Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Anna Maria, FL
May 16, 2024 8:43 PM EDT (00:43 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:39 AM Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 1:22 PM Moonset 1:51 AM |
GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 829 Pm Edt Thu May 16 2024
Rest of tonight - West winds around 5 knots, becoming south around 5 knots late. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: west 2 feet at 6 seconds. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 7 seconds and west 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Wave detail: southwest 2 feet at 6 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop.
Saturday - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 7 seconds and south 1 foot at 2 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southwest 3 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 1 foot at 3 seconds. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night - West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers. A chance of Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.
Monday - West winds around 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers, mainly in the morning.
Monday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening.
Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
winds and seas higher in and near Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 829 Pm Edt Thu May 16 2024
Synopsis - West winds tonight shift back to the southwest on Friday as a frontal boundary lifts northward across the area. Another storm system will bring increasing rain chances for the waters over the weekend. No headlines are expected, though winds and seas will be higher in and near showers and Thunderstorms.
Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 170028 AFDTBW
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 828 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024
New UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 825 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Current forecast reasoning remains unchanged, however did add patchy overnight fog potential to SWFL counties generally away from the coast with deeper moisture evident in latest obs and meso analysis. Dewpoints in the mid-upper 70s along with PWATs 1.5-2 inches across those areas, coupled with additional residual moisture from today's rainfall which totaled 1-2 inches in part of Lee County in particular, will present favorable conditions for at least some areas of patchy fog and low clouds developing overnight as winds drop to only a few mph. Patchy fog and low clouds also appear possible across Nature Coast locations where calm winds coupled with increasing moisture/PWATs as the boundary lifts back north across the peninsula will also create conducive conditions for development. Any impacts to visibility will improve during the morning as heating sets in, following another humid night for areas south of I-4 with lows in the 70s, with areas northward likely a few degrees cooler in the mid-upper 60s.
DISCUSSION
Flow aloft over the region this afternoon has become nearly zonal, with the surface frontal boundary sitting across the Florida peninsula. South of this boundary and mainly over Lee county, some showers and a few thunderstorms will continue to be possible while relatively drier air has taken hold to the north. This boundary will start to lift back northward tonight as another storm system begins to develop to our west. Low-level flow turns back to southwest through Friday, with increasing moisture once again. The main question for tomorrow's forecast will be rain chances. It would make sense that moisture pooling along the boundary would lead to some rain chances and a few other higher- res models are indicating a weakening MCS moving across the northern Gulf coast region, all of which would likely lead to some shower activity and maybe a few storms. Whatever does develop would then generally push inland with the southwest winds in place.
For Saturday, southwest flow continues across the local area, with warm and humid conditions persisting. Some showers and storms can be expected in the afternoon, but these will again favor interior locations. The frontal boundary associated with the next storm system will move into north Florida Saturday night into Sunday, with increasing shower and storm chances for the northern half of the forecast area. The boundary very slowly shifts southward through Sunday and Sunday night with rain chances moving with it.
A surface low tries to develop off the northeast Florida coast early next week, which will help keep rain chances in the forecast through Monday. Some drier air then moves in for Tuesday and more so for Wednesday, with rain chances confined more to southwest Florida.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 745 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024
VFR expected for terminals through the cycle although a period of MVFR/LCL IFR could develop overnight mainly between 09-14Z for PGD/FMY/RSW as deeper moisture coupled with light winds may lead to development of some lower cigs or patchy fog. Lower confidence for now still so hinted at potential for that time frame this cycle. Not expecting similar overnight potential for northern terminals, and VFR expected to prevail during the day Friday area wide. Winds mainly light and variable overnight, increasing to SW 7-12 knots late morning through afternoon before diminishing during the evening.
MARINE
West to northwest winds today shift back to the southwest Friday as a frontal boundary lifts northward across the area. Another storm system will bring increasing rain chances for the waters over the weekend. No headlines are expected, though winds and seas will be higher in showers and thunderstorms.
