Sunday, February23, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Ellenton, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 6:28PM Sunday February 23, 2020 7:46 AM EST (12:46 UTC) Moonrise 7:15AMMoonset 6:36PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 336 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020
Today..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast around 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Monday night..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tuesday night..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming northwest 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots increasing to around 20 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight.
Thursday..Northwest winds around 20 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters choppy.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 336 Am Est Sun Feb 23 2020
Synopsis.. High pressure north of the waters this morning moves east while ridging back across the gulf of mexico through Monday. A front with some high rain chances traverses the area midweek and ushers in high pressure with robust to strong winds for the end of the week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Ellenton, FL
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location: 27.53, -82.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 230742 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 242 AM EST Sun Feb 23 2020

DISCUSSION. Ridging aloft and sprawling surface high pressure dominates the southeastern U.S. through tonight. They shift east Mon as a low aloft the Four Corners region tracks toward the Great Lakes and dampens out - with broad troughing aloft moving into the Gulf coastal region. A surface low tracking along with the upper low will drag a boundary into the northern Gulf coast and north FL Mon afternoon.

The 1000-700 mb flow shifts from southeasterly to southwesterly and provides a subtle increase in moisture and allows temperatures to warm to above normal. Clouds will be on the increase although staying in the scattered range. Rain chances hold off until Mon night . and confined to the Nature Coast . when the north FL front nudges some higher moisture south.

For Tue through Sat: The upper level trough along with the surface low is picked up by a Canadian low that scoots down over the Mid- Mississippi Valley then travels northeastward into eastern Quebec, Canada - with broad troughing aloft the eastern states. The north FL front slips down the state during midweek and exits into far south FL Thu. High pressure builds into the western Gulf region Fri then moves east Sat.

The front will have than enough moisture and energy for high rain chances when is moves through . ending Thu. Temperatures start off above normal but will drop significantly after the front clears the area. Lows Fri morning will be down in the 30s to 40s.

AVIATION. 23/06Z TAFs. VFR. SKC gives way to FEW-SCT CU/SC under CI. Winds prevailing NE becoming E AOB 12KT . although TPA/PIE/SRQ will see a bay/sea breeze shift.

MARINE. High pressure moving east will ridge back across the east Gulf through Mon with winds gradually veering to south then southwest with speeds occasionally in the caution range. A front enters the waters Mon night and exits Thu with high rain chances. High pressure in the wake of the front shifts winds to northwest and north at caution to advisory speeds toward the end of the week.

FIRE WEATHER. An approaching cold front will provide adequate moisture for high rain chances during midweek and will preclude low RH concerns until Fri when some drier to cool-cold air moves in. Locally robust transport winds will create higher dispersion today and Mon.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 74 61 78 65 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 79 59 82 65 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 75 58 81 62 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 75 58 79 65 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 74 54 80 61 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 74 63 77 66 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 09/Rude DECISION SUPPORT . 42/Norman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PMAF1 9 mi53 min 52°F 60°F1023.9 hPa
GCTF1 17 mi53 min 57°F 1024.2 hPa54°F
CLBF1 18 mi113 min NE 4.1 G 7 54°F 1022.8 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 23 mi53 min NNE 4.1 G 7 53°F 67°F1024.2 hPa
42098 24 mi47 min 65°F2 ft
MCYF1 27 mi53 min 69°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 28 mi53 min NNE 8 G 9.9
VENF1 - Venice, FL 32 mi47 min NE 8.9 G 12 54°F 66°F1023.2 hPa (+1.1)53°F
42013 - C10 - Navy-2 34 mi77 min ENE 14 G 16 60°F 67°F1023.6 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 36 mi53 min ENE 8.9 G 12 53°F 64°F1024.4 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 46 mi113 min NE 5.1 G 6 50°F 1024.7 hPa

Wind History for C-Cut, FL
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sarasota / Bradenton, Sarasota-Bradenton International Airport, FL10 mi54 minENE 710.00 miFair53°F51°F93%1022.9 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi54 minNE 1110.00 miFair57°F54°F90%1023.8 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL23 mi51 minENE 910.00 miFair51°F48°F91%1024 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KSRQ

Wind History from SRQ (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Redfish Point, Manatee River, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge), Florida Current
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Tampa Bay (Sunshine Skyway Bridge)
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:41 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 05:36 AM EST     -1.51 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:15 AM EST     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:05 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 10:33 AM EST     New Moon
Sun -- 12:11 PM EST     1.55 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 03:57 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 06:07 PM EST     -0.55 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:27 PM EST     Sunset
Sun -- 06:37 PM EST     Moonset
Sun -- 08:14 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 11:27 PM EST     1.26 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.90.4-0.2-0.8-1.2-1.5-1.5-1.3-0.8-0.10.71.31.51.410.5-0-0.4-0.5-0.5-0.10.40.91.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.