Thursday, July18, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Indian River Shores, FL

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6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:36AMSunset 8:19PM Thursday July 18, 2019 4:58 AM EDT (08:58 UTC) Moonrise 8:48PMMoonset 7:01AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 352 Am Edt Thu Jul 18 2019
Today..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 3 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning.
Friday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 352 Am Edt Thu Jul 18 2019
Synopsis..The atlantic ridge of high pressure will stretch from the atlantic across east central florida through this weekend. Very favorable boating conditions are expected for small craft operation through at least Sunday.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday july 14th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 27 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 16 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Indian River Shores, FL
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location: 27.73, -80.39     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 180741
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
341 am edt Thu jul 18 2019

Discussion
Today-tonight... A bit of repetitiveness to the forecast this week,
as ridge axis from atlantic high offers not much change to the
current pattern. Southeasterly flow prevails, allowing for sea
breeze development in the early afternoon, sparking isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms. This morning, expect development
yet again of showers storms across the southern atlantic waters,
which will push onshore the southern treasure coast toward lake
okeechobee prior to noon.

Once the east coast breeze develops and sufficient heating
initiates, storms will develop along i-95 in the early afternoon,
pushing to the interior. Expect similar coverage this afternoon as
yesterday, with focus of strongest storms near and west of the
orlando metro area. Gusty winds up to 50 mph and frequent
lightning again today, with 500 mb temps of -7.5 to -8c this
afternoon. Steering flow remains light, continuing the slower
storm motion to the west and potential for heavy downpours. With a
loss of heating fuel near dusk, convection is expected to
diminish across the interior by sunset, clearing by midnight.

Afternoon highs climb again to the mid 90s for the interior, low 90s
for the coast and southern zones. Heat indices over 100 will be a
concern again today, although maxing out a smidge lower at 105 106
for lake volusia counties. Overnight temps in the low to mid 70s.

Fri-sun... No notable change in position of ridge over the
peninsula will lead to persistence forecast. Inland areas will be
favored for higher pcpn chcs due to mid-late afternoon boundary
collisions, with light onshore component steering level winds.

Some veering of upper winds to more southerly component during
the weekend should allow for locations along the coast north of
the CAPE to see improving rain chcs. Expect highs in the l-m 90s
with heat indices 100-105, and lows in the m to u 70s.

Next week... Ltst guid from GFS shows a little more progressive
weakening of ridge, and or displacement to the south of the area
(as shown by euro) by Tue and continuing through midweek. A
little higher rain chcs begin to develop by Tue and an improved
rainfall prospect during tue, and through midweek should improve
the dry conditions, especially along the immediate coast, where
many places have not had measurable rainfall in over a week.

Aviation
GenerallyVFR thru TAF period. Similar forecast as yesterday, with
calm winds overnight becoming SE 5 kts by daybreak. Sea breeze
initiates 17 18z, building shra tsra as it pushes inland through the
afternoon. Will add in tempo groups with 12z package for inland
terminals, just maintaining vcts along the coast as confidence is
too low with most development occurring west of i-95. Storms
subsiding after 00z again for most sites.

Marine
Today-tonight... Ridge axis across the atlantic waters will maintain
favorable boating conditions today. SE S winds 5-10 kts with seas 1-
2 ft building 2-3 ft this afternoon north of sebastian inlet.

Morning showers and storms for the southern waters increasing in
coverage through the afternoon, with a slight chance of storms
overnight in the gulf stream.

Fri-sun... Favorable winds and seas with dominant surface ridge
over the marine area. Winds largely 7-12 kts, or less with seas
1-3 ft.

Extended... Early next week shows continuation of favorable open
water conditions with s-se winds becoming more southerly, to an
offshore component by wed. Seas averaging 2-3 ft.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 91 76 91 74 20 10 30 20
mco 94 76 94 75 40 10 40 20
mlb 90 77 90 76 20 10 20 20
vrb 91 75 91 74 30 10 20 20
lee 94 76 94 75 40 20 40 20
sfb 94 76 94 76 30 10 40 20
orl 94 77 94 76 40 10 40 20
fpr 91 75 91 73 30 10 20 20

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Short term... Smith
long term... .Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SIPF1 10 mi59 min S 6 80°F 80°F1018 hPa (-2.0)
41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) 15 mi59 min 82°F1 ft
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 47 mi59 min 83°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 49 mi59 min WSW 1.9 G 1.9 80°F 85°F1019.1 hPa (-1.4)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 55 mi49 min SSE 7.8 G 9.7 83°F 83°F1017.6 hPa75°F
LKWF1 - 8722670 - Lake Worth, FL 79 mi59 min SE 9.9 G 12 83°F 85°F1018.6 hPa (-2.0)

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Vero Beach, Vero Beach Municipal Airport, FL6 mi66 minS 310.00 miFair78°F73°F85%1017.4 hPa
Fort Pierce, St. Lucie County International Airport, FL16 mi66 minN 010.00 miFair72°F69°F91%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from VRB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmW3SW4S5S6E73E9SE6E9E10E9SE9SE8SE7S4S3S3CalmCalmSE5S3
1 day agoCalmNE4CalmCalmSE5S6E8E9E9SE11E9
G16
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2 days agoE3CalmCalmE3E6E7E8SE10E9SE7E8E9E8E9E9E8E4E5E5E4E4E5CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Wabasso, Indian River, Florida
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Wabasso
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Thu -- 12:40 AM EDT     0.22 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 07:02 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:42 PM EDT     0.11 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:45 PM EDT     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.20.20.10-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-00.10.10.10.10-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.100.1

Tide / Current Tables for Sebastian, Indian River, Florida
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Sebastian
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Thu -- 12:12 AM EDT     0.19 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:32 AM EDT     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:02 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 11:52 AM EDT     0.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:03 PM EDT     -0.18 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:48 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.20.20.10.10-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1-000.10.10.10-0-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-000.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.