Sunday, February28, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Limestone Creek, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 6:22PM Sunday February 28, 2021 11:29 PM EST (04:29 UTC) Moonrise 7:59PMMoonset 7:52AM Illumination 94% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 17 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 927 Pm Est Sun Feb 28 2021
Rest of tonight..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
Monday..South southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Period 5 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Period 7 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas less than 2 feet. Period 9 seconds. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Along the coast, seas around 2 feet. In the gulf stream, seas around 2 feet building to 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet after midnight. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to west northwest 10 to 15 knots in the gulf stream. Gusts up to 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday and Thursday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 20 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a light chop.
Friday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet along the coast and 3 to 5 feet with occasional to 6 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 927 Pm Est Sun Feb 28 2021
Synopsis..Cautionary marine conditions will continue tonight (especially across the atlantic waters) with moderate southeast winds persisting. Gradually improving marine conditions are expected through midweek as pressure gradient loosens allowing for winds and seas subside.
Gulf stream hazards..None the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 27, 2021 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 13 nautical miles east northeast of port everglades. 5 nautical miles east of lake worth. 8 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Limestone Creek, FL
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location: 26.94, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 010212 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 910 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

UPDATE.

Current . Sea breeze collision began over the last hour across NW Volusia/NE Lake Counties, with the two boundaries now "zippering" south toward Lake Apopka and the Four Corners region. Clouds have been increasing near/NW of I-4 in association with this collision, with isolated showers breaking out a little west of the Kissimmee River basin. Otherwise, late afternoon clouds and a few showers which had been near/south of Martin County have collapsed with skies rapidly clearing there.

Remainder of tonight . Short range model guidance insists that more showers will develop over the NW CWA, although mesoscale guidance appears to be a tad too far east, and perhaps a little ambitious with coverage as well. The inherited forecast pretty much accounts for the ongoing redevelopment spread across the NW CWA through late tonight, so changes to the grids/ZFP will be minimal. Increasing clouds north, mostly clear to partly cloudy south. Lows M-U60s.

AVIATION. Prevailing VFR. Given the model guidance is pretty much on track with shower development, will probably need to AMD to add VCSH for ISM-MCO-SFB-DAB, and possibly LEE as well.

MARINE. Latest buoy obs show SE winds have dropped of to 13-15kt with seas 3-4ft near shore and up to 5ft well offshore. Given that winds and seas didn't have a significant nocturnal increase last night, feel we can drop the Cautionary Statement through the remainder of the overnight, with wind speeds remaining around 15kt or a bit less.

Cristaldi/Fehling

PREV DISCUSSION. (Issued 348 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021)

Mon . By Mon morning, moisture will be to our north as the ridge shifts southward providing to another dry and warm day that could see another round of breaking record temperatures. This in part due to the SW wind flow. Temps will climb to the mid 80s along the coast and upper 80s across the interior. Warm lows and high temperature records are listed below.

Tuesday-Wednesday . Mid level ridge centered over the western Caribbean begins to erode late Monday and early Tuesday with the approach of a deepening trough and associated cold front. As this system nears, the surface high axis over south FL slides eastward away from the area with a push of a frontal boundary into the local area early Tuesday. PoPs will gradually increase beginning late Monday ahead of this system, as high res models pick up on a band of marine/coastal showers after sunset and towards midnight. Available moisture will continue to increase through the early morning, with PWATs reaching 1.30" north of Orlando Tuesday. This coincides with most favorable shower and storm setup, with the slow moving front expected to stall over the area late in the day. PoPs range from 30- 40% from Orlando/Cape Canaveral northward, tapering to less than 20% for the Treasure Coast to Lake Okeechobee. Ahead of the boundary, temperatures will rise to the mid 80s south of Melbourne, with areas north in the mid to upper 70s or near 80 degrees.

Overnight Tuesday, the stalled boundary shifts back northward as a warm front, keeping highest rain chances to the northern forecast area, but then pushing through the area on Wednesday. Models in good agreement with a surface low and bullseye of heavy rain developing over the FL Big Bend and SW Georgia at this time, shifting eastward to the Atlantic through mid week. Further refinements of rainfall coverage may be necessary depending on the evolution of this system, with a more southerly solution increasing rain chances Wednesday beyond the current 30-40%. A chance for lightning storms cannot be ruled out on Wednesday mainly north of Orlando, as a second stronger front drags behind the offshore moving low. Onshore winds late Tuesday veer southwest by Wednesday afternoon, with afternoon highs varying from the low 80s to the north and upper 80s (near records) for the Treasure Coast. Low temps remain well above average through mid week in the low to mid 60s.

