Wednesday, February24, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Buckhead Ridge, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 6:22PM Wednesday February 24, 2021 8:51 PM EST (01:51 UTC) Moonrise 3:48PMMoonset 5:04AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 13 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ610 Lake Okeechobee- 358 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021
Tonight..Southeast winds 10 knots becoming west northwest after midnight. Lake waters a light chop. Patchy fog after midnight.
Thursday..North winds 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Thursday night..East northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
Friday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Saturday and Saturday night..East southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Sunday and Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Lake waters a light chop.
Monday..South southwest winds around 5 knots. Lake waters smooth.
AMZ600 Synopsis For Jupiter Inlet To Ocean Reef Fl Out To 60 Nm And For East Cape Sable To Bonita Beach Fl Out To 60 Nm- 358 Pm Est Wed Feb 24 2021
Synopsis..A stationary front across the region is allowing for showers to develop over the atlantic waters. The front will become diffuse overnight, as high pressure builds into the region. This will result in decreased shower chances and generally east/southeast winds for most of Thursday.
Gulf stream hazards..Waterspouts are possible within stronger developing showers this afternoon/evening. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream as of feb 23, 2021 at 1200 utc... 9 nautical miles east northeast of fowey rocks. 16 nautical miles east of port everglades. 16 nautical miles east northeast of lake worth. 12 nautical miles east northeast of jupiter inlet. This data courtesy of the naval oceanographic office.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Buckhead Ridge, FL
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location: 27.16, -81.1     debug


Area Discussion for - Miami-South Florida, FL
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FXUS62 KMFL 242337 AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Miami FL 637 PM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

AVIATION(00Z TAFS). The frontal boundary has retreated northward with some remnant shower activity remaining this evening. Sub-VFR cigs and vsbys cannot be ruled out overnight, but chances are too low to include with this issuance. Wind should turn easterly on Thursday except at APF where a Gulf breeze could again produce a westerly wind.

PREV DISCUSSION. (Issued 309 PM EST Wed Feb 24 2021)

SHORT TERM (Rest of Today through Thursday) .

A stalled frontal boundary across the region combined with low-level moisture influx has allowed for showers to develop along the boundary this morning. The MFL soundings shows all the moisture in the lower-levels and drier air with weak lapse rates aloft. This is keeping the showers fairly shallow and limiting and thunderstorm potential. Even though they are shallow they have been very efficient rainfall producers as areas along the broward coast have seen 2 to 4 inches of rain this morning resulting in some flooding and poor drainage issues. Where the shallow showers are in the lowest 12k feet of the atmosphere there is little to no wind to help move these storms, they are staying fairly stationary.

SPC mesoanalysis shows the moisture transport continuing into South Florida with bullseye of highest PWATS of 1.2-1.3 inches over the east coast. The upwind propagation vector is also oriented to support training of cells and continued cell regeneration.

Areas that have not seen rain have been able to heat up into the 80s, diurnal heating will help aid in buoyancy in combination with the stationary frontal boundary to allow further development of showers this afternoon. With east/southeasterly surface wind this may allow showers to be pinned along the east coast metro and coastal areas.

All the above parameters and lead to a much more impactful afternoon for some localized areas. The main impact will be very localized areas of heavy rainfall that may lead to low-lying poor drainage flooding over the east coast.

Eventually later this evening convection will begin to diminish, with increased moisture across the area and increased dew points and light winds have introduced the potential for patchy fog for portions of the interior.

As we move into Thursday, the frontal boundary will still be in the vicinity with a few showers but expect a little less coverage tomorrow with high pressure eventually beginning to build across the area. Temperatures will still be warm tomorrow in the 80s and mid 80s over the interior.

LONG TERM (Thursday Night through Tuesday) .

