Wednesday, October16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Tampa, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 7:01PM Wednesday October 16, 2019 6:25 PM EDT (22:25 UTC) Moonrise 8:04PMMoonset 8:50AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 155 Pm Edt Wed Oct 16 2019
Tonight..West winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms until early morning. A chance of showers late in the evening.
Thursday..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Thursday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..East winds around 10 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Saturday..South winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers in the morning. A slight chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Saturday night..South winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots then becoming south around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Monday..South winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 155 Pm Edt Wed Oct 16 2019
Synopsis..A frontal boundary will continue so sink southward across the region through tonight, with some shower activity possible. Southwest winds today will become more northwest and then north tonight through Thursday. A low pressure system will approach the area Friday through the weekend, with increasing rain chances as well as winds and seas.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Tampa, FL
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location: 27.93, -82.45     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 161749
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
149 pm edt Wed oct 16 2019

Discussion
Zonal flow remains in place aloft over the region with a low moving
over the great lakes region and high pressure to our south. At the
surface, weak high pressure extends over the southern half of the
florida peninsula with a nearly stationary frontal boundary draped
to our north. This setup is keeping a generally southwest flow in
place across the region. Showers and a few thunderstorms have been
ongoing since this morning, especially across our northern counties,
closer to the frontal boundary, and these will continue to slowly
expand southward but also diminish in coverage as the boundary sinks
southward through tonight.

Thursday will bring a brief shot of cooler and drier air as high
pressure builds over the southeast. These nicer conditions will be
most felt across the nature coast region, where some 50s dew points
are forecast. This will be short-lived as an area of low pressure
develops over the central gulf of mexico and starts to head toward
florida on Friday. Flow becomes southeast, with plenty of tropical
moisture spreading over the region. This area of low pressure
currently has a percent chance of becoming a tropical system within
the next 5 days and bears watching. Global models are in general
agreement that this system will make its way toward the region
through the weekend, but the overall evolution still needs to be
refined and these details will obviously play a large part in our
local impacts. For now, those impacts include cloudy and showery
conditions for Saturday and into Sunday. We will also need to keep a
close eye on possible severe weather, mainly Friday night into
Saturday, as well as the possibility of some coastal flooding issues
into the weekend. Still have a couple of days to hopefully nail down
some details, so stay tuned to future forecasts.

High pressure will build back over the area late Sunday or Monday,
although we are not currently forecast to completely dry out. Then
another low pressure system will bring a cold front near the region
toward the middle part of next week.

Aviation
Will keep vcsh in the forecast for all sites through tonight as a
frontal boundary sinks southward and weakens. Some brief MVFR cigs
will be possible, but otherwiseVFR conditions are expected. Light
and variable winds tonight will become generally northwesterly on
Thursday.

Marine
A frontal boundary will continue so sink southward across the region
through tonight, with some shower activity possible. Southwest winds
today will become more northwest and then north tonight through
Thursday. A low pressure system will approach the area Friday
through the weekend, with increasing rain chances as well as winds
and seas.

Fire weather
A frontal boundary will continue to sink southward across the region
through tonight, bringing a few showers to the area. Some drier air
will move into mainly the nature coast for Thursday, but relative
humidity values are expected to remain above critical levels. A low
pressure system will approach the area Friday through the weekend,
bringing increased rain chances. No significant fog is expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 73 85 68 82 30 10 0 30
fmy 75 88 73 87 20 20 10 40
gif 72 86 68 83 20 20 0 20
srq 75 87 71 85 30 10 10 30
bkv 69 84 63 80 30 10 0 30
spg 75 85 71 84 30 10 10 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

05 carlisle


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 1 mi56 min WNW 11 G 19
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 1 mi80 min SW 5.1 G 8
MCYF1 2 mi56 min 85°F
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 7 mi56 min W 13 G 15 84°F 83°F1011.9 hPa
GCTF1 11 mi56 min 83°F 1011.7 hPa75°F
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 15 mi56 min W 8.9 G 14 83°F 82°F1012.2 hPa
CLBF1 18 mi92 min W 12 G 15 83°F 1011.4 hPa
MTBF1 20 mi56 min W 13 G 14 82°F 1012.2 hPa75°F
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 21 mi56 min W 12 G 15 81°F 84°F1012 hPa
PMAF1 21 mi56 min 83°F 85°F1012 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 24 mi92 min W 8 G 11 83°F 1012.5 hPa
42098 35 mi56 min 82°F3 ft
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 37 mi92 min NW 17 G 23 84°F 1011.9 hPa

Wind History for Seabulk, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL1 mi31 minWNW 93.00 miHeavy Rain79°F75°F89%1012.2 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL5 mi33 minW 85.00 miLight Rain79°F73°F82%1011.7 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL6 mi30 minWNW 6 G 1610.00 miOvercast84°F74°F72%1012.1 hPa
Tampa, Vandenberg Airport, FL8 mi31 minWSW 310.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F77°F100%1011.8 hPa
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL13 mi33 minWNW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy81°F70°F69%1011.6 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL15 mi33 minW 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy84°F75°F74%1011 hPa
Plant City, Plant City Municipal Airport, FL16 mi51 minNNW 47.00 miLight Rain79°F75°F89%1012.9 hPa
Lakeland Regional, FL23 mi36 minW 6 G 1410.00 miShowers in Vicinity75°F73°F94%1012.2 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTPF

Wind History from TPF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW3CalmCalmS4S7SE5SE6S5S6S6S6S6S6S6S7SW9SW13
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W5Calm
1 day agoCalmN3N3E9E5SE4SE4E3SE4SE3SE5SE5S5E4SE4S5S3S7SW3W3SW4SW5SW4SW3
2 days agoCalmNE3NE4NE3E5E4E3E4E3E3CalmE3NE4NE3CalmS5SW4SW4SW4SW3SW3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Hillsborough Bay, Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida
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Hillsborough Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:11 AM EDT     2.92 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 09:50 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:50 AM EDT     0.26 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:05 PM EDT     2.31 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:59 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:03 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:14 PM EDT     1.96 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.22.52.82.92.82.62.11.61.10.60.30.30.50.91.41.92.22.32.32.22.1222

Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:48 AM EDT     1.04 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 04:26 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:08 AM EDT     -1.30 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:51 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:07 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:03 PM EDT     1.14 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 06:30 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 07:00 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:57 PM EDT     -0.68 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 09:04 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:27 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.50.910.80.3-0.3-0.8-1.2-1.3-1.2-1-0.6-0.10.511.110.70.2-0.2-0.6-0.7-0.5-0.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.