NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION. Privacy and Cookie policy

AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 1000 Pm Est Fri Dec 8 2023
Rest of tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop.
Sat..E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop.
Sat night..E se winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop.
Sun..S se winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. A chance of showers with a slight chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt becoming W nw 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt after midnight. Lake waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Mon and Mon night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop.
Tue and Tue night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop.
Wed and Wed night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 25 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. A slight chance of showers after midnight.

AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Pm Est Fri Dec 8 2023
Synopsis..
moderate easterly winds are expected through Saturday before becoming more southerly on Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front. Seas in the atlantic generally 3-5 ft through Sunday, and 2 ft or less in the gulf.
gulf stream hazards: seas 4 to 5 feet.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of dec 07, 2023 at 12 utc...
the approximate location of the gulf stream is currently unavailable.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.

FXUS62 KTBW 090033 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 733 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023

New AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Broad upper trough currently over the C U.S. expected to move eastward through the weekend while shortwave energy over the Gulf will continue to produce thick cirrus shield over the state.
Surface high pressure continues to move further in the W Atlantic as S Plains storm system develops and moves Eward producing SE-S flow over the area with warming and increasing moisture trends through Saturday.

On Sunday, longwave trough to come in phase with southern stream shortwave to further strengthen Deep South storm system that is expected to produce a robust squall line from the FL Panhandle into the C Gulf Saturday Night into early Sunday. Latest global guidance showing best dynamics to lift just N of the CWA to limit severe potential and SPC has a general thunderstorms on day 3 outlook, but if the trough is slow to lift parts of the Nature Coast may have strong to severe storms but there is still uncertainty in that solution and upcoming hi rez guidance should improve confidence either way. What we can expect is much needed rainfall for drought stricken coastal areas as high PoP showers and thunderstorms move ahead of the cold front over the eastern Gulf and FL Peninsula Sunday into Sunday night.

Behind the front strong high pressure will build into the region on breezy NW-N winds and a cold dry airmass will move into the region Sunday night into Monday. Temps to drop below climate averages areawide but freezing temps are not expected at this time.

The frontal boundary is expected to stall in the FL Straits by Tuesday with easterly low level flow as another upper shortwave keeps WSW flow aloft producing and overrunning rain over the S FL Peninsula mid week that is expected to move Nward by late week into C FL as a low pressure area forms along the old frontal boundary for possible rain event late next week into next weekend.

AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 731 PM EST Fri Dec 8 2023

VFR conditions through the period with winds shifting from the east to the south.

MARINE
High pressure to move further into the Western Atlantic keeping southeast winds over the E Gulf waters tonight through Saturday.
A strong cold front will move through the area Sunday into Sunday night with southwest winds and seas increasing ahead of a line of showers and thunderstorms. Strong high pressure will quickly build into the region with very strong NW winds and hazardous elevated seas Sunday night through Monday. Small craft should remain in port until conditions improve Tuesday.

FIRE WEATHER
Southeast to south winds will keep the warming and increasingly humid conditions over the area through Saturday. A cold front will move through the region on Sunday into Sunday night with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms pushing across the area. Strong high pressure with cooler and drier air to build into the region with breezy northerly winds for possible fire weather concerns Monday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 64 81 66 80 / 10 0 0 60 FMY 64 83 65 82 / 0 0 0 40 GIF 62 81 64 82 / 10 10 0 50 SRQ 64 81 65 80 / 0 0 0 60 BKV 59 83 61 81 / 10 10 0 70 SPG 65 78 67 76 / 10 0 0 60

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Shell Point, Peace River, Charlotte Harbor, Florida, Tide feet

Shell Point
Click for Map
Fri -- 02:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:04 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:29 AM EST     0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 01:28 PM EST     1.25 feet High Tide
Fri -- 02:32 PM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 05:34 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:44 PM EST     0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Peace River, Florida, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Tampa Bay Area, FL,