Wednesday, July17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Ellenton, FL

Version 3.4
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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 8:28PM Wednesday July 17, 2019 6:20 AM EDT (10:20 UTC) Moonrise 8:16PMMoonset 6:17AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 401 Am Edt Wed Jul 17 2019
Today..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..North winds around 5 knots in the evening then becoming variable less than 5 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the evening.
Thursday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Scattered Thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Thursday night..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms early in the evening. Isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Friday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms after midnight.
Saturday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Saturday night..East winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Sunday..South winds around 5 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 401 Am Edt Wed Jul 17 2019
Synopsis..Light winds and slight seas will continue through the weekend. There will be some enhancement to the winds along the coast each afternoon with the sea breeze. The only hazard will be the possibility of evening Thunderstorms moving off the coast each day.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellenton, FL
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location: 27.53, -82.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 170750
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
350 am edt Wed jul 17 2019

Discussion (today - Tuesday)
Strong mid to upper-level ridge over florida will build northward
over the next several days and extend across much of the eastern
2 3rds of the country by the weekend. This will bring hot and
humid conditions to most of the eastern u.S.

Models are in fairly good agreement depicting a deepening mid to
upper-level trough over the eastern half of the nation on Monday
and Tuesday, displacing the ridge to the south and east.

Closer to home, our weather will be dependent on the position of
the sub-tropical ridge. Our afternoon storms are more numerous
near the coast south of the ridge axis, and farther inland north
of the ridge axis. Since the low-level ridge axis is forecast to
meander over central florida through the weekend, expect the best
coverage of afternoon storms to be near the coast south of tampa
bay, and farther inland to the north.

As the upper-level ridge moves out in response to the deepening
trough on Monday and Tuesday, the surface ridge is likely to
retreat into the atlantic as well, allowing sea breezes to push
more quickly inland both days. This should keep highest rain
chances east of i-75 for the start of next week.

Aviation
Similar to yesterday, scattered to numerous showers and storms
will develop along afternoon sea breeze boundaries again. Expect
predominantlyVFR conditions with a good chance of some
intermittent MVFR ifr lifr conditions after 18z. No tempo groups
included at this time due to timing and location uncertainties.

Marine
Light winds and slight seas will continue through the weekend.

There will be some enhancement to the winds along the coast each
afternoon with the sea breeze. The only hazard will be the
possibility of evening thunderstorms moving off the coast each
day.

Fire weather
No fire weather concerns through the weekend.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 91 78 91 78 50 20 40 20
fmy 92 76 92 75 40 40 60 20
gif 94 76 95 76 60 50 40 20
srq 91 77 91 76 30 20 40 10
bkv 93 74 93 74 40 10 30 20
spg 91 80 91 80 40 20 30 10

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... Jillson
decision support... Mckaughan


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi62 min 76°F 86°F1018.3 hPa
MTBF1 11 mi50 min SE 5.1 G 6 79°F 1018.7 hPa73°F
GCTF1 17 mi50 min 79°F 1018.8 hPa73°F
CLBF1 18 mi86 min Calm G 1.9 78°F 1018 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 18 mi56 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 81°F 86°F1018.9 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 23 mi50 min E 1.9 G 2.9 78°F 87°F1018.8 hPa
42098 24 mi50 min 86°F1 ft
MCYF1 27 mi50 min 88°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 28 mi50 min NNE 1.9 G 1.9
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 28 mi50 min ENE 1 G 1.9
VENF1 - Venice, FL 32 mi80 min E 5.1 G 6 77°F 85°F1018.3 hPa (-0.9)75°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi50 min SE 5.8 G 7.8 83°F 86°F1018.6 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi56 min SSE 5.1 G 6 81°F 88°F1018.9 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 46 mi86 min SE 1.9 G 2.9 79°F 1019.2 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL10 mi27 minE 310.00 miFair77°F73°F90%1017.9 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi27 minSE 410.00 miFair81°F73°F77%1018.2 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL23 mi24 minN 010.00 miFair76°F72°F90%1019.2 hPa

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5SE6SE9SE8SE7E8E7E9W11W10W10W10S17
G22
S6E8SE3NE3E3E3NE4CalmE4E4E3
1 day agoE3E5E6SE9E74E8W10W12W11W9NW8NE6CalmNE3E4CalmE4E5E6E6E5E4SE6
2 days agoE5E5SE8SE8SE8SE9E7W7W8W10N4NW3N7NW5N4N5SE3E3SE6E6SE7SE7SE6SE6

Tide / Current Tables for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:31 AM EDT     1.46 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:53 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:59 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:06 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:17 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 11:52 AM EDT     1.24 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 02:45 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:54 PM EDT     -1.69 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 08:27 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:56 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.11.41.41.20.80.40.1-00.10.40.81.11.210.5-0.2-0.8-1.3-1.6-1.7-1.6-1.2-0.70

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.