites through tonight as a
frontal boundary sinks southward and weakens. Some brief MVFR cigs
will be possible, but otherwiseVFR conditions are expected. Light
and variable winds tonight will become generally northwesterly on
Thursday.

Marine
A frontal boundary will continue so sink southward across the region
through tonight, with some shower activity possible. Southwest winds
today will become more northwest and then north tonight through
Thursday. A low pressure system will approach the area Friday
through the weekend, with increasing rain chances as well as winds
and seas.

Fire weather
A frontal boundary will continue to sink southward across the region
through tonight, bringing a few showers to the area. Some drier air
will move into mainly the nature coast for Thursday, but relative
humidity values are expected to remain above critical levels. A low
pressure system will approach the area Friday through the weekend,
bringing increased rain chances. No significant fog is expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 73 85 68 82 30 10 0 30
fmy 75 88 73 87 20 20 10 40
gif 72 86 68 83 20 20 0 20
srq 75 87 71 85 30 10 10 30
bkv 69 84 63 80 30 10 0 30
spg 75 85 71 84 30 10 10 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

05 carlisle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 13 mi46 min W 8.9 G 11 85°F 85°F1012.3 hPa
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 26 mi100 min W 13 G 16 85°F 1013.6 hPa
VENF1 - Venice, FL 30 mi34 min W 9.9 G 12 84°F 83°F1012.6 hPa (-1.0)77°F
NPSF1 - 8725110 - Naples, FL 45 mi46 min W 9.9 G 11 85°F 85°F1012.7 hPa

Wind History for Naples, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL12 mi41 minW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy86°F72°F63%1013 hPa
Fort Myers, Page Field, FL16 mi41 minW 1110.00 miA Few Clouds88°F70°F55%1012.6 hPa
Fort Myers, Southwest Florida International Airport, FL22 mi41 minWNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds87°F72°F61%1012.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPGD

Wind History from PGD (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW8W6W4CalmCalmCalmCalmE4CalmS4SE3SE4SE4S3CalmS3SW8W11SW11SW13SW13W12W14
G19
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1 day agoNE7NE5CalmNW5E9E9SE6SE6SE6E4CalmE3CalmCalmNE3E3SE6E6SE5E8Calm3E6SW7
2 days agoE9NE6E5E8E7SE8SE5E4E4E4E6N4NE5E4NE4E5E6SE7SE43E7E63Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Pineland, Pine Island, Florida
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Pineland
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:45 AM EDT     1.99 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:50 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 04:39 PM EDT     1.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:14 PM EDT     1.07 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.41.71.921.91.71.410.70.40.20.10.30.611.31.51.61.51.41.21.11.11.1

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current
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Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:32 AM EDT     2.18 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 03:16 AM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:45 AM EDT     -2.52 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:47 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:23 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:35 PM EDT     2.60 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 05:41 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:47 PM EDT     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:45 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.11.40.3-0.9-1.8-2.4-2.5-2.2-1.5-0.50.71.82.52.52.11.30.5-0.2-0.6-0.6-0.40.21

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.