Monday, July6, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Palm River-Clair Mel, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 8:31PM Monday July 6, 2020 4:28 AM EDT (08:28 UTC) Moonrise 9:04PMMoonset 6:54AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 314 Am Edt Mon Jul 6 2020
Today..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tonight..Southwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms early in the evening, then isolated Thunderstorms in the late evening and overnight.
Tuesday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..West winds around 10 knots diminishing to around 5 knots toward morning. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..West winds around 5 knots increasing to around 10 knots in the late morning and afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms.
Thursday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Thursday night..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
Friday..West winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 314 Am Edt Mon Jul 6 2020
Synopsis..Ample moisture and instability throughout the day promotes and environment primed for Thunderstorm development across coastal waters throughout the entire day. While winds of generally 10-12kts and seas of around 2ft prevail, locally higher winds and seas are possible with passing storms. Westerly flow will continue to prevail for the next several days, keeping showers and storms in play for coastal waters.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Palm River-Clair Mel, FL
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location: 27.91, -82.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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FXUS62 KTBW 060713 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 313 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020

DISCUSSION. With a low pressure disturbance off the coast of the Florida Panhandle and surface high pressure off to the east, deep tropical moisture continues to advect into the region, promoting an environment favorable for convection. An appreciable difference between land and water temperatures has led to the development of a land breeze, which has now become evident on radar off the coast. Combined with generally WSW flow, coastal showers and thunderstorms are possible early. These will then transition inland and push off to the east throughout the afternoon. As such, the highest POPs will concentrate inland. However, with ample moisture and sufficient instability, convection will likely regenerate off the coast multiple times throughout the day and could push inland at least somewhat, much like what happened yesterday.

As the low pressure system propagates off to the NE over the next couple days, the surface ridge axis will build back in over Florida and into the Gulf of Mexico. As this occurs, the WSW flow will become more WNW, perhaps advecting slightly drier air into parts of the Central and Southwest Florida peninsula. This will by no means remove rain chances from the forecast. However, it could reduce coverage somewhat, with less overall available moisture.

As the weekend approaches, the upper-level pattern should begin to amplify as a trough axis deepens over the eastern CONUS. An attendant cold front will attempt to make a run at the peninsula over the weekend, but will ultimately stall and slowly fall apart. However, the boundary could serve as a focused region for convection. Where exactly this boundary stalls could play a role in how much rain occurs over the weekend. It is still several days away, so changes will likely occur. Overall the pattern for the next seven days does not really change much: westerly flow will lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms each day, with the greatest coverage across the interior during the afternoon/evening hours with high temps running in the upper 80s to lower 90s each day.

AVIATION. Shower and thunderstorm activity has subsided for now across northern TAF sites while renewed convection off the coast of SWFL will be an area to watch over the next few hours. The land breeze has become evident on radar off the coast of central part of the FL peninsula, and could serve as a renewed source of convection for northern TAF sites in the next couple hours too. Ample moisture and instability throughout the day will keep storms in the forecast through the afternoon and into the evening as WSW flow prevails. Conditions should begin to quiet tonight after sunset with lighter flow prevailing.

MARINE. Ample moisture and instability throughout the day promotes and environment primed for thunderstorm development across coastal waters throughout the entire day. While winds of generally 10-12kts and seas of around 2ft prevail, locally higher winds and seas are possible with passing storms. Westerly flow will continue to prevail for the next several days, keeping showers and storms in play for coastal waters.

FIRE WEATHER. Sufficient low level moisture will keep relative humidity values above critical levels for the next several days with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing throughout the day. Fire weather concerns remain low.

Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs. TPA 90 80 92 79 / 50 30 40 10 FMY 92 78 94 78 / 60 20 40 10 GIF 91 75 93 76 / 70 30 60 10 SRQ 91 79 92 79 / 60 20 30 10 BKV 91 74 92 74 / 60 30 60 20 SPG 91 79 92 79 / 50 30 30 10

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. Gulf waters . None.

Flannery


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SKCF1 1 mi94 min ESE 7.8 G 18
EBEF1 2 mi70 min 76°F 92°F1014.8 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 2 mi58 min SE 5.1 G 8
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 2 mi64 min E 2.9 G 6
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 7 mi58 min SSE 9.9 G 14 78°F 88°F1014.8 hPa
GCTF1 10 mi58 min 78°F 1014.7 hPa74°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 14 mi58 min SSE 8.9 G 13 79°F 87°F1014.9 hPa
CLBF1 17 mi94 min ESE 1.9 G 5.1 77°F 1014.5 hPa
MTBF1 19 mi58 min S 11 G 13 78°F 1014.6 hPa74°F
PMAF1 20 mi58 min 75°F 1014.7 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 21 mi58 min ESE 9.9 G 13 79°F 89°F1014.6 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 25 mi94 min SE 7 G 8.9 78°F 1015 hPa
42098 34 mi62 min 87°F3 ft

Wind History for Berth 223, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL0 mi33 minSSE 610.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F77°F100%1014.9 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL5 mi32 minSE 510.00 miFair78°F73°F87%1014.5 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL6 mi35 minSE 510.00 miPartly Cloudy78°F72°F82%1014.7 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL9 mi33 minN 010.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F73°F100%1015.6 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL13 mi35 minSSE 610.00 miFair79°F75°F90%1014.3 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL14 mi35 minS 910.00 miFair79°F77°F94%1013.7 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL16 mi53 minSSE 310.00 miFair75°F75°F100%1015.9 hPa
Lakeland Regional, FL23 mi33 minS 310.00 miFair73°F71°F94%1015.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTPF

Wind History from TPF (wind in knots)
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Tide / Current Tables for Davis Island, Hillsborough Bay, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:04 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 03:05 AM EDT     1.22 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:00 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 08:37 AM EDT     -0.25 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:08 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:10 PM EDT     0.96 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:57 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:01 PM EDT     -1.50 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 10:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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-0.10.61.11.21.10.80.40-0.2-0.2-00.30.710.90.5-0-0.5-1-1.3-1.4-1.5-1.4-1.1

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.