Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Alva, FL
May 15, 2024 12:05 PM EDT (16:05 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:38 AM Sunset 8:10 PM Moonrise 12:24 PM Moonset 1:15 AM |
AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 1001 Am Edt Wed May 15 2024
.small craft should exercise caution - .
Rest of today - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Tonight - W sw winds 10 to 15 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening. A chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Thu - W winds around 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop. A chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night - W nw winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop.
Fri - SW winds 5 to 10 kt becoming S in the evening. Lake waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and tstms.
Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Lake waters a light chop.
Sat and Sat night - SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and tstms. A slight chance of showers and tstms late in the evening, then a chance of showers and tstms after midnight.
Sun - W sw winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts to around 20 kt. Lake waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of tstms in the morning. A chance of showers. A chance of tstms.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 1000 Am Edt Wed May 15 2024
Synopsis -
hazardous marine conditions will continue across the atlantic waters as a fresh to strong southerly wind flow becomes southwesterly later today. These winds will slowly decrease heading into late week. Across the gulf, a moderate to fresh south southwesterly wind flow will continue into late week. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible across all local waters each day.
gulf stream hazards: south to southwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt through today.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 14, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
hazardous marine conditions will continue across the atlantic waters as a fresh to strong southerly wind flow becomes southwesterly later today. These winds will slowly decrease heading into late week. Across the gulf, a moderate to fresh south southwesterly wind flow will continue into late week. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms will be possible across all local waters each day.
gulf stream hazards: south to southwest winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts to 30 kt through today.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of may 14, 2024 at 12 utc - .
9 nautical miles northeast of fowey rocks. 12 nautical miles east southeast of port everglades. 7 nautical miles southeast of lake worth. 6 nautical miles east southeast of jupiter inlet.
this data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.
FXUS62 KTBW 151124 AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 724 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Thunderstorms moving off the Gulf will affect KTPA, KPIE, KLAL, and possibly KSRQ over the next few hours, with MVFR or briefly lower restrictions. Storms will slowly spread southward through the rest of the day, eventually reaching the other TAF sites with similar restrictions. Outside of convection, winds will generally remain southwesterly with gusts up to 25 knots or so, but thunderstorms could contain much stronger gusts.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 500 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Looks like today will be the last really active weather day this week as a weak cool front moves south into north Florida with numerous showers and thunderstorms developing in the moist southwesterly flow ahead of it. A few of these storms could become severe with damaging winds the main threat, but some hail and an isolated tornado/waterspout cannot be ruled out. The area with the best coverage of showers and thunderstorms will slowly spread south during the day starting out over the Nature Coast this morning then moving south to the Interstate 4 corridor around midday and finally reaching southwest Florida toward evening.
The front will drift south into the forecast area tonight, but slow down and eventually stall across the southern part of the region. Scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm will continue along and south of the boundary into Thursday. North of the boundary some drier air will move in with partly to mostly sunny skies.
On Friday the boundary will begin to lift back north as the next storm system moves out of the south central U.S. and across the eastern states over the weekend. South to southwest flow will return with moisture also returning as the cool front associated with the storm system approaches the region over the weekend.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop over the weekend with the highest rain chances Saturday across the Nature Coast, and then south of Interstate 4 on Sunday.
The cool front will move through the area late Sunday and Sunday night with drier air returning for early next week as high pressure builds in from the northwest.
MARINE
Issued at 500 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Breezy south to southwest winds ahead of a weak cool front will continue today with showers and thunderstorms developing and spreading southward during the day. The front will drift south into the eastern gulf waters tonight with winds shifting to west to northwest through Thursday. This boundary will lift back north late in the week with south to southwest winds returning through early next week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 500 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds with breezy southwesterly winds around 15 mph with higher gusts today leading to rather high dispersion values. West to northwest winds will setup on Thursday, but remain less than 15 mph.
Therefore, Red Flag conditions are not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 87 76 88 75 / 90 20 10 0 FMY 91 78 91 76 / 50 40 30 0 GIF 89 73 92 70 / 80 20 10 0 SRQ 88 76 89 73 / 80 40 10 0 BKV 87 67 90 65 / 90 10 10 0 SPG 86 78 87 78 / 90 30 10 0
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.
Gulf waters...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 724 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
New AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Thunderstorms moving off the Gulf will affect KTPA, KPIE, KLAL, and possibly KSRQ over the next few hours, with MVFR or briefly lower restrictions. Storms will slowly spread southward through the rest of the day, eventually reaching the other TAF sites with similar restrictions. Outside of convection, winds will generally remain southwesterly with gusts up to 25 knots or so, but thunderstorms could contain much stronger gusts.
