Sunrise 7:02 AM   Sunset 7:57 PM Moonrise 12:45 PM   Moonset 2:09 AM

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GMZ853 Coastal Waters From Englewood To Tarpon Springs Fl Out 20 Nm- 249 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Today - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots early this afternoon, then becoming west late. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Tonight - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Wednesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas around 2 feet. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Wednesday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Thursday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.Friday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday - Northeast winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. Bay and inland waters light chop.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 249 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Synopsis - High pressure will hold over the waters through the week. Rather benign conditions expected with winds 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less each day. Evening easterly surge possible with winds 10 to 15 knots for several hours, decreasing after midnight.

FXUS62 KTBW 161100 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 700 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

New AVIATION

AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period.

DISCUSSION
Issued at 203 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024 Fairly typical April pattern across Florida for the remainder of the week. A strong southern stream disturbance over the Colorado Rockies will lift northeast across the central plains today, and the upper Mississippi Valley tonight. This will aid in pumping up the downstream ridge over the Gulf of Mexico and Florida peninsula through midweek increasing large scale subsidence across the area.

U/L pattern change will begin late in the week as quasi-zonal flow develops across the CONUS. A slight decrease in heights will occur over the forecast area as the southern extent of the U/L westerlies sink south over the region...however strong U/L subsidence will persist with continued above normal temperatures.
A weak U/L trough will move over the eastern seaboard late in the weekend/early next week with an associated cold front approaching north Florida...with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm Monday and Monday night.

Rather benign weather expected for the remainder of the week across the forecast area. Some high cloudiness will begin to advect over the region today spilling over the U/L ridge, which will continue to occur each day this week, but overall skies will remain mostly clear/partly cloudy. The increasing large scale subsidence will lead to warmer temperatures...which will run 3 to 6 degrees above climatic normals throughout the week. Next chance for precipitation will develop early next week as a weak U/L trough and associated cold front approaches the region with a chance of a shower or thunderstorm.

MARINE
Issued at 203 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024 High pressure will hold over the waters through the week with winds generally 10 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less...however an easterly surge will be possible each evening with winds 10 to 15 knots for several hours.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 203 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024 Warm temperatures and relatively low dew points will create minimum afternoon relative humidity values in the 30 to 35 percent range for the next several days away from the coast. However, red flag conditions are not expected as winds will remain less than 15 knots.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 88 65 88 68 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 89 64 89 66 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 88 63 90 65 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 87 64 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 89 58 89 61 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 86 68 85 70 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Mullet Key Channel (Skyway), Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
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Tue -- 12:27 AM EDT     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:10 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 05:07 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:59 AM EDT     1.16 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 01:44 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:48 PM EDT     0.25 knots Min Flood
Tue -- 05:51 PM EDT     0.38 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:47 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots

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