Thursday-Saturday . (modified previous) Dry conditions are expected to continue through Friday, with northerly flow behind the front veering easterly late Friday afternoon into Friday evening. Looking into next weekend, models suggest increasing rain chances as another front passes through east central Florida. Slightly wetter trends for Saturday, as an upper disturbance shifts southeast from TX to the central Gulf Coast, with upper level energy spreading across the FL peninsula. Included a mention of thunder this weekend, however models have become less aggressive in the system evolution. For now, will keep PoPs at 40-50% on Saturday. Post-frontal air will lead to the return of near normal temperatures to finish out the week, with highs in the mid 70s and lows in the 50s.

AVIATION. VFR prevailing for most of the terminals through Mon. Brief reduction to the cigs are possible across the interior late overnight into Mon morning affecting KLEE and perhaps KSFB as well as brief showers along the I-4 corridor. Otherwise, gusty winds this afternoon will decrease and range 5-10 kt tonight and shift from the SW in the morning.

MARINE. Tonight-Mon night . As a high pressure over the western Atlantic shifts south, its western ridge will slightly shift from east central FL to south FL tonight and tomorrow and winds will shift from the south to the southwest by Mon afternoon. Caution for small boaters was highlighted for tonight across some of the local waters as winds of 15-20 kt are still expected, becoming lighter on Mon. Seas should remain below 5 ft through Mon night.

Tuesday-Thursday . A frontal boundary will stall over the local waters on Tuesday, lift back north as a warm front overnight, with a stronger, secondary front pushing through on Wednesday. These features will offer a varying wind forecast through mid week, beginning onshore 15-20 knots Tuesday, veering southerly 10-15 knots prior to daybreak, quickly shifting west/northwest up to 20 knots on Wednesday. Seas of 3-4 ft will increase up to 6-8 ft in the offshore waters north of Sebastian Inlet by Wednesday morning then diminishing to 4-6 ft over all waters by the afternoon. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be needed for a portion of forecast zones.

.CLIMATE

List of record high temperatures for today, February 28 and tomorrow, March 1 and warm low records for March 1.

High Warm Low High Records Records Records Feb 28 Mar 1 Mar 1

Daytona Beach 87 1971 66 2017 86 2018 Leesburg 86 1962 69 2018 87 2017 Sanford 89 1997 71 2007 88 2012 Orlando 89 1929 68 1913 90 1918 Melbourne 88 1961 71 2007 89 2018 Vero Beach 89 2001 74 1997 88 2018 Ft. Pierce 89 1977 71 2007 89 1913

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 66 85 63 75 / 20 10 20 40 MCO 68 88 66 81 / 20 10 10 30 MLB 68 85 67 80 / 0 0 20 30 VRB 67 86 66 82 / 0 0 20 20 LEE 68 86 65 79 / 20 10 10 40 SFB 68 88 65 80 / 20 10 20 40 ORL 70 88 67 82 / 20 10 10 30 FPR 66 86 66 83 / 0 0 20 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 23 mi60 min SE 18 G 20 77°F 78°F1019.8 hPa70°F
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 42 mi64 min 74°F4 ft
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 63 mi90 min SE 8.9 G 12 74°F 1021.4 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL17 mi35 minSSE 610.00 miFair75°F70°F83%1020.7 hPa
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL18 mi37 minSE 1110.00 miFair77°F69°F77%1020.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Southwest Fork (spillway), Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Southwest Fork (spillway)
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Sun -- 04:28 AM EST     -0.62 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:45 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:51 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 10:07 AM EST     2.19 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:51 PM EST     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:21 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:59 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 10:28 PM EST     2.23 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.50.80.2-0.3-0.6-0.6-0.10.61.31.92.22.11.71.10.5-0.1-0.5-0.6-0.30.31.11.82.22.2

Tide / Current Tables for Donald Ross Bridge, ICWW, Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Donald Ross Bridge
Click for Map
Sun -- 03:33 AM EST     -0.58 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:44 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:51 AM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 09:35 AM EST     2.58 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:56 PM EST     -0.54 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:20 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 07:58 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:56 PM EST     2.63 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.5-0.1-0.5-0.5-0.20.51.32.12.52.52.21.60.80.1-0.4-0.5-0.30.31.11.92.42.62.4

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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