Thursday, July2, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Stuart, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:21PM Thursday July 2, 2020 4:37 AM EDT (08:37 UTC) Moonrise 5:05PMMoonset 3:07AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 401 Am Edt Thu Jul 2 2020
Today..Southwest winds 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 401 Am Edt Thu Jul 2 2020
Synopsis..Winds will continue from the west to southwest as an area of low pressure develops off the southeast atlantic coast on Friday. The low will move offshore this weekend with continued low level westerly flow and deep moisture brining high shower and storm chances each day through the holiday weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, july 2nd. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stuart, FL
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location: 27.2, -80.26     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 020756 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 356 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2020

DISCUSSION.

Today . A deep mid/upper level trough extends along the eastern seaboard to NE FL with mid level impulses traversing the nrn portion of the state. Fairly deep moisture is progged across east central FL today as PWATs increase to 1.9 to 2.1 inches. Mid level temps remain on the warm side but with surface temps reaching the mid 90s and low to mid level westerly flow to 20 knots expect scattered storms to develop into early afternoon initially across the north and then moving toward coastal sections from Volusia/Brevard and Indian River counties by mid to late afternoon, additional convective development is expected into the late aftn and early evening for the southern Treasure coast. Scattered storms will push toward the near shore Atlantic waters posing a hazard for small craft with convective gusts to 35 knots or greater. An east swell and larger than normal tidal range will contribute to a moderate risk for rip currents at east central FL beaches.

Tonight . Isolated storms will be possible across the southern Treasure Coast into the evening hours and then the shower/storm activity will move offshore by midnight. A trailing band of deeper moisture ahead of a surface front dropping toward N FL will continue a low chance for showers across northern sections overnight. Lows are expected mainly in the mid 70s.

Friday-Sunday . Weak front will linger north of the area keeping subtropical ridge axis south of Florida through late week into the holiday weekend. Deep moisture (PW values 2+ inches), prevailing westerly flow and a more disturbed pattern aloft will keep rain chances elevated through the period. Currently have PoPs ranging from 60-80 percent from Brevard/Osceola counties northward and around 40-50 percent farther south through the 4th, and then 60-80 percent area wide Sunday as models show deeper moisture spreading southward. Scattered to numerous showers look to develop initially across west central Florida each day and shift eastward across the area through the late morning and afternoon before pushing offshore. Any storm or boundary interactions with the east coast sea breeze (should it be able to develop) may enhance convection near the coast with a few stronger storms possible.

Offshore winds will favor warmer than normal temperatures, but this may be offset some this weekend should convection and increased cloud cover develop earlier in the day, especially across central and northern portions of east central Florida. Highs are forecast to reach the low to mid 90s across much of the area Friday and Saturday, with max temps in the upper 80s/near 90 from Orlando northward Sunday and low 90s farther south.

Monday-Wednesday . Pattern remains fairly similar into next week with weak front/trough lingering north of the area with westerly offshore flow persisting. This will continue the trend of above normal rain chances (as high as 60-80 percent), especially early in the week, with the threat for a few stronger storms and localized heavy rainfall from any training showers and storms persisting each day. Temperatures expected to remain near to above normal as westerly winds either delay or prevent east coast sea breeze formation, with highs reaching the low to mid 90s each afternoon.

AVIATION. VFR conds are expected today outside of scattered convection which will develop initially north of a KISM-KMLB line by mid day into early afternoon, SCT TSRA will move toward the cstl corridor from KDAB-KVRB by mid afternoon and then affect KFPR-KSUA in the late aftn/eve. For now have VCTS most terminals for the afternoon hours with short TEMPO windows likely needed for some terminals later today.

MARINE.

Today . SW winds expected to 10-15 knots with seas 2 ft nearshore to 3 ft well offshore. Scattered storms will move toward the intracoastal and near shore Atlantic waters this afternoon with some of the stronger storms capable of producing convective wind gusts in excess of 35 knots.

Tonight . SW-W winds will increase to around 15 knots offshore with seas 2 ft near shore to around 3 ft offshore.

Fri-Mon . Ridge axis remains south of the region during the period, as a weak front/trough persists near to north of Florida/Georgia state line. This will keep a W/SW flow across the waters that will become S/SE nearshore each afternoon as the sea breeze forms and likely remains pinned near the coast each day. Wind speeds look to remain less than 15 knots with seas 1-3 feet.

Main concern for boaters will be the threat of gusty offshore moving scattered to numerous showers and storms each afternoon as an offshore steering flow persists from late weekend into early next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 93 74 91 74 / 60 20 70 30 MCO 94 76 93 76 / 50 10 70 20 MLB 94 74 92 75 / 60 0 60 30 VRB 94 75 94 74 / 60 10 50 20 LEE 93 77 92 76 / 50 20 80 30 SFB 94 76 93 76 / 50 10 70 30 ORL 94 76 93 76 / 50 10 70 20 FPR 94 73 94 74 / 60 10 40 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Volkmer MID-LONG TERM . Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 24 mi41 min 84°F1 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 42 mi49 min SW 1.9 G 4.1 1013.8 hPa
SIPF1 47 mi52 min SW 7 78°F 76°F1015 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Witham Field Airport, FL2 mi62 minSW 4 miFair77°F71°F83%1014.9 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL22 mi44 minWSW 310.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1014.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSUA

Wind History from SUA (wind in knots)
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W5W5W5W5E6E6--NE8SE8SE8S4S7S5SW4SW3W3SW4
1 day agoSW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE8E8E10E10SE10E12SE10NW8CalmCalmS3CalmSW3SW6SW5W4SW4
2 days agoCalmCalm33W4NW6N4NE5E8E8E8E6E6E8SE7S54SW3SW3SW3SW3SW3SW3W4

Tide / Current Tables for Stuart, St. Lucie River, Florida
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Stuart
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:56 AM EDT     0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:56 AM EDT     0.96 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:15 PM EDT     -0.35 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:46 PM EDT     1.05 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.40.20.10.10.20.40.70.910.90.70.50.2-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-00.30.7111

Tide / Current Tables for Seminole Shores, Florida
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Seminole Shores
Click for Map
Thu -- 04:06 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:45 AM EDT     3.07 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:10 PM EDT     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:35 PM EDT     3.35 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:19 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.10.311.72.533.12.72.11.20.4-0.3-0.6-0.40.1122.83.33.32.92.21.40.6

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.