DISCUSSION
Issued at 500 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Looks like today will be the last really active weather day this week as a weak cool front moves south into north Florida with numerous showers and thunderstorms developing in the moist southwesterly flow ahead of it. A few of these storms could become severe with damaging winds the main threat, but some hail and an isolated tornado/waterspout cannot be ruled out. The area with the best coverage of showers and thunderstorms will slowly spread south during the day starting out over the Nature Coast this morning then moving south to the Interstate 4 corridor around midday and finally reaching southwest Florida toward evening.
The front will drift south into the forecast area tonight, but slow down and eventually stall across the southern part of the region. Scattered showers and possibly a thunderstorm will continue along and south of the boundary into Thursday. North of the boundary some drier air will move in with partly to mostly sunny skies.
On Friday the boundary will begin to lift back north as the next storm system moves out of the south central U.S. and across the eastern states over the weekend. South to southwest flow will return with moisture also returning as the cool front associated with the storm system approaches the region over the weekend.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms will develop over the weekend with the highest rain chances Saturday across the Nature Coast, and then south of Interstate 4 on Sunday.
The cool front will move through the area late Sunday and Sunday night with drier air returning for early next week as high pressure builds in from the northwest.
MARINE
Issued at 500 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Breezy south to southwest winds ahead of a weak cool front will continue today with showers and thunderstorms developing and spreading southward during the day. The front will drift south into the eastern gulf waters tonight with winds shifting to west to northwest through Thursday. This boundary will lift back north late in the week with south to southwest winds returning through early next week.
FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 500 AM EDT Wed May 15 2024
Relative humidity values will remain above critical thresholds with breezy southwesterly winds around 15 mph with higher gusts today leading to rather high dispersion values. West to northwest winds will setup on Thursday, but remain less than 15 mph.
Therefore, Red Flag conditions are not expected at this time.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 87 76 88 75 / 90 20 10 0 FMY 91 78 91 76 / 50 40 30 0 GIF 89 73 92 70 / 80 20 10 0 SRQ 88 76 89 73 / 80 40 10 0 BKV 87 67 90 65 / 90 10 10 0 SPG 86 78 87 78 / 90 30 10 0
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 5
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Thursday evening for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.
Gulf waters...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL | 25 mi | 48 min | SW 8.9G | 86°F | 86°F | 29.93 | ||
| VENF1 - Venice, FL | 44 mi | 66 min | SSW 12G | 82°F | 81°F | 29.91 | 82°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPGD PUNTA GORDA,FL | 19 sm | 12 min | WSW 15 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 90°F | 77°F | 67% | 29.93 |
Shell Point
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:16 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 05:53 AM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 01:25 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 01:45 PM EDT 1.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:20 PM EDT 1.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:53 PM EDT 1.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:16 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 05:53 AM EDT 0.07 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:39 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 01:25 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 01:45 PM EDT 1.33 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:20 PM EDT 1.31 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:53 PM EDT 1.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Shell Point, Peace River, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.5 |
| 1 am |
| 1.2 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 0.6 |
| 4 am |
| 0.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 0.3 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.9 |
| 11 am |
| 1.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.7 |
Punta Gorda
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:16 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 04:50 AM EDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 12:59 PM EDT 1.21 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:25 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:17 PM EDT 1.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:07 PM EDT 1.63 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:16 AM EDT Moonset
Wed -- 04:50 AM EDT 0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:40 AM EDT Sunrise
Wed -- 07:49 AM EDT First Quarter
Wed -- 12:59 PM EDT 1.21 feet High Tide
Wed -- 01:25 PM EDT Moonrise
Wed -- 03:17 PM EDT 1.19 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:09 PM EDT Sunset
Wed -- 09:07 PM EDT 1.63 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Punta Gorda, Charlotte Harbor, Florida (2), Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 1.1 |
| 1 am |
| 0.8 |
| 2 am |
| 0.5 |
| 3 am |
| 0.3 |
| 4 am |
| 0.1 |
| 5 am |
| 0.1 |
| 6 am |
| 0.1 |
| 7 am |
| 0.3 |
| 8 am |
| 0.6 |
| 9 am |
| 0.8 |
| 10 am |
| 1 |
| 11 am |
| 1.1 |
| 12 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 1 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.5 |
Tampa Bay Area, FL,
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