Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Pahokee, FL

LONG TERM
Issued at 205 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2025

Monday Night Into Tuesday Night...
Low pressure over Northwest Gulf of Mexico will move east northeast towards Northern Florida. It will rapidly weaken due to loss of mid to upper level support as mid level ridging over the region holds strong. This will keep a shortwave trough well to the north as it moves over the Midwest and then eventually into the Northeast.

The latest guidance has come more in line with the frontal boundary associated with this system as it pushes southeastward across the Florida Peninsula. It now looks like the frontal boundary will be weakening as it moves through South Florida Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday evening. Therefore, any showers that form out ahead of the front over Central Florida will have weakened, and the front should be a dry front as it moves through South Florida.

High temperatures on Tuesday be in the lower to mid 70s north of the Alligator Alley with mid to upper 70s South of Alligator Alley. Lows Tuesday night will be in the lower to mid 50s over most areas, except around 60 east coast metro areas and around 50 west of Lake Okeechobee.

Wednesday Through Early Next Weekend...
For the second half of the week, the latest ensembles and global model guidance have continue to come more in line with each other as mid level ridging breaks down and a stronger and deeper mid level shortwave digs into the Southeast on Wednesday and races into the western Atlantic on Thursday. At the surface, a large and expansive area of high pressure centered over the Central Plains will nose down through the Southeast and into the Florida Peninsula. Confidence continues to increase that this will give what is left of the frontal boundary enough of a push farther to the south allowing for a drier and cooler air mass to push into the region during this time frame. The pressure gradient will tighten across the region on Wednesday which will increase the northerly winds at the surface. This will set the stage for the potential for strong cold air advection to take place heading into Wednesday and Thursday. While the exact details still need to be ironed out, this brings the potential for another round of below normal temperatures to South Florida beginning on Wednesday and lasting through the end of the week. High temperatures could struggle to reach 70 each afternoon during this time frame while low temperatures from Wednesday Night through Friday night will have the potential to drop back down into the 40s and 50s with now even some mid to upper 30s west of Lake Okeechobee. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 606 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2025

VFR through the 00Z TAF period at all sites. Winds will remain NE at 6 to 8 KT across the east coast metro before becoming light and variable by 02Z tonight. Winds after 15Z on Monday shift to the SE at 6 to 10 kts. Mostly clear skies throughout the day before the sky coverage increases & cigs drop with the approaching frontal boundary Monday night.



MARINE
Issued at 1206 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2025

Gentle northerly flow today will become southerly on Monday as surface high pressure to our north shifts into the western Atlantic.
Atlantic seas of 2-4 ft today relax to 1-3 ft on Monday. Gulf seas 2- 3 ft today and 1-2 ft on Monday. Next chance for hazardous winds and seas will be mid week as the next cold front crosses the area.

BEACHES
Issued at 1206 PM EST Sun Jan 12 2025

There is a moderate risk of rip currents today for the Collier and Palm Beaches due to a lingering swell. An elevated risk will be present on Monday along portions of the Atlantic beaches. Rip current risk increases for all Atlantic beaches mid week in the wake of the next passing cold front.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Miami 61 79 66 79 / 0 0 0 10 West Kendall 57 81 61 80 / 0 0 0 0 Opa-Locka 59 80 64 79 / 0 0 0 10 Homestead 60 79 64 80 / 0 0 0 10 Fort Lauderdale 61 78 65 77 / 0 0 0 10 N Ft Lauderdale 60 78 65 77 / 0 0 0 10 Pembroke Pines 61 81 65 81 / 0 0 0 10 West Palm Beach 57 79 64 76 / 0 0 10 10 Boca Raton 58 79 65 78 / 0 0 0 10 Naples 55 76 63 74 / 0 0 20 10

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.