Thursday, October1, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Warm Mineral Springs, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it.
8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue.
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:20AMSunset 7:16PM Thursday October 1, 2020 9:10 AM EDT (13:10 UTC) Moonrise 6:31PMMoonset 6:03AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ836 Charlotte Harbor And Pine Island Sound- 411 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
Today..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening, then scattered Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers in the afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Monday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 411 Am Edt Thu Oct 1 2020
Synopsis..North to northeast winds will remain in place across the area through the period with high pressure ridging across the area from the north and the boundary remaining just to the south. The boundary will lift north over the weekend bringing increasing rain chances, with winds increasing to near advisory levels.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Warm Mineral Springs, FL
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location: 27.03, -82.29     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 011149 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 749 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020

AVIATION. VFR conditions expected through the period however brief MVFR conditions can't be ruled out in our southern TAFs sites. Winds will remain out of the north and northeast through the period with VCTS possible at FMY and RSW.

Prev Discussion. /issued 444 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020/

DISCUSSION . The stalled frontal boundary remains across south FL this morning with high pressure centered over the northern Gulf and ridging across the area. Broken cloudiness around 3000ft is extending back to the north from the boundary to around the Tampa Bay area before clearing across the Nature Coast. Temps are in the mid 50s to mid 60s in the cleared out areas, with around 70 to the lower 70s elsewhere.

A secondary front currently draped across the TN Valley will settle south and merge with the stalled boundary Friday night, with rain chances remaining only across the southern zones where the best moisture remains. Highs today and Friday in the lower to mid 80s, with lows tonight and Friday night in the upper 50s north to around 70 south/coastal.

The boundary/moisture then lifts north over the weekend and into early next week as an upper trough remains across the eastern US and shortwave energy streams over the state. This will allow for numerous showers and storms with no great handle on timing, but the highest chances remaining across the south. Temperatures will moderate, with highs generally in the lower to mid 80s and lows in the 60s to lower 70s.

A lot of uncertainty is then in place through the end of the period dependent upon the evolution and movement of the areas that are currently being monitored in the tropics by NHC. For more information on those, see the tropical weather outlook.

MARINE . Winds and seas are expected to remain below headline criteria through the end of the week, as a boundary remains stalled across south FL with weak ridging over the waters, and a secondary boundary settling through the waters Friday night. Conditions may increase to near advisory levels for the weekend as the boundary lifts north over the waters and rain chances increase. Will be monitoring the tropics as well to see how the systems currently being monitored evolve and may have far-reaching impacts to the local waters. Mariners will want to stay informed on the latest forecasts for any weekend plans.

FIRE WEATHER . No concerns as afternoon humidities are expected to remain above critical values.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 84 66 85 66 / 0 0 10 10 FMY 86 71 82 69 / 30 30 40 30 GIF 84 66 85 67 / 0 0 10 10 SRQ 84 67 85 67 / 10 10 10 10 BKV 84 59 84 61 / 0 0 0 10 SPG 82 71 84 71 / 0 0 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 27/Shiveley MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT . 69/Close


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
VENF1 - Venice, FL 9 mi70 min NNE 12 G 16 71°F 83°F1014.8 hPa (+0.0)58°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 35 mi100 min NE 16 G 19 77°F 84°F1015.7 hPa
FMRF1 - 8725520 - Fort Myers, FL 35 mi52 min NNE 6 G 8.9 73°F 82°F1015.3 hPa
PMAF1 44 mi52 min 72°F 74°F1015.9 hPa
MTBF1 46 mi52 min NE 18 G 20 73°F 1016.1 hPa57°F
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 48 mi136 min NE 12 G 15 73°F

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Venice Municipal Airport, FL8 mi15 minNE 129.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F59°F65%1015.9 hPa
Punta Gorda, Charlotte County Airport, FL18 mi17 minNNE 8 G 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy72°F62°F71%1015.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KVNC

Wind History from VNC (wind in knots)
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2 days agoSE4CalmS7S8SW5W7NW9W7NW9NW7NW6N3NE5E6E6E4SE3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmE4SE6

Tide / Current Tables for El Jobean, Myakka River, Florida
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El Jobean
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:14 AM EDT     1.64 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:18 AM EDT     0.64 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:12 PM EDT     1.91 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 10:51 PM EDT     0.62 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.711.31.51.61.61.51.210.80.60.70.91.21.51.81.91.91.71.51.20.90.70.6

Tide / Current Tables for Boca Grande Pass, Charlotte Harbor, Florida Current
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Boca Grande Pass
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:00 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:49 AM EDT     -1.63 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:22 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:33 AM EDT     2.53 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 02:58 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:06 PM EDT     Full Moon
Thu -- 06:08 PM EDT     -2.02 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 07:30 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:59 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:51 PM EDT     2.20 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.21.70.90-0.9-1.5-1.6-1.3-0.40.71.82.42.51.91-0-1-1.7-2-1.8-1.101.22

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current



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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.