FIRE WEATHER
No Red Flag concerns for the next several days as relative humidity values will remain above normal. A frontal boundary over the region will move north through Friday and then another storm system will bring increasing rain chances for the area through this weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 76 91 79 92 / 10 10 0 20 FMY 77 93 78 95 / 10 10 0 20 GIF 71 95 75 96 / 0 20 0 30 SRQ 76 91 77 93 / 10 10 0 20 BKV 66 93 71 94 / 0 20 0 30 SPG 79 89 81 90 / 10 10 0 20
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 5
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 828 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024
New UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
Issued at 825 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024
Current forecast reasoning remains unchanged, however did add patchy overnight fog potential to SWFL counties generally away from the coast with deeper moisture evident in latest obs and meso analysis. Dewpoints in the mid-upper 70s along with PWATs 1.5-2 inches across those areas, coupled with additional residual moisture from today's rainfall which totaled 1-2 inches in part of Lee County in particular, will present favorable conditions for at least some areas of patchy fog and low clouds developing overnight as winds drop to only a few mph. Patchy fog and low clouds also appear possible across Nature Coast locations where calm winds coupled with increasing moisture/PWATs as the boundary lifts back north across the peninsula will also create conducive conditions for development. Any impacts to visibility will improve during the morning as heating sets in, following another humid night for areas south of I-4 with lows in the 70s, with areas northward likely a few degrees cooler in the mid-upper 60s.
DISCUSSION
Flow aloft over the region this afternoon has become nearly zonal, with the surface frontal boundary sitting across the Florida peninsula. South of this boundary and mainly over Lee county, some showers and a few thunderstorms will continue to be possible while relatively drier air has taken hold to the north. This boundary will start to lift back northward tonight as another storm system begins to develop to our west. Low-level flow turns back to southwest through Friday, with increasing moisture once again. The main question for tomorrow's forecast will be rain chances. It would make sense that moisture pooling along the boundary would lead to some rain chances and a few other higher- res models are indicating a weakening MCS moving across the northern Gulf coast region, all of which would likely lead to some shower activity and maybe a few storms. Whatever does develop would then generally push inland with the southwest winds in place.
For Saturday, southwest flow continues across the local area, with warm and humid conditions persisting. Some showers and storms can be expected in the afternoon, but these will again favor interior locations. The frontal boundary associated with the next storm system will move into north Florida Saturday night into Sunday, with increasing shower and storm chances for the northern half of the forecast area. The boundary very slowly shifts southward through Sunday and Sunday night with rain chances moving with it.
A surface low tries to develop off the northeast Florida coast early next week, which will help keep rain chances in the forecast through Monday. Some drier air then moves in for Tuesday and more so for Wednesday, with rain chances confined more to southwest Florida.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 745 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024
VFR expected for terminals through the cycle although a period of MVFR/LCL IFR could develop overnight mainly between 09-14Z for PGD/FMY/RSW as deeper moisture coupled with light winds may lead to development of some lower cigs or patchy fog. Lower confidence for now still so hinted at potential for that time frame this cycle. Not expecting similar overnight potential for northern terminals, and VFR expected to prevail during the day Friday area wide. Winds mainly light and variable overnight, increasing to SW 7-12 knots late morning through afternoon before diminishing during the evening.
MARINE
West to northwest winds today shift back to the southwest Friday as a frontal boundary lifts northward across the area. Another storm system will bring increasing rain chances for the waters over the weekend. No headlines are expected, though winds and seas will be higher in showers and thunderstorms.
