Wednesday, November13, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Limestone Creek, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:37AMSunset 5:31PM Wednesday November 13, 2019 5:38 AM EST (10:38 UTC) Moonrise 6:36PMMoonset 7:30AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ650 Coastal Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl Out 20 Nm- Waters From Jupiter Inlet To Deerfield Beach Fl From 20 To 60 Nm- 334 Am Est Wed Nov 13 2019
.small craft advisory in effect through late Thursday night...
Today..North northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Along the coast, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet building to 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet in the afternoon. In the gulf stream, seas 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet building to 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet in the afternoon. Period 6 seconds. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Light showers likely.
Tonight..East northeast winds 15 to 20 knots along the coast to east northeast 15 to 25 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet along the coast and 8 to 10 feet with occasional to 13 feet in the gulf stream. Period 9 seconds. North northeast swell 4 feet after midnight. Intracoastal waters rough in exposed areas. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Thursday..East southeast winds 10 to 15 knots along the coast to east 10 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet along the coast and 7 to 9 feet with occasional to 11 feet in the gulf stream. Period 9 seconds. North northeast swell 3 to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters choppy in exposed areas. Chance of showers.
Thursday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet with occasional seas to 8 feet after midnight. Period 9 seconds. North northeast swell 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers.
Friday..West southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet. North northeast swell 3 feet in the morning. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Showers likely and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of showers after midnight.
Saturday..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots along the coast to north 15 to 20 knots in the gulf stream. Seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet along the coast and 4 to 6 feet with occasional to 8 feet in the gulf stream. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
Saturday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Along the coast, seas 2 to 4 feet with occasional seas to 5 feet building to 5 to 7 feet with occasional seas to 9 feet after midnight. In the gulf stream, seas 6 to 8 feet with occasional seas to 10 feet building to 9 to 11 feet with occasional seas to 14 feet after midnight. North northeast swell 3 to 6 feet after midnight. Intracoastal waters a moderate chop. Chance of showers.
Sunday..North winds 10 to 15 knots with gusts to around 25 knots. Seas 9 to 11 feet with occasional seas to 14 feet along the coast and 11 to 13 feet with occasional to 17 feet in the gulf stream. North northeast swell 3 to 8 feet. Intracoastal waters a light chop. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 334 Am Est Wed Nov 13 2019
Synopsis..Wind speeds increase today with breezy periods possible in the afternoon as northerly winds build up in the wake of a frontal passage. Atlantic seas will continue to build as a northeast swell increases quickly, reaching 7 to 10 feet by tonight. The gulf seas will quickly build to 3 to 5 feet up to 6 feet in the offshore gulf waters also by tonight.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeasterly swell will allow 7 foot or greater seas to build by tonight. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of nov 11, 2019 at 1200 utc... 10 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 11 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 9 nautical miles east of lake worth. 11 nautical miles northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Limestone Creek, FL
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location: 26.94, -80.14     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 130945
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
444 am est Wed nov 13 2019

Discussion
Dangerous seas and surf today...

current... Strong cold front and attendant northerly surge has
reached the far southern CWA as of 4 am. Widespread low clouds have
overspread the entire cwa, and 3.9um rgbntm show that the clouds
over the northern third of peninsula are already moving sw, which
doesn't bode well for potential breaks in the clouds across the
north. Temps ranged from the m50s across the central and north
interior to the l70s along the treasure coast.

Today-tonight... Strong breezy north winds will make for a cool day
as low clouds hang tough areawide. Temps will moderate as flow veers
to NE through this afternoon. This will also allow for light rain
showers to rapidly return from the atlantic. Maxes will range from
the l-m60s north to the m70s south.

Main wx story today will be surf zone impacts as the brisk winds
produce large breaking waves, pounding surf and a strong southward
flowing long shore current with numerous strong rip currents also
present. Entering the ocean is not advised today. Also expect water
runup to the dune line during the next two high astronomical tide
cycles around 8 am and 830 pm, which could result in some minor
beach erosion.

Winds will veer to easterly as the strong post-frontal high pressure
ridge shifts quickly eastward, with the shower threat continuing for
coastal areas. Flow remains strong enough to where coastal temps
won't drop more than a few degrees from their afternoon highs, while
even inland areas don't drop off more than 10f. Mins are expected to
range from the u50s NW of i-4 to the l70s along the space treasure
coasts.

Thursday-Friday... A southwest flow develops aloft as a mid-level
trough enters the western gulf of mexico while another digging mid-
level trough moves southward across the central plains. Eventual
phasing of these systems will occur sometime early Friday with the
trough becoming cutoff over the gulf coast states late in the day.

In the low-levels, an inverted trough or weak low will develop in
the eastern gulf Thursday before moving northeast across florida on
Friday and begins to deepen off the SE u.S. Coast.

Onshore flow in the low-levels will provide a low shower chance
along the coast early Thursday, but significant dry air in the 700-
500 mb layer will keep most of the area dry for a good part of the
day. Higher moisture will then begin to lift back northward from
south florida as the weak surface low trough begins to develop in
the eastern gomex. Shower chances then increase later in the day and
especially Thursday night as with some impulses aloft move across
the area while also being in the right entrance region of an upper-
level jet streak. Will advertise 30-40% showers mainly for late
Thursday and then 50-60% for the overnight period with the deeper
moisture and lift in place. Enough instability along the space and
treasure coasts may result in a few storms as well.

High rain chances continue into Friday being on the ascending side
of the mid-level low and as our next cold front approaches the area.

