Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Indialantic, FL
December 3, 2023 6:43 AM EST (11:43 UTC)
Sunrise 6:56AM Sunset 5:27PM Moonrise 11:14PM Moonset 12:05PM
AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 429 Am Est Sun Dec 3 2023
Today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
Today..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers.
Monday..West winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. A dominant period 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers in the morning.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..Northwest winds 10 knots, increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
Wednesday night..North winds 15 to 20 knots, diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet with occasional seas to 6 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 429 Am Est Sun Dec 3 2023
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge will shift well east of florida today ahead of a cold front, which will sag into the local waters early Monday morning. The front will push into south florida Monday night, with high pressure building over the local waters through early week. A secondary surge of fresh northerly winds will reach the local waters Wednesday into Thursday as low pressure develops off the mid atlantic and northeast u.s. Coasts.
Gulf stream hazards..None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, december 3rd.
43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge will shift well east of florida today ahead of a cold front, which will sag into the local waters early Monday morning. The front will push into south florida Monday night, with high pressure building over the local waters through early week. A secondary surge of fresh northerly winds will reach the local waters Wednesday into Thursday as low pressure develops off the mid atlantic and northeast u.s. Coasts.
Gulf stream hazards..None.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday, december 3rd.
43 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.
Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
(on/off) HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS62 KMLB 030922 AFDMLB
Area Forecast Discussion...Corrected National Weather Service Melbourne FL 422 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Current...Increasing clouds across the north early this morning from a combination of high clouds spilling over an upper level ridge centered south of FL, and low stratus rapidly spreading NE from the western peninsula in freshening SW flow just above the surface. In addition, some mist/fog has started to form in this area, and traffic cams show this becoming dense in a few spots around Lake Apopka, Green Swamp and the KISM attractions area.
Low clouds will become widespread across the northern half CWA through sunrise, with some increase in fog expected. Magnitude (15kt) of SW flow just off the deck normally favors widespread stratus over dense/widespread fog but will continue to monitor.
Today-tonight...The mid level ridge extending northward from the Greater Antilles into SOFL/Straits shifts east/flattens through tonight as an elongated vortlobe sags south into NOFL. At the surface, after the fog/stratus erodes later this morning, light- moderate S-SW winds on the western flank of an eroding Atlantic ridge veer WSW/freshen ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will sag across NOFL this afternoon, then become oriented parallel to the low level wind flow, which causes it to slow and become more diffuse as it oozes into ECFL overnight.
While moisture increases (GFS PWATs 1.6"-1.7"/ECM 1-2 tenths lower)
the overall pattern across FL isn't overly favorable for precip to develop, given the lack of significant source for lift, outside of some weak upper divergence. Went with diurnal POPs of 20% from Lake Kissimmee-Melbourne to around I-4, and 30 from I-4 northward. H50 temps fall to -8C/-9C across the north/central as surface temps climb into the L-M80s. Resultant instability (SBCAPEs 1000-1500 JKG-1) supports potential for a few lightning strikes during the mid-late afternoon. Mostly cloudy overnight with isolated evening showers possible. Mins in the M-U60s.
Monday-Tuesday...A cold front is forecast to move southward across the peninsula Monday into Monday night, with isolated shower development forecast along and ahead of the front. Have kept PoPs around 20 percent on Monday, and took out mention of thunder except for across the local Atlantic waters. The global models remain in fairly good agreement that the boundary will push south of east central Florida and stall and eventually diminish across south Florida and the Keys, with the Euro showing a faster decay of the boundary than the GFS. An area of surface high pressure is then forecast to shift eastward from the central US and gradually strengthen across the southeastern US on Tuesday behind the front, with northerly winds locally helping the drier and cooler airmass filter in across east central Florida. This will be most noticeable on Tuesday, with lower relative humidities and rain chances less than 10 percent.
