Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
St. Lucie Village, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:21PM Saturday July 4, 2020 8:37 AM EDT (12:37 UTC) Moonrise 7:11PMMoonset 4:49AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 335 Am Edt Sat Jul 4 2020
Today..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast 5 knots early in the afternoon, then becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the mid to late afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Sunday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west 5 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 5 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 335 Am Edt Sat Jul 4 2020
Synopsis..Winds will continue from the southwest to west as the atlantic ridge axis remains suppressed to the south. Low pressure to the north will continue to draw deep moisture across the area bringing high shower and storm chances each day through the holiday weekend and into early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, july 2nd. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near St. Lucie Village, FL
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location: 27.48, -80.33     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 040735 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 335 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Storm Chance Remain High Through the Holiday Weekend and Through Much of Next Week .

Current-Today . Short range guidance initializes a very weak low pressure offshore from the Volusia coast this morning which will move farther offshore into this afternoon. Aloft a mid level low will meander south of AL and wrn FL panhandle with impulses continuing to move eastward across N FL. Low level flow from the W- WSW to 15-20 knots early will weaken through the day and allow the east coast sea breeze to move slowly onshore along the immediate coast by mid to late afternoon. Deeper moisture across the northern FL peninsula and some cooling aloft with H5 temps dropping to -7 to -8 C will allow scattered to numerous showers and storms to develop initially across northern portions of the forecast area into early to mid afternoon and then develop farther south toward the Treasure Coast late this afternoon and evening. A few storms may become strong late this afternoon mainly across the coastal counties as sea breeze convergence gives storms some additional updraft strength during peak heating. Mariners along the intracoastal and near shore waters should be on the lookout for storm approaching from the west from mid afternoon into early evening. Highs will reach the lower 90s north to the lower to mid 90s south. A moderate risk of rip currents is expected at east central FL beaches this Independence Day with long period east swells.

Tonight . Scattered storms will be ongoing into the evening and then push out across the Atlantic waters during the late evening hours. After midnight, dry weather is expected, except for a slight shower chance for Lake county late. Lows will be in the lower to mid 70s.

Sunday-Monday . Rain chances remain high through late weekend into early next week as deep moisture and a prevailing offshore flow should lead to the continued development of scattered to numerous showers and storms across the area. NBM PoP values still seems a little too high for this pattern, especially since consensus of MOS guidance is still around 20-30 percent lower. Have therefore kept forecast rain chances in between the two, ranging from 60-80 percent each day, with greatest rain chances across central and northern sections of east central Florida where highest moisture will reside. Initial storm formation will occur across west central Florida with convection shifting eastward and offshore from late morning into the afternoon. Low level W/SW winds should be weak enough for the east coast sea breeze to form each day, and any interactions with this boundary could lead to a few stronger storms toward the coast.

Before convection and cloud cover increases across the area into the afternoon, highs should still be able to reach the upper 80s to low 90s. Overnight lows will remain in the low to mid 70s.

Tuesday-Saturday . Models have shifted slightly toward the middle of next week, with deep layer ridge now being suppressed more toward the south and not lifting north across the area as trough aloft reestablishes itself across the southeast states. The trough looks to lead to low pressure development along a stalled frontal boundary north of Florida, which may increase offshore flow into late week. An initial decrease in showers and storms is still possible from Tuesday through Wednesday, but then deeper moisture builds back across the area, with above normal rain chances around 60-70 percent then forecast Thursday through Saturday. Highs will be near to above normal in the low to mid 90s.

AVIATION. Mainly VFR outside of SCT-NMRS SHRA/TSRA developing from mid day into the afternoon and evening. Westerly low to mid level flow will SHRA/TSRA first for the KLEE vcnty then developing toward Orlando terminals and the cstl corridor from KDAB-KMLB into early to mid afternoon. Short range models have later storm development in the KVRB-KSUA corridor with some stronger storms possible by late afternoon and early evening. Mainly VFR tonight with SHRA/TSRA coverage diminishing during the evening.

MARINE.

Today . Seas are rather flat at 1-2 ft across the east central FL waters early this morning with westerly winds to 10-13 knots becoming E/SE along the coast this afternoon with the east coast breeze. Near shore boaters should expect scattered storms by mid afternoon into this evening. A few stronger storms could produce wind gusts in excess of 35 knots as they move from the mainland across the intracoastal and near shore Atlantic waters.

Tonight . SE winds will become SW-W late tonight with seas 2 ft nearshore to 2-3 ft well offshore. Scattered storms are expected across the waters.

Sun-Wed . W/SW flow in the morning will become S/SE into the afternoon as offshore flow should remain weak enough for the east coast sea breeze to develop each afternoon. Wind speeds will remain below 15 knots with seas 1-3 feet. Main concern for boaters will continue to be the threat of gusty offshore moving scattered to numerous showers and storms each afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 90 74 89 75 / 60 30 80 30 MCO 93 76 91 76 / 60 30 80 20 MLB 91 75 90 75 / 60 30 70 30 VRB 92 75 91 74 / 60 40 60 30 LEE 91 76 90 76 / 60 30 80 30 SFB 93 75 91 76 / 60 30 80 30 ORL 93 76 91 76 / 60 30 80 20 FPR 94 74 92 74 / 40 40 60 30

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Volkmer MID-LONG TERM . Weitlich


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 8 mi42 min 83°F1 ft
SIPF1 27 mi38 min W 5.1 80°F 80°F1015 hPa (+1.0)
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 62 mi50 min W 4.1 G 4.1 80°F 85°F1013.6 hPa
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 66 mi50 min WSW 6 G 8 79°F 83°F1014.5 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 71 mi28 min W 12 G 14 80°F 82°F1013.3 hPa77°F

Wind History for Lake Worth Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL3 mi45 minWSW 310.00 miFair78°F75°F93%1014.1 hPa
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL13 mi45 minWSW 310.00 miFair78°F73°F87%1013.8 hPa
Witham Field Airport, FL21 mi51 minVar 47.00 miPartly Cloudy79°F73°F84%1014.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KFPR

Wind History from FPR (wind in knots)
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NE5NE5E3CalmW5CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmW3
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3CalmS3S4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW4SW3W3CalmSW3SW4W3
2 days agoW6NW6SW7W8SW10SW4W7SW5E8W19
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Tide / Current Tables for St. Lucie, Indian River, Florida
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St. Lucie
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:59 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:10 AM EDT     1.19 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:14 PM EDT     -0.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:55 PM EDT     1.31 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.80.50.20.100.10.40.711.21.10.90.60.3-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.4-0.10.40.91.21.31.2

Tide / Current Tables for Oslo, Indian River, Florida
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Oslo
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:12 AM EDT     0.50 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     -0.29 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:19 PM EDT     -0.49 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.50.30.2-0-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.10.10.20.30.20.1-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.3-0.10.10.3

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.