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Marine Weather and Tides Lealman, FL Version 3.4

NOTICE 8/26/2020 The 7 day forecast is taking about 5 seconds to load but it will eventually load. NOAA is still working on it. 8/18/2020 NOAA continues to have trouble. Wind guest will occasionally be left off graphs. I am working with NOAA to resolve the issue. 12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed. 10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones. 9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them. 7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

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Sunrise 7:18AM

Sunset 7:28PM

Tuesday September 22, 2020 7:09 AM EDT (11:09 UTC)

Moonrise 11:56AM

Moonset 10:41PM

Illumination 26%

NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lealman, FL

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Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 220706 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 306 AM EDT Tue Sep 22 2020

SYNOPSIS. A deep strong and elongated surface high extends down the Atlantic coastline while a stalled frontal boundary is located across the Florida Straits. Aloft, weak west-northwest flow resides over the Peninsula as we are located on the northeast side of a weak upper-level anticyclone currently over the Gulf. For the tropics, Hurricane Teddy is currently northwest of Bermuda, taking aim at portions of Nova Scotia as it is expected to transition into a powerful post- tropical cyclone. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Beta is right at the coast of Central Texas and this system is expected to move northeast along the coast over the next couple of days.

DISCUSSION. A tight pressure gradient exists across the Western Atlantic courteous of Hurricane Teddy and the aforementioned area of high pressure. This gradient has been enhanced by an existing surface front which is stalled across the FL Straits. These stiff northerly winds pivot to the northeast and then east as they feed into the inflow of TS Beta. Although still breezy, fortunately for us the winds will be a little weaker than we've see in the past couple as Teddy will shunt the high pressure south through the day, resulting in a relaxation of the gradient flow. Easterly wind surges will occur over the offshore waters during the overnight hours over the next couple of nights, but these should remain in the 15-20 knot range - nothing like the last day or two.

A dry continental airmass continues to filter into the area which is evident by dew points in the 50s across northern FL, and 60s across the Nature Coast. PWATs will hover around the 1 inch mark throughout the day, keeping our rain chances very low today and near nil tomorrow. Some high and low cloud cover is still possible today as moisture resides on either side of an extremely dry 850mb-450mb layer. CAM guidance, however, is still in good agreement on some isolated shallow-top showers streaming off the east coast and sagging southward through the day. Today and tomorrow, highs in the mid to upper 80s will be offset by noticeably (not significant, of course) less humid conditions. Adding in the breezy northeast to east winds, it will feel pretty nice when compared to the last several months. Cooler overnight temperatures will also prevail as much of the area should experience the 60s around sunrise. The lowest dewpoints will spread south later tonight, so temps should be a little cooler tomorrow morning compared to our lows this morning. Wouldn't be surprised if a few isolated cooler spots in Levy county reach the 60 degree mark overnight tonight.

Thursday still looks to be a transition day as surface high pressure slides off the SE coast, shifting winds out of the southeast. At this time, moisture only looks to be sufficient enough by the afternoon hours for convection to initiate across the southern half of the area - although this is By Friday, a weak surface trough looks to pivot on the western flank of the subtropical ridge and move northward into the SE Gulf of Mexico. This will result in a return of a deep tropical airmass, and accompanying rain, to be advected northward into the FL Peninsula. It is worth noting that the NHC has a very low 10% for development of this system. Regardless, area of disturbed weather looks to produce high rain chances through the weekend.

On Monday, a cold front will be approaching our area as troughiness sets up across the eastern half of the CONUS. Under the right front entrance region of the upper-level jet, the additional kinematic support will allow for some showers and storms out ahead of the front. The front looks to be in our CWA by the end of the period on Tuesday morning.

AVIATION. (06Z TAF) VFR category and rain-free conditions through the TAF period as drier air moves into the region. Northeast winds around 7-11 knots overnight will pick up by mid morning, becoming gusty to around 20 knots. These gusty winds then subside after sunset.

MARINE. Small Craft Advisory conditions are expected to continue through mid morning for all of the eastern Gulf waters, including Tampa Bay. We will see gradually improving conditions throughout the day as winds and seas will slowly be diminishing. They will temporarily increase again during the overnight hours as easterly surges bring headlines, if not brief advisory conditions each night. Otherwise, drier conditions will prevail across the coastal waters until moisture begins to return Thursday due to the presence of southeast flow.

FIRE WEATHER. Drier air will filter into the area through mid week. Breezy northeast winds will once again prevail today, although winds will be less than yesterday . This will translate to very good afternoon and overnight dispersions once again due to moderately strong dispersions. Otherwise, adequate moisture over the last week or two precludes any other fire weather concerns .