Out ahead of the front on Monday, the warm, moist airmass will keep temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s. As the front pushes through, cooler air will follow behind, with overnight lows on Monday dropping into the low to mid 50s. Afternoon highs on Tuesday will also fall closer to climatological normal for this time of year, with temperatures in the low to mid 70s across east central Florida. Overnight lows on Tuesday in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Wednesday-Saturday...Dry conditions are forecast across east central Florida through the remainder of the period. A mid-level trough will sweep across the southeastern US on Wednesday, pushing a reinforcing frontal boundary across the peninsula at the surface, with even drier and cooler air forecast to push in behind the front. As a result, clearing skies are forecast across the area Wednesday through Thursday. As the surface high shifts eastward towards the Atlantic, onshore flow will return Thursday into Friday, leading to some increasing moisture across the area and therefore increasing cloud coverage.
Coolest temperatures are forecast on Wednesday as a result of the reinforcing boundary, with afternoon highs in the low 60s to low 70s and overnight lows in the low 40s to mid 50s. Temperatures will then gradually warm through the remainder of the week into the weekend, with afternoon highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s on Thursday and in the low 70s to low 80s Friday and Saturday. Overnight lows in the mid 40s to upper 50s on Thursday and in the low 50s to mid 60s Friday and Saturday nights.
MARINE
Issued at 408 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
Today-tonight...SW winds 10kt or a little less near shore and 10-15kt well offshore freshen by a few kts offshore the Volusia /Brevard coasts as they veer to SW-W this afternoon, This will preclude any increase in seas, which will remain 2-3ft nearshore and 3-4ft well offshore. Winds remain W-WSW overnight with speeds slackening a bit, allowing seas to fall back to 2-3ft.
Monday-Thursday...A cold front will move across the local Atlantic waters Monday into Monday night, with isolated to scattered showers and a stray thunderstorm or two forecast. Behind the front, conditions dry out as an area of high pressure builds across the southeastern US. West winds on Monday will veer to out of the northwest on Tuesday, generally between 10 to 15 knots. On Wednesday, a reinforcing frontal boundary will push southward across the Florida peninsula and local Atlantic waters, resulting in the northwesterly winds increasing to 15 to 25 knots across the local Atlantic waters. Winds will veer to out of the northeast on Thursday and decrease back to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet on Monday and Tuesday, increasing to 4 to 8 feet on Wednesday due to the winds, and then decreasing slightly to 3 to 7 feet on Thursday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 408 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
IFR-LIFR stratus CIGs OVC002-007 have become widespread along/west of ISM-MCO-SFB-DED. Thus far, VSBY reductions have been limited to LEE, while having become widespread well SW of ISM. There should be some NE spread of low CIGs toward or across DAB-TIX through 12Z, with potential for IFR to LIFR VSBYs to reach ISM-MCO-ORL. Any fog should burn off by 13Z, with IFR CIGs lingering through 14-15Z.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
The Saint Johns River at Astor is forecast to continue a very slow decline this week. The river is forecast to remain within Minor Flood Stage through mid week, but could fall into Action Stage later in the week. Near Geneva, Above Lake Harney the river is expected to fall below Action Stage later today.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 82 66 80 51 / 30 20 10 0 MCO 84 69 80 55 / 30 20 20 0 MLB 84 67 83 56 / 20 10 20 0 VRB 85 67 83 56 / 10 10 20 0 LEE 82 67 78 53 / 30 20 10 0 SFB 84 67 80 53 / 30 20 10 0 ORL 85 69 80 56 / 30 20 10 0 FPR 85 67 83 56 / 10 10 20 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion...Corrected National Weather Service Melbourne FL 422 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
DISCUSSION
Current...Increasing clouds across the north early this morning from a combination of high clouds spilling over an upper level ridge centered south of FL, and low stratus rapidly spreading NE from the western peninsula in freshening SW flow just above the surface. In addition, some mist/fog has started to form in this area, and traffic cams show this becoming dense in a few spots around Lake Apopka, Green Swamp and the KISM attractions area.
Low clouds will become widespread across the northern half CWA through sunrise, with some increase in fog expected. Magnitude (15kt) of SW flow just off the deck normally favors widespread stratus over dense/widespread fog but will continue to monitor.
Today-tonight...The mid level ridge extending northward from the Greater Antilles into SOFL/Straits shifts east/flattens through tonight as an elongated vortlobe sags south into NOFL. At the surface, after the fog/stratus erodes later this morning, light- moderate S-SW winds on the western flank of an eroding Atlantic ridge veer WSW/freshen ahead of an approaching cold front. The front will sag across NOFL this afternoon, then become oriented parallel to the low level wind flow, which causes it to slow and become more diffuse as it oozes into ECFL overnight.
