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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 153 Am Est Sun Dec 3 2023
.dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am est this morning...
Today..South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west late. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Patchy dense fog early this morning. A chance of showers early this afternoon. A slight chance of showers late.
Tonight..Southwest winds around 5 knots. Seas 1 foot or less, then around 2 feet after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Monday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday..North winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Bay and inland waters choppy.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 153 Am Est Sun Dec 3 2023
Synopsis..
main marine concern this morning will be the dense fog over the waters. Once the Sun rises the fog should begin to lift, however it may linger till about mid morning/ early afternoon. A line of shower is also expected to move through today starting with the nature coast area and drifting southeast. Gusty winds possible with passing showers.

FXUS62 KTBW 031146 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 646 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

New AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 149 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

The warm, moist airmass hanging over the region has aided in the development of low clouds and fog overnight. Foggy conditions will linger through mid morning before lifting. A line of showers, associated with a cold front will also begin to move towards the coast, and will likely impact the Nature Coast mid morning/ early afternoon. The line is expected to weaken as it moves southeast, southern areas may miss out on any rain. Once the front moves away from the area Monday cooler, drier air will begin to filter in. High temperatures through the week should remain below 80, with lows dipping into the 40s and 50s for most of the week. Thursday is expected to be the coldest with lows in the 30s-40s. 80s look to return next weekend.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 644 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Plenty of aviation impacts over the next 24 hours. IFR to LIFR conditions have spread to all terminals this morning thanks to fog.
Several terminals may experience LIFR conditions near or below minimums before the fog starts to lift later this morning.
Considering that it is more dense this morning than yesterday, expecting this to happen slower than yesterday. For Tampa Bay Area terminals, the instability and moisture then favors some convection this afternoon, with MVFR possible. This may even get farther south into SWFL a little later, but not certain enough yet for mention.
Wouldn't be before 21-22Z if it does. With the cold front not making it through until tomorrow, there could be another round of impacts overnight and into tomorrow morning once again, with TAFs npw hinting at IFR/LIFR conditions around 09Z. Once the front pushes through later tomorrow, less impactful conditions return and last through much of the week ahead.

MARINE
Issued at 149 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

Main marine concern this morning will be the dense fog over the waters. Once the sun rises the fog should begin to lift, however it may linger till about mid morning/ early afternoon. A line of shower is also expected to move through today starting with the nature coast area and drifting southeast. Gusty winds possible with passing showers.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 149 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023

No fire weather concerns for the next couple of days as humidity remains elevated. A dry air mass is expected to move over the area mid week which will drop relative humidity levels down, though they should remain above critical levels.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 81 70 78 60 / 30 10 10 0 FMY 85 71 81 60 / 10 10 10 0 GIF 84 68 81 56 / 20 10 10 0 SRQ 82 70 80 60 / 20 10 10 0 BKV 82 65 77 50 / 40 20 10 0 SPG 78 70 76 62 / 30 10 10 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee- Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands- Inland Charlotte-Inland Hillsborough-Inland Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-Pinellas-Polk.

Gulf waters...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM EST this morning for Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters.

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Bradenton, Manatee River, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
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Sun -- 02:13 AM EST     0.75 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:06 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 07:05 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:03 AM EST     -1.14 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 12:13 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 01:14 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:48 PM EST     1.14 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 05:35 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 09:35 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:36 PM EST     -0.07 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 11:22 PM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 11:39 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current, knots

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