Ellenton, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Ellenton, FL

June 22, 2024 8:58 AM EDT (12:58 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:34 AM   Sunset 8:30 PM
Moonrise 8:35 PM   Moonset 5:50 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 405 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Today - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest this afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms early this afternoon. Scattered showers and Thunderstorms late.

Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers. Scattered Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Sunday - Southeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Sunday night - Southwest winds around 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered showers. Scattered Thunderstorms, mainly in the evening.

Monday - Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Numerous showers. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Tuesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous showers and scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Tuesday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening.

Wednesday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms. Scattered showers in the morning, then numerous showers in the afternoon.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 405 Am Edt Sat Jun 22 2024

Synopsis - Quiet winds and seas are expected through the week as a ese flow gradually becomes wsw over the next few days. While the flow remains ese, the greatest potential for storms across coastal waters looks to be late in the afternoon and into the evening. Strong gusty winds could lead to locally hazardous seas as heavy rain limits visibility. Once the winds veer more wsw, storms will become increasingly likely at anytime, but favored more so during the morning and midday time-frame.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellenton, FL
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Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 221213 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 813 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

New AVIATION

DISCUSSION
Issued at 400 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

A typical summertime pattern is settling in across the region. With a broad upper-level ridge across the Southeast, the Bermuda High has settled in to the east. In response, a light ESE flow is in place.
Given ample moisture (PWATs exceeding 2 inches as of 3AM), instability (MCLAPE of 1800 J/KG MLCAPE as of 3AM), and the sea breeze this afternoon to act as a forcing mechanism, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected today. The expectation is that this activity will consolidate across West Central Florida by late afternoon. While gusty winds are frequent lightning are likely, the greatest concern is for heavy rainfall.
Model forecast soundings support a classic setup for this with deep moisture, a deep and narrow CAPE profile, and virtually no steering flow (meaning convection is likely to be more stationary than not).
This may lead to localized flooding in urban areas and places with poor drainage. Overall, though, the rainfall should be beneficial.

Today really kicks off what looks to be an extended period of this similar pattern. Scattered to numerous mainly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms are expected each day as high pressure remains in control. By early next week, though, it looks like the Bermuda High may slide a bit farther east, ushering in a light WSW flow. This could lead to more storms in the morning across the Gulf that drift onshore after sunrise. As this activity pushes inland, continued forecast PWATs over 2 inches could yield additional convection after a brief recovery period, meaning some places may have a chance to see more than one storm each day.

All the while, warm and muggy conditions will persist. This combo favors heat indices of 100 to 105 across the region each afternoon, with little reprieve given the light flow. Overnight lows along the coast are likely to struggle to dip below 80 during the overnight hours next week. Hopefully, the west coast will be rewarded with more storms to at least provide us with more beneficial rains as the rainy season truly gets underway.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 811 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Thunderstorms are expected today around all terminals mainly in the late afternoon and evening hours. Besides on station thudnerstorms we can expect VFR conditions throughout the period with wind generally staying below 10 knots.

MARINE
Issued at 400 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Quiet winds and seas are expected through the week as a ESE flow gradually becomes WSW over the next few days. While the flow remains ESE, the greatest potential for storms across coastal waters looks to be late in the afternoon and into the evening. Strong gusty winds could lead to locally hazardous seas as heavy rain limits visibility. Once the winds veer more WSW, storms will become increasingly likely at anytime, but favored more so during the morning and midday time-frame.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 400 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Ample moisture is in place for the week ahead, leading to scattered to numerous showers and storms each day. There are no significant fire weather concerns at this time.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 77 91 78 / 70 60 70 40 FMY 92 76 91 76 / 70 70 70 40 GIF 93 76 93 75 / 70 60 70 30 SRQ 92 75 91 76 / 70 60 70 50 BKV 94 74 93 73 / 70 50 70 40 SPG 92 79 92 81 / 60 60 70 50

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 1

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi58 min 86°F30.08
MTBF1 11 mi58 min 30.06
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi58 min 85°F30.09
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 23 mi58 min 30.07
42098 24 mi32 min 86°F1 ft
EBEF1 27 mi58 min 86°F30.06
SKCF1 27 mi88 minNNE 1.9G4.1
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 28 mi70 minNE 1G2.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 28 mi88 minNNE 2.9G4.1
VENF1 - Venice, FL 32 mi58 minE 6G7 81°F 84°F30.0678°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi83 minE 3.9G5.8 84°F 85°F30.0684°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi58 min 86°F30.07
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 46 mi124 minE 5.1G6 79°F 30.0674°F


Wind History for St. Petersburg, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KSRQ SARASOTA/BRADENTON INTL,FL 10 sm65 minE 0610 smClear81°F77°F89%30.06
KSPG ALBERT WHITTED,FL 18 sm65 minNE 0710 smClear82°F77°F84%30.05
KMCF MACDILL AFB,FL 22 sm63 minENE 0610 smClear82°F75°F79%30.05
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KSRQ
   
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Wind History graph: SRQ
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Tampa Bay, Florida
   
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Redfish Point
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Sat -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 01:18 PM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:28 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 10:37 PM EDT     -0.44 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Redfish Point, Manatee River, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
0
1
am
0.4
2
am
0.8
3
am
1.1
4
am
1.2
5
am
1.3
6
am
1.4
7
am
1.4
8
am
1.5
9
am
1.6
10
am
1.9
11
am
2.2
12
pm
2.5
1
pm
2.6
2
pm
2.6
3
pm
2.4
4
pm
2.1
5
pm
1.6
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
0.6
8
pm
0.2
9
pm
-0.2
10
pm
-0.4
11
pm
-0.4


Tide / Current for Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current
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Port Manatee
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Sat -- 02:12 AM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:49 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 07:02 AM EDT     0.21 knots Min Flood
Sat -- 11:39 AM EDT     0.89 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:47 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 07:01 PM EDT     -1.51 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 09:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 11:24 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Port Manatee, Tampa Bay, Florida Current, knots
12
am
0.6
1
am
0.9
2
am
1
3
am
0.9
4
am
0.7
5
am
0.5
6
am
0.3
7
am
0.2
8
am
0.3
9
am
0.4
10
am
0.7
11
am
0.8
12
pm
0.9
1
pm
0.7
2
pm
0.4
3
pm
-0.1
4
pm
-0.6
5
pm
-1.1
6
pm
-1.4
7
pm
-1.5
8
pm
-1.4
9
pm
-1.2
10
pm
-0.7
11
pm
-0.2


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Tampa Bay Area, FL,




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