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 86 70 86 73 / 20 0 10 0 FMY 87 71 87 73 / 0 10 10 10 GIF 85 68 85 70 / 30 0 10 0 SRQ 88 70 88 73 / 10 10 10 10 BKV 85 66 86 69 / 30 0 10 0 SPG 86 73 87 76 / 20 0 10 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT this afternoon for Waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Tampa Bay waters.



SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER . 42/Norman DECISION SUPPORT . 69/Close

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Weather Reporting Stations

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Stations	Dist	Age	Wind	Air Temp	Water Temp	Waves	Pressure	DewPt
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL	2 mi	52 min	NNE 5.1 G 9.9	73°F	82°F		1017.6 hPa
GCTF1	6 mi	52 min		74°F			1017.4 hPa	69°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL	6 mi	52 min	NE 9.9 G 12	74°F	82°F		1017.7 hPa
CLBF1	9 mi	76 min	NE 1.9 G 6	72°F			1016.5 hPa
SKCF1	10 mi	52 min	N 7.8 G 14
EBEF1	11 mi	52 min		72°F	83°F		1017.1 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL	11 mi	58 min	N 6 G 8.9
MTBF1	12 mi	52 min	ENE 16 G 18	75°F			1017.1 hPa	69°F
PMAF1	14 mi	52 min		73°F	83°F		1017.1 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL	16 mi	52 min	NE 8 G 13	72°F	83°F		1017.8 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL	24 mi	76 min	NE 8 G 9.9	72°F			1018.4 hPa
42098	25 mi	44 min			83°F	3 ft
42013 - C10 - Navy-2	49 mi	100 min	NE 18 G 21	78°F	84°F		1016.6 hPa

Wind History for Old Port Tampa, FL

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8 AM

9 AM

10 AM

11 AM

12 PM

1 PM

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3 PM

4 PM

5 PM

6 PM

7 PM

8 PM

9 PM

10 PM

11 PM

12 AM

1 AM

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7 AM

Last 24hr

NE8 G11

NE7 G12

NE10 G17

E11 G19

E9 G18

NE11 G17

NE9 G18

E8 G16

NE10 G19

NE9 G14

NE13 G18

E10 G19

NE5 G11

NE7 G13

NE10 G14

NE7 G13

NE9 G13

NE6 G9

NE6

NE7 G12

NE7 G10

NE5 G10

NE6 G10

NE7

1 day ago

N9 G12

NE9 G12

NE8 G15

NE7 G20

NE10 G19

NE10 G16

NE9 G17

NE11 G22

NE15 G21

NE11 G19

NE9 G20

NE9 G20

NE9 G17

NE10 G19

NE11 G20

NE8 G15

E10 G16

NE7 G15

NE8 G13

E10 G15

NE7 G15

NE6 G12

NE9 G13

NE8 G12

2 days ago

NE4

NE4

NE4

E1 G7

N3

W3

W4

NW4

W4

NW6

NW13 G16

N12

N12 G15

N12 G18

NE6 G14

NE6 G13

NE10 G15

NE8 G12

NE8 G15

NE7 G17

NE6 G11

N6 G11

N11

NE9 G13

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Airport Reports

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Airport	Dist	Age	Wind kt	Visibility	Sky/Weather	Temp	DewPt	Humidity	Pressure
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL	4 mi	74 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	70°F	66°F	87%	1017.6 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL	5 mi	77 min	NE 13	10.00 mi	Overcast	75°F	72°F	90%	1016.6 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL	7 mi	77 min	NE 8	10.00 mi	Overcast	73°F	70°F	90%	1017.3 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL	9 mi	75 min	NE 6	10.00 mi	Overcast	72°F	68°F	88%	1017.6 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL	10 mi	77 min	NNE 5	10.00 mi	A Few Clouds	73°F	64°F	76%	1017.4 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL	17 mi	75 min	N 0	10.00 mi	Fair	72°F	68°F	88%	1017.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KMCF

Wind History from MCF (wind in knots)

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Last 24hr

NE10 G17

NE16

E20 G26

E22

E21 G27

E18 G26

E18

E19 G24

E20 G26

E17 G24

E17 G26

E18 G24

E13

E13

NE12

NE10

NE8

NE7

NE6

NE9

NE8

NE5

Calm

NE4

1 day ago

NE6

NE9

NE13

NE12

NE12

NE16 G21

NE15 G24

NE17 G25

NE20 G27

NE20 G27

NE18 G28

E22 G33

NE16 G26

E19 G25

NE18 G23

E10

E14

NE14

E13 G21

E16

E16

E11

NE12

NE11

2 days ago

NE5

E7

E6

E3

Calm

W5

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W6

W5

W4

NW7

NW7

N5

NE11

NE12

NE12

NE13

NE12

NE15

NE11

NE8

N5

NE7

NE6

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Tide / Current Tables for St. Petersburg, Florida (2) (expired 1995-12-31)

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Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current

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Weather Map

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GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East

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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL

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Gulf Stream Current

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