Sunrise 6:35 AM   Sunset 8:14 PM Moonrise 3:02 PM   Moonset 2:43 AM

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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 351 Am Edt Sat May 18 2024
Today - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots with gusts up to 20 knots this afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Tonight - Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms after midnight. Sunday - West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Numerous showers with isolated Thunderstorms. Sunday night - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening. Monday - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Monday night - Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Isolated showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop. Tuesday night - North winds around 10 knots, becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters light chop. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters light chop.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 351 Am Edt Sat May 18 2024
Synopsis - Winds will remain out of the south and southwest throughout the weekend ahead of a cold front that will push through late on Sunday. A few showers will be possible in our northern waters this afternoon with more widespread shower activity expected Sunday morning and afternoon. Winds will shift more northerly for the start of next week with shower activity staying in the interior part of the state.

FXUS62 KTBW 180750 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 350 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 342 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

For the weekend a cold front will start to push through the southeast. Ahead of it a shortwave is expected to once again push through the Panhandle and head west. The big difference from yesterday morning storms is the line looks to be a little more south but still should stay north of I-4. Timing looks to also be a little later focusing more on the early afternoon hours with severe weather possible. Areas south of I-4 will avoid the rain but will not be able to escape the heat with highs in the interior in the mid to upper 90's with head index in the low to mid 100's.

The actually front looks to start pushing through the area Sunday morning with more widespread showers possible throughout much of the area during the morning and afternoon hours. We will once again be looking at an isolate severe weather threat as the front pushes through.

Troughing will remain over the area for Monday and Tuesday mainly resulting in seabreeze storms in the interior during the late afternoon and evening hours.

Ridging looks to return for Wednesday through Friday resulting in more subsidence and keeping us dry but hot across the area.
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AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 342 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

VFR conditions expected through the period. Can't rule out a shower or two in the afternoon for TPA or PIE but chances are to low to add to TAF. Winds will starting getting gusty out the southwest starting late in the afternoon and continuing through the afternoon.

MARINE
Issued at 342 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

Winds will remain out of the south and southwest throughout the weekend ahead of a cold front that will push through late on Sunday. A few showers will be possible in our northern waters this afternoon with more widespread shower activity expected Sunday morning and afternoon. Winds will shift more northerly for the start of next week with shower activity staying in the interior part of the state.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 342 AM EDT Sat May 18 2024

Cold front will be heading our way this weekend mainly bringing showers to the area on Sunday. Drier air will filter in behind the front giving some possible critical RHs on Monday in the interior south of I-4.



PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 91 77 86 75 / 30 40 70 20 FMY 93 78 90 76 / 10 30 50 30 GIF 94 75 88 72 / 30 40 70 20 SRQ 90 77 86 74 / 10 40 60 30 BKV 93 73 86 68 / 40 50 70 10 SPG 89 78 84 77 / 20 40 70 20

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Hillsborough Bay
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Sat -- 03:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:52 AM EDT     0.91 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:01 PM EDT     2.22 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:40 PM EDT     1.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hillsborough Bay, Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Shell Point
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Sat -- 03:45 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:43 AM EDT     0.54 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 06:38 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 12:02 PM EDT     1.66 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:31 PM EDT     0.60 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Shell Point, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

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