Sunrise 6:48 AM   Sunset 8:04 PM Moonrise 12:47 AM   Moonset 11:12 AM

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GMZ235 Bays And Waterways From Port Aransas To Port O'connor- 1059 Am Cdt Tue Apr 5 2022
Rest of today - South wind 5 to 10 knots. Bays smooth. Patchy fog late in the morning. Tonight - South wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Patchy fog in the evening, then areas of fog after midnight. Wednesday - Southwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming north 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Wednesday night - North wind 20 to 25 knots. Bays choppy to rough. Thursday - North wind 15 to 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough. Thursday night - Northeast wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday - Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots shifting west in the afternoon. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Friday night - South wind 10 to 15 knots. Bays slightly choppy to occasionally choppy. Saturday - South wind 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Bays choppy. Saturday night - South wind around 20 knots. Bays choppy to occasionally rough.

GMZ200 129 Am Cdt Tue Apr 30 2024
Synopsis for the middle texas coastal waters -
weak to moderate onshore flow will persist through Wednesday. There is a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers and Thunderstorms through Wednesday. Moderate onshore flow continues through Thursday night before diminishing to weak to moderate Friday, then persisting through the weekend. There is a low 10 to 20 percent chance of showers and Thunderstorms Thursday through Friday.

FXUS64 KCRP 300711 AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 211 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE

SHORT TERM
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 132 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

▶ Coastal flood and high risk of rip currents continue through tonight

▶ Low to medium (15-40%) chance of showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday

Quasi-zonal flow is expected today through Wednesday which should lead to generally quiet weather. Shortwaves will move across the area today and Wednesday that will combine with the seabreeze leading to a 15 to 30% chance of showers and thunderstorms.

The Storm Prediction Center has included the northwest portions of South Texas in a Marginal Risk of severe weather for Wednesday in response to a dryline across west Texas. The best areas for storm development will remain to the north of our area, so it seems the most likely that severe storms could move into the northwestern portions of South Texas from the Hill Country. That being said, it is possible that instability, moisture, and seabreeze forcing could lead to stronger storms across the east Wednesday afternoon, but confidence in this is very low.

Swell heights and periods have remained stubbornly elevated which leads to a continued threat of coastal flooding and high risk of rip currents. Once again, the P-ETSS keeps forecast tidal values at around 1.7 ft MSL for both today and Wednesday's high tide cycles. Confidence is high for minor coastal flooding today, but is low to moderate for Wednesday as swell periods are forecast to diminish. We will need to keep watch on the wave heights and swell periods to determine the risk for Wednesday. These conditions will also lead to a continued risk of high rip currents. This will be especially noticeable in any areas of egress from the intracoastal waters as the waters from minor coastal flooding find their way back to the Gulf.

LONG TERM
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 132 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Key Messages:

▶ Low chance (20-30%) of showers and thunderstorms through Saturday

▶ Minor to moderate risk of heat-related impacts daily

Not much change from the previous forecast as an unsettled weather pattern over Texas continues through this week. A series of shortwave disturbances combined with well above normal moisture (PWATs ~ 1.75") and the afternoon seabreeze will allow for a low chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday through Saturday over South Texas. The cold front and associated mid-level PVA on Friday has trended further north, leading to a reduction in surface forcing (especially in the GEFS) and therefore a reduction in PoPs slightly from the previous forecast. The ECENS is the wetter solution at a 50- 80% probability of Total QPF over 1.0" across the northern Coastal Plains through Sunday, whereas the GEFS probs of Total QPF over 1.0" is only 10-30%. Models are in good agreement that the focus of greatest rainfall will be north of our CWA, but greater uncertainty exists on how far south convection will stretch.

Heat will be our primary threat through the long term with high temperatures in the mid 80s to mid 90s and lows only dropping into the 70s. We could see highs around 100 over the Rio Grande Plains early next week. The WPC HeatRisk conveys a minor to moderate risk of heat-related impacts across all of South Texas every day through this weekend. This level of heat affects individuals sensitive to heat, especially those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration. Please remember to drink plenty of water and take frequent breaks if exposed outdoors for a prolonged amount of time.
Additional heat safety can be found at: weather.gov/safety/heat

Last but not least, moderate onshore winds and swell periods nearing 8 seconds on Thursday may lead to an increased risk of rip currents.
Although the astronomical tide is lowering through the week, we'll need to closely monitor our minor coastal flooding threat.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1041 PM CDT Mon Apr 29 2024

A mix of MVFR and VFR conditions this evening will become predominantly MVFR as clouds continue to spread across S TX overnight. Brief periods of IFR CIGs will be possible at times.
Light patchy fog will also lead to periods of MVFR VSBYs, mainly after midnight. VFR conditions are expected to resume by mid morning Tuesday. Isolated to scattered convection is expected to begin along the coast Tuesday morning and shift inland along the sea breeze through Tuesday afternoon. Most locations will remain dry, but did include PROB30 for TSRA's for CRP, ALI and VCT.
Gusty easterly winds along the coast this evening will continue to decrease overnight and become more southeast through the TAF period.

MARINE
Issued at 132 AM CDT Tue Apr 30 2024

Weak to moderate onshore flow will persist through Wednesday.
There is a 10 to 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms through Wednesday. Moderate onshore flow continues through Thursday night before diminishing to weak to moderate Friday, then persisting through the weekend. There is a low 10 to 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms Thursday through Friday.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
Corpus Christi 86 74 85 75 / 30 10 20 10 Victoria 86 72 85 74 / 30 10 30 20 Laredo 95 76 93 76 / 0 10 20 20 Alice 89 73 88 75 / 30 10 30 10 Rockport 84 74 82 75 / 30 10 20 10 Cotulla 94 76 91 75 / 0 10 40 30 Kingsville 87 73 87 75 / 30 10 30 10 Navy Corpus 84 76 81 76 / 30 10 20 10

CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ245- 342>347-442-443-447.

High Rip Current Risk through Wednesday evening for TXZ345-442- 443-447.

GM...None.

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Rockport
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:47 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:25 AM CDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:11 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 08:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:27 PM CDT     0.30 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Rockport, Aransas Bay, Texas (2), Tide feet

Aransas Pass
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:33 AM CDT     -2.01 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 01:46 AM CDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:15 AM CDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 06:48 AM CDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 11:02 AM CDT     2.02 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 12:12 PM CDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:21 PM CDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:02 PM CDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Aransas Pass, Texas Current, knots

Full Color Weather Map

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Corpus Christi, TX,