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GMZ232 Expires:202312050415;;891754 Fzus54 Kcrp 041512 Cwfcrp
coastal waters forecast for texas national weather service corpus christi tx 912 am cst Mon dec 4 2023
middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to matagorda ship channel out to 60 nautical miles. Seas are provided as a range of the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves...along with occasional height of the average highest 10 percent of the waves.
gmz231-232-050415- baffin bay and upper laguna madre-corpus christi and nueces bays- 912 am cst Mon dec 4 2023
Rest of today..North winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast this afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth to slightly choppy.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth to slightly choppy.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth to slightly choppy.
Tuesday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters smooth to slightly choppy.
Wednesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming east 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Wednesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to around 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Thursday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Friday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Bay and inland waters slightly choppy to occasionally choppy.

GMZ200 912 Am Cst Mon Dec 4 2023
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters..
light and variable winds will become northerly through the morning hours then northeasterly this afternoon as a weak boundary continues to push through the area. Light northeast winds will continue through Tuesday. Weak northeast to easterly flow Wednesday will turn southeast then south late this week, increasing to more moderate flow Thursday night. Isolated to scattered showers are possible over the weekend as a cold front moves across the waters. Small craft advisory conditions expected over the upcoming weekend.

FXUS64 KCRP 041722 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1122 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

New AVIATION

SHORT TERM
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 212 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

Key Message:

- Low to medium (20-40%) chance of patchy fog over the Coastal Plains late tonight into early Tuesday morning

A very weak boundary will push through South Texas through the day today, bringing drier air and light northeasterly winds in its wake.
Cloud coverage will increase inland to the coast in association with the right entrance divergent region of an upper level jet and bands of positive vorticity at 500mb. PWAT values will remain well below normal (near 25th percentile) at less than 0.75". These conditions persist through Tuesday, therefore do not contain any rain chances.
Although not included in this forecast package, the NBM does show the potential for patchy fog late tonight into early Tuesday morning with a 20 to 40 percent chance of visibility less than 5 miles.
Highs today and Tuesday in the low to mid 70s with lows tonight from the mid 40s inland to the mid 50s along the coast.

LONG TERM
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 212 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

Key Messages:

- Warming temperatures through the work week, then cooler late this weekend.

- Slight chance of rain along the coast and Victoria Crossroads this weekend. Better chances for rain over the waters for the weekend.

There is very little change from the previous forecast. A progressive upper level pattern is still expected through the upcoming week with a series of ridges and troughs tracking across Texas. Limited moisture (PWATs <1") will limit the precipitation potential through the week.

Models continue to differ this weekend with regards to an upper level long wave trough and the resulting cold front. The ECMWF is roughly 12 hours slower than the GFS in the arrival time of the surface front, which is due to arrive sometime Saturday through early Sunday. The NBM seems to be a reasonable estimation of the front's arrival, so will use this timing for the temperatures, winds, and precipitation. Moisture will have increase just slightly ahead of the front (PWATs near 1.3" for Friday night/Saturday) so have kept in a mention of some isolated showers for the Victoria Crossroads and along the coast Saturday/Sunday with the cold front; however, expect most of the precipitation will fall over the waters and to the northeast of the area. Temperatures will fall behind the front, with lows dipping into the upper 40s for Saturday night.
Cooler temperatures will persist into early next week, with temperatures in the low 40s Sunday night.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

VFR conditions expected to prevail across S TX through the TAF period with high level clouds tracking across the region. There is a low chance of light patchy fog bringing visibilities down to around 5SM by early Tuesday morning for ALI and VCT. Will keep a TEMPO group for these two sites showing a brief period of MVFR VSBYs between 10Z-14Z Tuesday. Surface winds will be generally light and variable across the eastern portions of S TX. Western areas will also have light winds, but a more prominent northeast to east direction through the TAF period.

MARINE
Issued at 212 AM CST Mon Dec 4 2023

Weak westerly winds will shift northerly this morning then northeasterly this afternoon as a weak boundary pushes through and persists through Tuesday. Weak northeast to easterly flow will turn to the southeast late this week and increase to moderate Thursday night. Isolated to scattered showers are possible over the weekend as a cold front moves across the waters. Strong northerly winds will develop behind the cold front Saturday night through Sunday with Small Craft Advisory conditions expected.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 73 53 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 71 45 73 46 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 75 52 75 58 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 75 50 76 52 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 70 55 72 55 / 0 0 0 0 Cotulla 76 47 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 75 52 75 55 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 72 61 73 61 / 0 0 0 0

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...None.
GM...None.

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Aransas Channel
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Mon -- 07:04 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 12:42 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 01:35 PM CST     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:32 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:22 PM CST     1.37 feet High Tide
Mon -- 11:51 PM CST     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Channel, Texas, Tide feet

Aransas Pass
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Mon -- 04:29 AM CST     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:04 AM CST     Sunrise
Mon -- 11:49 AM CST     -1.11 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 12:42 PM CST     Moonset
Mon -- 05:32 PM CST     Sunset
Mon -- 05:38 PM CST     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:45 PM CST     1.20 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 11:51 PM CST     Last Quarter
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots

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