Sunrise 6:29 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 2:04 PM   Moonset 2:10 AM

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AMZ555 SEbastian Inlet To Jupiter Inlet 0-20 Nm- 928 Pm Edt Thu May 16 2024
Tonight - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 5 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms early this evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms late this evening. Friday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and north 1 foot at 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Friday night - South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Saturday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Sunday - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, building to 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet in the evening, subsiding to 2 feet after midnight. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 3 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 8 seconds, becoming southwest 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 1 foot at 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Monday - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms. Tuesday - North winds around 10 knots, becoming northeast. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers with a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 170112 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 912 PM EDT Thu May 16 2024

DISCUSSION

Current-Overnight...The ECSB continues to slowly trudge inland this evening. Quite a discrepancy in PWATs behind the weak frontal boundary across the south-central peninsula, with values between 0.75-1.00 inches across the I-4 corridor up to 1.85 inches over Martin County. Even with intense surface heating earlier this is the difference between small Cumulus fields northward and ISOLD-WDLY SCT showers/ISOLD storms well south. Will watch for convection southward thru around mid-evening, then generally dry for land areas overnight. Some models suggesting patchy fog formation late overnight into early Fri morning across the Space/Treasure coasts and over to Okeechobee County. Confidence is low on exactly where, but we do have mention in the grids/zones for these areas. Overnight lows continue warm and mild and well into the 60s and L70s.

Fri
Previous
Some hi-res guidance shows a small MCS tracking E/SE across the NE Gulf early in the day, weakening as it reaches our northern sections during the late morning. Meanwhile, the frontal boundary will begin to lift back northward along with its assocd band of moisture. So have drawn a small 20 PoP across the area for isolated showers and storms mainly in the afternoon. Max temps will be hot with widespread mid 90s, even lower 90s at the coast due to a delayed sea breeze onset. With the increasing dewpoints/humidity, it will feel more oppressive with peak heat indices 100-105.

AVIATION
Light WRLY wind component over the interior ahead of the slowly inland moving sea breeze, with winds backing E/SE behind it. Any ISOLD evening convection from FPR-SUA will diminish into mid- evening. Will need to watch for patchy fog (MVFR VSBYs) late tonight/early Fri morning INVOF stalled frontal boundary, esp VRB/FPR. This boundary will lift back northward during the day on Fri with L/V morning winds becoming SW/W 5-10 kts over the interior, backing SERLY 10-12 kts at coastal terminals with sea breeze passage in the afternoon.

MARINE
Overnight/Fri...As previously mentioned, weak frontal boundary draped over the southern waters tonight will begin to lift northward during the day on Fri as light southerly to variable winds with a weak pressure gradient gradually giving way to a SERLY flow 7- 12 kts in the afternoon. Any convection over the Treasure Coast this evening will gradually diminish. ISOLD showers/storms in the forecast on Fri. Seas 1-2 ft.

FIRE WEATHER
Previous
Fri
No wind or low RH concerns. Above normal temps in the M90s, L90s coast with min RH values around 40 percent. Peak heat indices generally in the U90s to L100s.

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

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Wabasso
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Thu -- 02:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 06:39 AM EDT     0.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:53 PM EDT     -0.07 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:32 PM EDT     0.08 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Wabasso, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

Sebastian
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:01 AM EDT     0.14 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:31 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:21 PM EDT     -0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:11 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:42 PM EDT     0.06 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:05 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Sebastian, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

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