Tuesday, May11, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Indian River Estates, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:33AMSunset 8:01PM Tuesday May 11, 2021 7:05 AM EDT (11:05 UTC) Moonrise 5:34AMMoonset 7:05PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 402 Am Edt Tue May 11 2021
Today..Variable winds 5 knots becoming onshore in the early afternoon. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 12 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers. Slight chance of Thunderstorms after midnight.
Thursday..North winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Showers likely and chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Chance of showers.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 402 Am Edt Tue May 11 2021
Synopsis..The axis of the atlantic high pressure ridge will sag from central florida into south florida by Wednesday, then collapse Thursday as a frontal boundary moves near central florida. This will result in much higher coverage of showers and storms Thursday. As the trough moves away from florida, strong high pressure will build north of florida into the weekend. An increasing northeast fetch will cause large swells to build into the local waters from late Thursday into this weekend.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, may 9th. 43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 31 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 25 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian River Estates, FL
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location: 27.36, -80.28     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 110812 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 412 AM EDT Tue May 11 2021

DISCUSSION. . Increasing Rain Chances Mid To Late Week .

Today . High pressure currently sits over the western Atlantic waters, in addition to, a weak surface high over the eastern Gulf of Mexico. Surface analysis charts also show a decaying wave upstream of east-central Florida with the low center situated over South Carolina with the associated frontal boundary stretching into the Deep South. The area remains dry with dry air winning out as seen on the 00Z observed skew-Ts. Soundings indicated an unstable airmass in place ahead of the slowly approaching frontal boundary with surface and MUCAPE over 3,000 J/kg, as well as, low- to-moderate bulk shear. Current temperatures are in the low-to- mid 70s with dew-points in the upper 60s and low 70s.

As we head into the afternoon hours, the region will remain in between the two high pressure centers which will help cause a sea breeze collision this afternoon and into the early evening hours. However, keeping persistence, model trends, and current observations in mind, dry air will likely keep things contained for the most part this afternoon/evening. With that said, I've trended towards the lower end of model guidance for PoPs this afternoon/evening and kept a chance for isolated showers and storms with daytime heating and sea breeze interactions helping trigger precipitation to develop this afternoon. Any storms that are able to develop, will have the potential to produce gusty winds, cloud-to-ground lighting, and heavy rainfall. Highs will once again be above normal today as southerly flow continues to advect warm air ahead of the frontal system. Highs will reach the upper 80s to low 90s.

Tonight . Overnight, showers and storms will come to an end within a few hours after sunset as the atmosphere stabilizes and as drier air moves into the lower atmosphere. East-central Florida will stay mostly dry overnight with high pressure continuing to be the main influence over the region. Low temperatures will stay warm with partly cloudy skies and southerly flow. Temperatures will drop into the low-to-mid 70s overnight.

Wed-Fri . Increased moisture along with transiting mid level disturbances will help increase coverage of showers and storms at midweek. The upr flow pattern wl become broadly cyclonic while amplifying further late into the work week. Guidances continues to suggest rain chances increasing daily, becoming likely across a large portion of the area during Thu. Additionally, thermodynamic and moisture parameters along with favorable steering level winds wl lead to few strong storms, with small hail and gusty winds on Thu. Expect afternoon highs in the 90s Wed, cooling to the 80s Thu and even cooler Fri in the wake of a passing frontal boundary. Showers will taper during Fri as a drier post-frontal airmass makes it well into the area.

Extended . The upcoming weekend shows a brief return to drier conditions over most of the area as Mid Atlc high pressure builds Swd Sat. Redevelopment of a mentionable shower chance expected across southern and inland areas, as well as the Atlc waters Sun-Mon building Nwd across the remainder of the region well into the following week expected as as onshore flow veers and high pressure becomes established near Bermuda in a Summerlike pattern.

AVIATION. VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. A chance for isolated showers/storms exists mainly over the northern TAF sites this afternoon, however, confidence isn't high enough to add thunderstorms to the southern TAF locations at this time. Winds will stay light from the east-southeast through the forecast period - becoming light and variable during the nighttime hours.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . The ridge axis will continue to stay over the western Atlantic which will keep southerly winds around 5-10 knots over the coastal waters today, with seas around 2-3 feet expected.

Wed-Fri . Generally favorable conditions for open water navigation Wed-Thu. A frontal boundary during Fri, followed by building winds behind the front will create choppy seas and likely headline conditions late in the week and into Sun over the marine area.

Extended . A long period of onshore flow is shown during next week as high pressure becomes established near Bermuda and WWD. Winds and swell will likely bring headlines for hazardous conditions for most of the local waters at least the early portion of next week.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 89 71 89 69 / 20 20 60 50 MCO 93 72 92 73 / 30 20 50 40 MLB 90 73 89 70 / 20 20 60 50 VRB 89 72 90 69 / 20 20 50 50 LEE 92 72 93 70 / 20 10 30 30 SFB 93 71 92 70 / 30 20 50 40 ORL 93 73 93 71 / 30 20 50 40 FPR 89 72 90 69 / 20 20 50 50

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.



SHORT TERM . Fehling LONG TERM . Pendergrast AVIATION . Fehling


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 14 mi39 min 78°F1 ft
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 53 mi47 min SW 1 G 1.9 78°F 81°F1017.6 hPa72°F
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 75 mi47 min NNW 1.9 G 1.9 74°F 81°F1018.9 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 79 mi35 min 5.8 G 5.8 78°F1017.2 hPa

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL11 mi12 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds71°F68°F90%1018.5 hPa
Witham Field Airport, FL13 mi15 minN 07.00 miFair73°F72°F94%1018.6 hPa
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL21 mi12 minW 310.00 miPartly Cloudy72°F71°F97%1018.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFPR

Wind History from FPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmS5S7S9W10SE12SE16
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SE14SE15SE14SE11SE8SE9S7S4S5S4CalmSE5CalmW3CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmSE10E14SE13
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2 days agoN4N7N8
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NE76E9NE8NE8NE7NE5NE4E5E4E3E5E7E7SE3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Ankona, Indian River, Florida
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Ankona
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:55 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:22 AM EDT     1.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:01 PM EDT     New Moon
Tue -- 06:03 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:05 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 11:58 PM EDT     1.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.21.10.90.60.40.30.20.30.50.811.11.110.80.50.20-0.100.30.60.91.2

Tide / Current Tables for Eden, Nettles Island, Indian River, Florida
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Eden
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:33 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:41 AM EDT     1.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:01 PM EDT     New Moon
Tue -- 06:31 PM EDT     -0.08 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:04 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.10.90.70.50.30.20.30.40.60.911.110.80.50.30.1-0.1-0.10.10.40.71

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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