Monday, October14, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belleair, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:29AMSunset 7:04PM Monday October 14, 2019 6:55 AM EDT (10:55 UTC) Moonrise 6:54PMMoonset 7:03AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 534 Am Edt Mon Oct 14 2019
Today..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming northwest in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Tonight..Northeast winds around 10 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday..Southeast winds around 10 knots then becoming south around 5 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds around 5 knots then becoming south around 10 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots then becoming west around 15 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A chance of showers and a slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..West winds around 10 knots then becoming northwest after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
Thursday..Northwest winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thursday night..North winds around 10 knots then becoming northeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters a light chop.
Friday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 534 Am Edt Mon Oct 14 2019
Synopsis.. High pressure over the western atlantic will maintain east to southeast winds around 10 knots or so into mid-week. Winds become more south to southwest by mid-week as a front moves into the northern gulf, with winds southwest 10-15 knots before becoming east/northeast around 10 knots late week. Seas generally 2-3 feet throughout period. Chance of rain mainly beyond mid-week.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belleair, FL
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location: 27.98, -82.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 140933
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
533 am edt Mon oct 14 2019

Discussion
Ridge axis aloft extending across the southern peninsula from the
gulf of mexico into the western atlantic is responsible for
westerly flow aloft across the region. A series of upper troughs
moving across the great lakes and northeast CONUS will gradually
nudge the ridge axis a bit further south from mid- to late-week,
and a shortwave originating from energy currently over southern
california is expected to approach the state toward the end of
the week.

At the surface, high pressure ridging over the western atlantic is
keeping most of the region under generally light easterly flow. The
ridging will gradually weaken and shift east as a frontal boundary
eventually drops into the northeast gulf and stalls weakens by mid-
week, allowing flow to become more southerly with a slight increase
in moisture over the area.

Rain chances will increase mid-week in advance of the front and once
again as the shortwave approaches the region toward the weekend.

While global guidance is in decent agreement regarding the timing of
the mid-week rain chances, subtle differences exist amongst the
guidance regarding the evolution of shortwave approaching toward the
weekend... With the GFS leaning toward a more consolidated shortwave
with rain chances on fri-sat and the ECMWF depicting more strewn out
shortwave energy which allows the rain chances to encompass sat-mon.

Regardless, at least isolated rain chances will be possible over the
latter half of the week and into the weekend across much of the
area. Temperatures will continue to run a few degrees above normal,
with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Lows will drop into the upper
60s to lower 70s through mid-week, with mid 60s possible at some
northern locations late-week.

Aviation
Vfr expected thru period with variable to light easterly winds
generally 5 kts or less thru sunrise, becoming SE late morning,
increasing to SW 6 to 8 kts during afternoon and gradually
shifting to W NW late afternoon early evening with sea breeze,
before decreasing to light variable again overnight. Patchy ground
fog remains possible at klal thru 12z, otherwise no aviation
impacts expected.

Marine
High pressure over the western atlantic will maintain
east southeast winds seas around 10kts or so into mid-week. Flow
shifts more south to southwest by mid-week as a front moves into
the northern gulf, with winds SW 10-15 kts before becoming
east northeast around 10 kts late week then 10-15 kts during
weekend. Seas generally 2-3 ft throughout period. Chance of rain
mainly beyond mid-week.

Fire weather
Moistening conditions as the week progresses with minimum rhs
rising from the 45-50 percent range to the 60-70 percent range
through mid-week... When a weak cold front will settle into the
area with a chance of rain. Patchy areas of shallow overnight
field fog are possible but no significant fog is expected.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 88 72 87 74 10 0 10 10
fmy 89 71 89 73 20 20 10 0
gif 89 69 89 71 0 0 10 0
srq 89 72 89 73 10 0 0 10
bkv 89 68 89 71 0 10 10 10
spg 89 73 88 76 0 0 10 10

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... Hurt
decision support... Wynn


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 0 mi62 min E 4.1 G 5.1 76°F 82°F1017 hPa
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 12 mi122 min E 5.1 G 6 74°F 1017.2 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 17 mi62 min E 1.9 G 2.9 74°F 82°F1017 hPa
CLBF1 19 mi122 min Calm G 1 74°F 1015.9 hPa
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 19 mi62 min SE 2.9 G 5.1 76°F 81°F1017 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 21 mi62 min NE 1.9 G 2.9
GCTF1 22 mi62 min 76°F 1016.8 hPa70°F
MCYF1 22 mi62 min 84°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 22 mi62 min NE 1.9 G 4.1
MTBF1 25 mi62 min SSE 8.9 G 9.9 75°F 1016.7 hPa70°F
42098 27 mi56 min 82°F2 ft
PMAF1 28 mi62 min 72°F 81°F1016.5 hPa
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 32 mi122 min ESE 2.9 G 4.1 74°F 1016.7 hPa

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL9 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair75°F70°F84%1016.8 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL16 mi63 minN 010.00 miFair74°F69°F85%1017.1 hPa
Macdill Air Force Base, Fl., FL18 mi60 minN 010.00 miFair71°F68°F92%1017.2 hPa
Albert Whitted Airport, FL18 mi63 minSE 510.00 miFair77°F70°F79%1016.1 hPa
Tampa, Peter O Knight Airport, FL21 mi61 minE 310.00 miOvercast73°F73°F100%1017.3 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPIE

Wind History from PIE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE3E4E6E6E9E6E6E6NE5NE4NE4NE4N3N6N8N7N7NE6E6E3E4E3CalmCalm
1 day ago--E5E8E7E7E4E3NE5N4NW10NW11N7N5NW3N5N4E5SE7SE9SE8SE8SE5SE5SE5
2 days agoNE8NE8NE8NE8NE8NE8NE8E7NE4N5NE5NE5NE5NE6NE6NE8E6E9E10E7E6E5E5E8

Tide / Current Tables for Clearwater Beach, Gulf Of Mexico, Florida
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa), Florida Current
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Old Tampa Bay Entrance (Port Tampa)
Click for Map
Mon -- 01:01 AM EDT     0.99 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 03:56 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:31 AM EDT     -1.18 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 08:01 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 10:53 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 01:42 PM EDT     1.21 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 04:58 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 07:02 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 07:46 PM EDT     -0.89 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 07:52 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 10:42 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.810.80.5-0-0.5-0.9-1.2-1.2-1-0.50.10.71.11.210.5-0-0.5-0.8-0.9-0.7-0.40.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.