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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 257 Pm Est Mon Dec 11 2023
This afternoon..North winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots with gusts up to 25 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots, diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots with gusts up to 30 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters rough.
Thursday..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Bay and inland waters very rough. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 25 to 30 knots, diminishing to 20 to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Bay and inland waters very rough. A slight chance of showers.
Friday..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Bay and inland waters rough. A slight chance of showers.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 257 Pm Est Mon Dec 11 2023
Synopsis..
the cold front that pushed through yesterday is stalled south of florida but will keep things breezy through the week. Winds will shift more northeast and stay out of that direction through much of the week. Winds will be breezy and slowly increasing through the week with small craft possible by Wednesday through the end of the work week.

FXUS62 KTBW 111954 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 254 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 252 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Temperatures have been staying cool today thanks to a cold front that pushed through yesterday. Clearing skies tonight will allow for temperatures to drop into the 30's and 40's across the area but everyone should stay above freezing with some patchy frost in Levy County. Temperatures will start to moderate for Tuesday and Wednesday however the front that pushed through us will start to drift north. This will increase our cloud cover for the latter half of the work week. This will keeps lows in the 60's and highs in the 70's each day.

As we get into Friday and next weekend the models seem to agree that a low pressure will form on the tail end of the front and push through our area. This will result in breezy and wet conditions.
However, timing and location is pretty far off from the GFS and EURO. GFS has a quicker and more northerly motion of the storm with Friday and Saturday being the wettest and the low pushing through the panhandle. Euro has a slower and southern solution with the wetter days being Saturday and Sunday with the low passing through south Florida. I leaned a little more towards the EURO right now keeping the higher rain shower chances on Saturday and Sunday but things should become more clear in the coming days.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 252 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

VFR conditions expected through the period with winds shifting more northeast overnight. Winds will start to pick and gust around 15 knots during the daytime hours tomorrow.

MARINE
Issued at 252 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

The cold front that pushed through yesterday is stalled south of Florida but will keep things breezy through the week. Winds will shift more northeast and stay out of that direction through much of the week. Winds will be breezy and slowly increasing through the week with Small Craft possible by Wednesday through the end of the work week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 252 PM EST Mon Dec 11 2023

Drier air will be in place for our Tuesday before winds and moisture increase by mid to late week. The only major hazard will be gusty winds for the middle and end parts of the week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 47 71 59 76 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 50 75 63 79 / 0 0 0 10 GIF 47 71 59 75 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 47 73 60 78 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 37 70 53 75 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 53 69 60 74 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM EST Tuesday for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM.

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Sarasota
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Mon -- 05:49 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:06 AM EST     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:09 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 04:26 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:21 PM EST     2.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Sarasota, Sarasota Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
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Mon -- 03:27 AM EST     -1.77 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:51 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 07:10 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:47 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:13 AM EST     1.61 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:55 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:25 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:36 PM EST     -0.05 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:17 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:36 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:35 PM EST     1.19 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current, knots

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