FIRE WEATHER
No Red Flag concerns for the next several days as relative humidity values will remain above normal. A frontal boundary over the region will move north through Friday and then another storm system will bring increasing rain chances for the area through this weekend.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 76 91 79 92 / 10 10 0 20 FMY 77 93 78 95 / 10 10 0 20 GIF 71 95 75 96 / 0 20 0 30 SRQ 76 91 77 93 / 10 10 0 20 BKV 66 93 71 94 / 0 20 0 30 SPG 79 89 81 90 / 10 10 0 20
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 5
For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
42098 | 12 mi | 77 min | 84°F | 3 ft | ||||
MTBF1 | 12 mi | 85 min | W 8.9G | 81°F | 29.85 | 71°F | ||
PMAF1 | 12 mi | 85 min | 82°F | 86°F | 29.86 | |||
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL | 18 mi | 85 min | WNW 7G | 83°F | 85°F | 29.87 | ||
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL | 25 mi | 85 min | W 8G | 84°F | 90°F | 29.85 | ||
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 | 26 mi | 128 min | S 3.9G | 81°F | 83°F | 29.86 | 81°F | |
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL | 32 mi | 85 min | W 2.9G | 81°F | 86°F | 29.86 | ||
EBEF1 | 32 mi | 85 min | 86°F | 85°F | 29.84 | |||
SKCF1 | 32 mi | 97 min | W 7G | |||||
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL | 33 mi | 97 min | WSW 7G | |||||
VENF1 - Venice, FL | 34 mi | 103 min | SW 8G | 82°F | 81°F | 29.85 | 76°F | |
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL | 44 mi | 169 min | WNW 2.9G | 84°F | 43 ft | 29.84 | 69°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT HIDE  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KSRQ SARASOTA/BRADENTON INTL,FL | 13 sm | 50 min | WSW 05 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 82°F | 72°F | 70% | 29.86 | |
KSPG ALBERT WHITTED,FL | 18 sm | 50 min | W 05 | 10 sm | A Few Clouds | 84°F | 73°F | 70% | 29.83 |
Tide / Current for Anna Maria Key, city pier, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Anna Maria Key
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:52 AM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:51 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 09:26 AM EDT 1.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:35 PM EDT 1.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:21 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 07:23 PM EDT 1.76 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:52 AM EDT 0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:51 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 09:26 AM EDT 1.53 feet High Tide
Thu -- 01:35 PM EDT 1.25 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:21 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 07:23 PM EDT 1.76 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Anna Maria Key, city pier, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12 am |
0.5 |
1 am |
0.3 |
2 am |
0.2 |
3 am |
0.3 |
4 am |
0.5 |
5 am |
0.8 |
6 am |
1 |
7 am |
1.3 |
8 am |
1.4 |
9 am |
1.5 |
10 am |
1.5 |
11 am |
1.5 |
12 pm |
1.3 |
1 pm |
1.3 |
2 pm |
1.3 |
3 pm |
1.3 |
4 pm |
1.4 |
5 pm |
1.6 |
6 pm |
1.7 |
7 pm |
1.8 |
8 pm |
1.7 |
9 pm |
1.6 |
10 pm |
1.4 |
11 pm |
1.2 |
Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:54 AM EDT -1.15 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:51 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 04:39 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:18 AM EDT 1.15 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:29 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:21 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 02:29 PM EDT -0.33 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:48 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:39 PM EDT 0.41 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:09 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:54 AM EDT -1.15 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:51 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 04:39 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:18 AM EDT 1.15 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 12:29 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:21 PM EDT Moonrise
Thu -- 02:29 PM EDT -0.33 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:48 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:39 PM EDT 0.41 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:13 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 10:09 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots
12 am |
-1.1 |
1 am |
-1.1 |
2 am |
-1 |
3 am |
-0.8 |
4 am |
-0.3 |
5 am |
0.2 |
6 am |
0.6 |
7 am |
1 |
8 am |
1.1 |
9 am |
1.1 |
10 am |
0.9 |
11 am |
0.5 |
12 pm |
0.2 |
1 pm |
-0.1 |
2 pm |
-0.3 |
3 pm |
-0.3 |
4 pm |
-0.2 |
5 pm |
0 |
6 pm |
0.2 |
7 pm |
0.4 |
8 pm |
0.4 |
9 pm |
0.3 |
10 pm |
0 |
11 pm |
-0.3 |
Tampa Bay Area, FL,
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