Tuesday, October22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Palm River-Clair Mel, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:33AMSunset 6:55PM Tuesday October 22, 2019 7:48 PM EDT (23:48 UTC) Moonrise 12:25AMMoonset 2:23PM Illumination 31% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 24 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 240 Pm Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
Tonight..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming north around 15 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..East winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Friday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Saturday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..Southeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers after midnight.
Sunday..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 240 Pm Edt Tue Oct 22 2019
Synopsis..A weak cold front pushing through the area overnight will help to shift winds to a more northerly direction and will result in winds increasing. Our central and northern zones will be under an exercise caution overnight as winds increase to around 15 to 20 knots. Winds will shift to an easterly direction starting Wednesday night and we will remain breezy with exercise caution possible Wednesday through Friday with winds right now expected to be around 15 knots.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palm River-Clair Mel, FL
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location: 27.91, -82.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 221835
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
235 pm edt Tue oct 22 2019

Discussion
We are starting to see a few showers along the nature coast out
ahead of a cold front that will push through central florida
overnight. It looks like it has the upper level support to make it
through however is will make a hard stop in south florida as it
runs into the subtropical ridge. A few showers will be possible
through the rest of the afternoon and evening mainly north of i-4.

Showers will be hard to come by however and I have kept chances
mainly around 20 percent. By Wednesday the front should be south
of most of the area with the only exception being charlotte and
lee counties where the front should be right over the area. This
will give us a break from the humidity and will drop our
temperatures to around average in the low to mid 80's.

This relief of the humidity will be very temporary as the front
will start to drift north again and we will see a very similiar
setup to what we had on Monday. That means the front pushes to our
north and the humidity and scattered showers return quickly.

By the weekend another cold front will attempt to make its way
through florida but will ultimately fail and stall along the
nature coast. This means the same humid and warm pattern with
scattered showers will continue through the weekend and early next
week.

Aviation
Vfr conditions will continue through the TAF period. However,
winds will be shifting through the period. We have started out
with southwest winds this afternoon which will shift northwest to
north overnight before turning northeast tomorrow morning. Winds
should remain below 10 knots.

Marine
A weak cold front pushing through the area overnight will help to
shift winds to a more northerly direction and will result in
winds increasing. Our central and northern zones will be under an
exercise caution overnight as winds increase to around 15 to 20
knots. Winds will shift to an easterly direction starting
Wednesday night and we will remain breezy with exercise caution
possible Wednesday through Friday with winds right now expected to
be around 15 knots.

Fire weather
Fire weather concerns remain low as values remain above critical
levels through the week.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 67 82 70 87 10 0 0 30
fmy 74 87 73 89 0 20 20 30
gif 68 83 70 87 0 0 10 40
srq 70 85 71 89 10 0 0 30
bkv 63 81 66 87 10 0 0 40
spg 69 84 72 88 10 0 0 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... 27 shiveley
decision support... 74 wynn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MCYF1 1 mi48 min 87°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 2 mi48 min WSW 1.9 G 4.1
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 2 mi48 min SW 6 G 8.9
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 7 mi48 min W 8 G 8.9 83°F 82°F1015.3 hPa (+0.6)
GCTF1 10 mi48 min 83°F 1015.1 hPa (+0.5)76°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 14 mi48 min WSW 5.1 G 6 82°F 82°F1015.5 hPa (+0.5)
CLBF1 17 mi114 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 83°F 1014.1 hPa
MTBF1 19 mi48 min W 8 G 8.9 82°F 1015.2 hPa (+0.3)76°F
PMAF1 20 mi48 min 82°F 85°F1015.1 hPa (+0.4)
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 21 mi48 min N 5.1 G 7
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 25 mi114 min WSW 11 G 14 81°F 1015.4 hPa
42098 34 mi48 min 83°F2 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 38 mi174 min W 9.9 G 14 92°F 1014.4 hPa

Wind History for Berth 223, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL0 mi53 minW 310.00 miOvercast84°F77°F79%1015.2 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL5 mi52 minWSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy83°F75°F79%1015.2 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL6 mi55 minW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F75°F74%1015.1 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL9 mi53 minN 010.00 miFair82°F75°F79%1015.2 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL13 mi55 minWSW 610.00 miMostly Cloudy82°F75°F79%1015 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL14 mi55 minWSW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy83°F75°F79%1014.3 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL16 mi53 minWSW 510.00 miFair82°F75°F79%1015.6 hPa
Lakeland Regional, FL23 mi58 minW 610.00 miA Few Clouds82°F73°F74%1015.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTPF

Wind History from TPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW4SW4SW3S4S4SW4S4S4SW6S4S6S4S3S5S7SW7SW13SW9SW8
G14
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1 day agoCalmNE4CalmNE3NE3NE4E5E4CalmE5NE5E5NE5CalmW4W4CalmS3SW12
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2 days agoSW10SW6SW5SW6SW4SW4W3SW4CalmCalmSW3CalmSW3W3W3NW5W7W6W5W5NW4NW4CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Davis Island, Hillsborough Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:44 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 01:25 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:29 AM EDT     -0.22 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 04:23 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 07:01 AM EDT     0.49 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 07:34 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 09:27 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 02:53 PM EDT     -1.00 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 03:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:39 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:54 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:55 PM EDT     1.06 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.2-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.10.10.40.50.40.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.9-1-1-0.9-0.7-0.30.20.711.10.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.