Sunrise 7:01 AM   Sunset 7:59 PM Moonrise 2:36 PM   Moonset 3:21 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 249 Pm Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Tonight - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north after midnight, then diminishing to around 5 knots late. Bay and inland waters light chop. Friday - North winds around 5 knots, becoming west 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.Friday night - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Saturday - North winds around 5 knots, becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Saturday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots, diminishing to around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Sunday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Sunday night - Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Monday - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Monday night - Northwest winds around 10 knots, becoming north after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 249 Pm Edt Thu Apr 18 2024
Synopsis - Light winds and seas continue through the weekend with an onshore flow developing each afternoon along the coast as a warm and dry airmass remains in place. As another storm system approaches north florida on Monday, some Thunderstorms and increasing winds and seas are possible, especially across northern waters.

FXUS62 KTBW 181827 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 227 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Broad upper-level ridging remains in place as a weak but dry surface high persists at the surface. The sea breeze boundaries are the main feature of note in this setup as the light flow is allowing inland propagation and a moderating of coastal temperatures with water temperatures in the 70s. However, the aforementioned dry and stable airmass remains a barrier to any convective development, despite a setup not unlike a summer day.

Over the coming days, the gradual return of moisture may yield enough low-level convergence to support an isolated shower across the interior of the peninsula. That being said, this is still very low probability. As such, have introduced a 10% POP for parts of the interior, but it's really difficult to have much more confidence than that into next week.

The most notable feature on the horizon for next week is a shortwave trough that yields some amplification in the flow and a period of enhanced vertical ascent that may yield a few storms across mainly the northern half of the Florida peninsula on Monday.
Otherwise, though, weather conditions are not really expected to change. If anything, it may yield an increase in the overall moisture content, favoring additional diurnal activity through the end of the week.

Overall, though, conditions largely look warm and dry. While this is a little earlier than normal and favors some record high temperatures being set, we are fast approaching that period of the year where this becomes the norm.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

No significant aviation concerns through the weekend as VFR conditions prevails for the next few days. Only point of note is that a sea breeze is expected to develop each day.

MARINE
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Light winds and seas continue through the weekend with an onshore flow developing each afternoon along the coast as a warm and dry airmass remains in place. As another storm system approaches north Florida on Monday, some thunderstorms and increasing winds and seas are possible, especially across northern waters.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 221 PM EDT Thu Apr 18 2024

Conditions remain warm and dry through the weekend as high pressure remains in control. However, winds are forecast to remain light at this time with no red flag conditions expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 69 87 69 87 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 68 87 68 89 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 66 92 66 92 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 68 86 67 87 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 61 87 61 87 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 71 84 71 83 / 0 0 0 0

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Johns Pass
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Thu -- 04:06 AM EDT     0.04 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 04:21 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 07:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 11:10 AM EDT     1.44 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:34 PM EDT     1.14 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:58 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:22 PM EDT     1.78 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Johns Pass, Florida, Tide feet

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel)
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Thu -- 02:59 AM EDT     -1.28 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 04:20 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:45 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:02 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:13 AM EDT     1.34 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 01:58 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:35 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:03 PM EDT     -0.42 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 06:31 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 07:57 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:41 PM EDT     0.70 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tampa Bay Entrance (Egmont Channel), Florida Current, knots

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