Shower chances will then gradually decrease from north to south
Friday afternoon (gfs) or Friday night (ecmwf) as the cold front
begins to move through the area. As the surface low deepens off the
se u.S. Coast, a significant fetch of dry, continental air will come
down the florida peninsula behind the cold front. Will keep shower
chances mention of chance of showers through Friday night due to the
slower ECMWF solution.

Saturday-Sunday... As the area of low pressure further deepens off
the u.S. East coast, drier airmass will continue to filter down into
the area with mid-level ridging building in. Rain chances, if any,
look to be confined toward the coast on Saturday and would be in the
form of low-topped light showers. No rain in the forecast for
Sunday.

Much cooler temperatures for Saturday starting in the mid 50s inland
and upper 50s to low 60s with highs topping out in the mid to upper
60s most areas (still some low 70s south of melbourne). Even cooler
temps for Saturday night Sunday morning with low 50s inland and mid
to upper 50s for coastal areas. A few spots NW of i-4 may even fall
into the upper 40s! Highs Sunday rebound a few degrees with upper
60s to low 70s.

Monday-Wednesday... Low rain chances again on Monday before rain
chances increase on Monday night into Tuesday as another mid-level
trough approaches from the west. Highest rain chances will reside
nw of i-4 with decreasing chances farther south. As the trough axis
quickly pushes east of the area Tuesday night, the global models are
in good consensus with dry weather prevailing during the middle of
next week. Temperatures look to continue slightly below normal.

Aviation Widespread ifr near ovc007 immediately behind the strong
cold front has lifted to prevailing low-end MVFR ovc010-015 with ifr
cigs continuing from ism-obe. While the 06z tafs appear a bit more
optimistic with cig heights, this will change with the 12z package,
which will show prevailing MVFR ovc020-030 at best with passing -
shra along the coastal corridor, especially mlb south.

Marine Near gale conditions continue for the volusia waters this
morning, with a strong SCA to the south. North winds around 23-27kt
will gust to gale force through this morning, before gradually
diminishing through tonight. Seas peak 10-13ft over the gulf stream,
7-9ft closer to shore. Will likely need a SCA for seas for the
volusia waters later tonight, even as winds drop to below 20kt.

Thursday-Sunday... A prolonged period of poor to hazardous boating
conditions will exist over the atlantic waters. There may be a brief
improvement in conditions during the day Friday where winds diminish
and seas subside. However, numerous showers and a few storms are
expected on Friday.

Conditions rapidly deteriorate again Friday night continuing through
the weekend as the pressure gradient tightens due to an area of low
pressure strengthening off the SE u.S. Coast. Westerly winds around
20 knots on Saturday will back to nnw on Sunday. Seas will build to
7 to 8 ft on Saturday and up to 8 to 11 feet on Sunday.

Hydrology The sjr at astf1 briefly rose to 2.8ft with the initial
northerly wind surge, but appears to have now stabilized between 2.6
and 2.7ft for now. The river remains in minor flood stage and will
continue to be monitored in case it approaches moderate flood stage
due to northerly wind component backing up the downstream flow
coupled with a small tidal component.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 67 62 76 66 10 20 30 70
mco 70 62 79 67 10 10 30 60
mlb 73 70 80 71 50 30 30 60
vrb 74 71 81 70 60 30 40 50
lee 68 59 78 65 0 10 20 70
sfb 68 61 78 66 10 10 30 60
orl 69 62 78 67 10 10 30 60
fpr 75 71 82 70 60 30 40 50

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... High surf advisory from 7 am this morning to 10 pm est this
evening for coastal volusia-indian river-martin-northern
brevard-southern brevard-st. Lucie.

Am... Small craft advisory from 10 am this morning to 10 pm est this
evening for flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 0-
20 nm-flagler beach to volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Gale warning until 10 am est this morning for flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 0-20 nm-flagler beach to
volusia-brevard county line 20-60 nm.

Small craft advisory until 5 am est Thursday for sebastian inlet
to jupiter inlet 0-20 nm-sebastian inlet to jupiter inlet
20-60 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 0-
20 nm-volusia-brevard county line to sebastian inlet 20-60
nm.

Short term aviation... Cristaldi
long term... .Combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 23 mi50 min NNW 7 G 8.9 71°F 81°F1014.3 hPa
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 42 mi38 min 78°F6 ft
SPGF1 - Settlement Point, GBI 63 mi38 min NNE 4.1 G 5.1 78°F 1012.9 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL17 mi43 minNNW 5 miMostly Cloudy70°F64°F83%1014.2 hPa
West Palm Beach - Palm Beach International Airport, FL18 mi45 minNNW 810.00 miA Few Clouds71°F66°F84%1013.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW333W5W5W7SW8--W10W8NW7W4W4Calm--CalmW6W5NW5NW4NW6N12
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1 day agoE6E5E7E7E10E10E10--E9E8SE84CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW3
2 days agoNE6NE7NE7NE10NE9NE9NE9E10E9E9E8NE8NE5NE10E6E10E9E10E8E8E7E4E6E4

Tide / Current Tables for Southwest Fork (spillway), Loxahatchee River, Florida
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Southwest Fork (spillway)
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Wed -- 03:54 AM EST     0.30 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:29 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 09:43 AM EST     2.63 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:23 PM EST     0.76 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:44 PM EST     2.43 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.10.70.40.30.511.62.22.52.62.52.11.71.310.80.81.11.622.42.42.3

Tide / Current Tables for Hobe Sound, Jupiter Island, Florida
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Hobe Sound
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:21 AM EST     0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:29 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 10:07 AM EST     2.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:50 PM EST     0.60 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:30 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 06:35 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:08 PM EST     2.15 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.61.20.80.40.30.30.61.11.72.12.32.321.71.30.90.70.60.81.21.622.22.1

Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.