What is left of the very weak frontal boundary will remain close enough to spark off an isolated shower or two mainly across the Atlantic waters and over portions of the east coast on Thursday night. Otherwise, a mid level ridge will dominate the weather pattern across South Florida for the end of the week. The latest guidance shows this ridge continuing to strengthen in the southern Gulf of Mexico and northwestern Carribean as it pushes northward towards South Florida. This will prevent any cold fronts from pushing southward towards the region and it will keep the area mainly dry and warm. Southeasterly wind flow will remain in place as high temperatures on Friday will range from the lower 80s over the east coast metro areas to the upper 80s across the western half of South Florida.

This strong ridge of high pressure will continue to move northward over the weekend with the ridge axis moving closer to South Florida. The dry and warm conditions will continue across the region as a result and with the southeasterly winds in place, high temperatures will range from the lower to mid 80s over the east coast metro areas to around 90 over portions of Glades, Hendry and inland Collier Counties.

As early next week approaches, the ridge of high pressure will still play a role in the weather pattern across South Florida, however, guidance suggests that this ridge will flatten a bit as a mid level trough starts to move eastward across the southern Plains and into the lower Mississippi Valley. At the surface, a cold front will be pushing southward towards the Gulf Coast states and the Florida Peninsula. The latest guidance still shows differing solutions as to how far south the front actually makes it. The GFS shows the front making it into South Florida on Tuesday while the ECMWF show the ridge of high pressure holding strong keeping the cold front the north of the region. Confidence in this part of the forecast is low with the differing model solutions as well as the fact that it is towards the end of the extended period. This will continue to be monitored as the week progresses.

MARINE .

A stationary frontal boundary across the region is producing showers over the Atlantic waters this afternoon. Showers will be capable of producing waterspouts. High pressure will be able to gradually develop with fairly benign boating conditons later this week and weekend.

BEACHES .

A high rip current risk continues for the Palm Beach County beaches through at least this evening. An elevated risk of rip currents may continue into tomorrow for Palm Beach County.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. Miami 69 83 70 83 / 20 10 10 10 West Kendall 65 84 68 85 / 0 10 10 10 Opa-Locka 67 83 68 83 / 20 10 10 10 Homestead 67 82 69 83 / 0 10 10 10 Fort Lauderdale 69 82 71 83 / 40 10 20 10 N Ft Lauderdale 68 82 69 82 / 40 10 20 10 Pembroke Pines 68 83 69 84 / 30 10 10 10 West Palm Beach 68 81 67 81 / 40 10 20 10 Boca Raton 68 82 69 83 / 30 10 20 10 Naples 62 81 63 84 / 0 0 0 0

MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ168.

AM . None. GM . None.

Aviation . RAG

Visit us at weather.gov/miami

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Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BGCF1 - Big Carlos Pass, FL 67 mi57 min N 7 G 9.9 71°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 68 mi51 min SE 11 G 13 76°F 75°F1019.5 hPa (+1.0)69°F
VENF1 - Venice, FL 72 mi51 min NW 6 G 7 68°F 71°F1020.3 hPa (+0.6)61°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Okeechobee County Airport, FL15 mi56 minSE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F64°F83%1020 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KOBE

Wind History from OBE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE5E5S6SE5CalmCalmSE6CalmE5SE4SE6
1 day agoCalmSW6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW4W3NW5NW5N5NW7CalmN7CalmNW5CalmE7E6E5CalmCalm
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3SE6S9
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Tide / Current Tables for North Fork, St. Lucie River, Florida
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North Fork
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:06 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:01 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:53 AM EST     0.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:40 PM EST     0.15 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:43 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:19 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:56 PM EST     0.93 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.30.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.10.40.70.910.90.80.60.40.30.20.20.30.50.70.90.90.90.7

Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Stuart
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:08 AM EST     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:00 AM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:38 AM EST     0.85 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:42 PM EST     0.14 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:43 PM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:18 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 08:41 PM EST     0.82 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.1-0.1-0.1-00.10.40.70.80.80.80.70.50.40.20.20.10.20.40.60.80.80.70.6

Weather Map
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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.