Sunrise 6:54 AM   Sunset 7:49 PM Moonrise 12:35 PM   Moonset 2:01 AM

  Print   HELP   Reset   Save   Recall

AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 841 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
This afternoon - East winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Tonight - Southeast winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Wednesday - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Wednesday night - Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Thursday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Thursday night - Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Friday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Friday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Saturday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 841 Am Edt Tue Apr 16 2024
Synopsis - High pressure over the western atlantic will remain in place, with the ridge axis extending westward across north central florida through Wednesday. The ridge axis will then slip southward, reaching south florida Thursday and Friday. Onshore flow will persist through midweek, then become southerly late week into the weekend.
Gulf stream hazards - None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, april 14th.
49 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 35 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 29 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 20 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 12 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KMLB 161333 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 933 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE

UPDATE
Issued at 928 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Forecast remains on track for continued dry conditions and a warming trend as high pressure extends from the Atlantic over Florida. Easterly winds 5-10 mph this morning pick up to 10-15 mph in the afternoon and could get a little gusty thanks to enhancement from the sea breeze. These gusty winds and low humidity will result in sensitive fire weather conditions in the afternoon. Otherwise, the warming trend continues with afternoon highs forecast to reach the M-U80s inland and L70-L80s along the coast, under some high clouds and a bit of marine stratocu streaming onshore.

AVIATION
(12Z TAFs)
Issued at 928 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period. Winds out of the east 5-10 kts this morning picking up to 10-15 kts with gusts up to 20 kts in the afternoon due to sea breeze enhancement, except at LEE-DAB which top out around 10 kts, then settle back to 5-10 kts overnight.

MARINE
Issued at 928 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Today-Tonight...Favorable boating conditions continue under high pressure. Winds easterly south of the Cape and southeasterly to the north at 10-15 kts, except near the Volusia coast this morning where winds start 5-10 kts then pick up to around 10 kts in the afternoon. Seas 2-3 feet, picking up to around 4ft well offshore late tonight. Dry conditions.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 439 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

High pressure will remain in control over east central Florida through Saturday, maintaining dry conditions and warming temperatures. Fire weather sensitive conditions will exist today as wind increase out of the east southeast 10-14 mph with gusts around 20 mph. Winds will decrease slightly Wednesday and Thursday and become more southerly as ridge axis slips south across the area and becomes stationary across south Florida late this week and weekend. Min RH values will reach at or below critical levels across the interior each afternoon, falling near 30% today north and west of Orlando and 30-35% across all the interior Wednesday through Saturday. Min RH values will hold between 40-50% near the east coast. Very Good dispersion is forecast this afternoon and again Wednesday afternoon.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
Issued at 439 AM EDT Tue Apr 16 2024

Warming Temperatures This Week and Remaining Dry

Today-Tonight...Dry conditions will persist through tonight as a high pressure ridge axis remains over the region. Forecast soundings show an increase in upper level moisture through today, as well as a slight increase in low level moisture (PW values ranging from 0.7- 0.8") into this afternoon. Locally, mostly sunny skies are forecast, with some high level clouds streaming over the local area through the day. Much like the last several days, rain chances remain out of the forecast through tonight. Light and variable winds will become east to southeast by mid-morning and increase to 10-15 mph, with gusts up to 20 mph possible, especially along the coast into this afternoon. Winds will start to decrease after sunset, becoming light overnight. The warming trend continues today, with temperatures at or slightly above normal for this time of year. Afternoon highs will be in the low 80s east of I-95, and mid 80s west of I-95, with upper 80s possible in the far western interior. Overnight lows will be in the low 60s under clear to mostly clear skies.

Wed-Sun...Mid-level ridge extending from the Bay of Campeche NE across the FL peninsula Wed will get flattened by southern stream shortwave energy. A period of NW flow aloft should occur late week as mid level trough develops over the SW Atlc. Fast zonal flow (west to east) should develop Sun-Mon as broad troughing develops over the eastern CONUS. In the low levels, the Atlc ridge axis slips southward across the area Wed and reaches south FL Thu where it will remain into the weekend. Some mid level energy will cross the area Fri in the NW flow aloft, but dearth of low level moisture argues against introducing any rain chances. The GFS continues to produce a little QPF late Sat and Sun aftns across EC FL which will be in a region of favorable low level convergence on the north side of the ridge axis combined with late sea breeze mergers. But have low confidence sufficient low level moisture will exist so will keep the weekend dry for now.

The low level ridge axis should hold firm across south FL Thu thru the weekend preventing any frontal passages and will promote a south to southwest flow turning onshore near the coast each aftn.
Across the interior, max temps will warm into the upper 80s/near 90 Wed, and low 90s Thu-Sun with a few mid 90s possible. Daily afternoon sea breezes will keep coastal communities a little cooler in the low 80s Wed warming to the upper 80s Fri-Sun due to a more delayed sea breeze onset.

Mon...Mid level troughing developing over the eastern CONUS will help push a frontal boundary into the Deep South and could bring our next best chance for scattered showers but also storms.
Current forecast has a weakening boundary oozing southward into central FL so have drawn 40 PoPs across the north and 20 PoPs across the south but timing uncertainties exist at this long range. While many will welcome some rain, it may also come with a risk of lightning strikes which could spark brush fires given the dry antecedent conditions. This will be an ongoing concern as we enter our peak fire season prior to the onset of the wet season.


PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 82 60 83 64 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 86 64 87 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 81 64 81 64 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 82 63 83 62 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 87 63 88 65 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 86 62 88 64 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 86 64 87 66 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 82 60 83 61 / 0 0 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.

toggle option: (graph/table)

Sebastian Inlet bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 02:52 AM EDT     1.13 feet High Tide
Tue -- 03:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:25 AM EDT     -0.69 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:07 PM EDT     0.47 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:07 PM EDT     -0.87 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Sebastian Inlet bridge, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

Wabasso
Click for Map
Tue -- 03:00 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:15 AM EDT     0.19 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:55 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:51 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 01:34 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:15 PM EDT     0.06 feet High Tide
Tue -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Wabasso, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

Full Color Weather Map

Link to Loop


Other links: GEOS-West     Contential US     Full GOES-East

Melbourne, FL,