While moisture increases (GFS PWATs 1.6"-1.7"/ECM 1-2 tenths lower)
the overall pattern across FL isn't overly favorable for precip to develop, given the lack of significant source for lift, outside of some weak upper divergence. Went with diurnal POPs of 20% from Lake Kissimmee-Melbourne to around I-4, and 30 from I-4 northward. H50 temps fall to -8C/-9C across the north/central as surface temps climb into the L-M80s. Resultant instability (SBCAPEs 1000-1500 JKG-1) supports potential for a few lightning strikes during the mid-late afternoon. Mostly cloudy overnight with isolated evening showers possible. Mins in the M-U60s.
Monday-Tuesday...A cold front is forecast to move southward across the peninsula Monday into Monday night, with isolated shower development forecast along and ahead of the front. Have kept PoPs around 20 percent on Monday, and took out mention of thunder except for across the local Atlantic waters. The global models remain in fairly good agreement that the boundary will push south of east central Florida and stall and eventually diminish across south Florida and the Keys, with the Euro showing a faster decay of the boundary than the GFS. An area of surface high pressure is then forecast to shift eastward from the central US and gradually strengthen across the southeastern US on Tuesday behind the front, with northerly winds locally helping the drier and cooler airmass filter in across east central Florida. This will be most noticeable on Tuesday, with lower relative humidities and rain chances less than 10 percent.
Out ahead of the front on Monday, the warm, moist airmass will keep temperatures in the upper 70s to mid 80s. As the front pushes through, cooler air will follow behind, with overnight lows on Monday dropping into the low to mid 50s. Afternoon highs on Tuesday will also fall closer to climatological normal for this time of year, with temperatures in the low to mid 70s across east central Florida. Overnight lows on Tuesday in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Wednesday-Saturday...Dry conditions are forecast across east central Florida through the remainder of the period. A mid-level trough will sweep across the southeastern US on Wednesday, pushing a reinforcing frontal boundary across the peninsula at the surface, with even drier and cooler air forecast to push in behind the front. As a result, clearing skies are forecast across the area Wednesday through Thursday. As the surface high shifts eastward towards the Atlantic, onshore flow will return Thursday into Friday, leading to some increasing moisture across the area and therefore increasing cloud coverage.
Coolest temperatures are forecast on Wednesday as a result of the reinforcing boundary, with afternoon highs in the low 60s to low 70s and overnight lows in the low 40s to mid 50s. Temperatures will then gradually warm through the remainder of the week into the weekend, with afternoon highs in the mid 60s to mid 70s on Thursday and in the low 70s to low 80s Friday and Saturday. Overnight lows in the mid 40s to upper 50s on Thursday and in the low 50s to mid 60s Friday and Saturday nights.
MARINE
Issued at 408 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
Today-tonight...SW winds 10kt or a little less near shore and 10-15kt well offshore freshen by a few kts offshore the Volusia /Brevard coasts as they veer to SW-W this afternoon, This will preclude any increase in seas, which will remain 2-3ft nearshore and 3-4ft well offshore. Winds remain W-WSW overnight with speeds slackening a bit, allowing seas to fall back to 2-3ft.
Monday-Thursday...A cold front will move across the local Atlantic waters Monday into Monday night, with isolated to scattered showers and a stray thunderstorm or two forecast. Behind the front, conditions dry out as an area of high pressure builds across the southeastern US. West winds on Monday will veer to out of the northwest on Tuesday, generally between 10 to 15 knots. On Wednesday, a reinforcing frontal boundary will push southward across the Florida peninsula and local Atlantic waters, resulting in the northwesterly winds increasing to 15 to 25 knots across the local Atlantic waters. Winds will veer to out of the northeast on Thursday and decrease back to 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet on Monday and Tuesday, increasing to 4 to 8 feet on Wednesday due to the winds, and then decreasing slightly to 3 to 7 feet on Thursday.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 408 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
IFR-LIFR stratus CIGs OVC002-007 have become widespread along/west of ISM-MCO-SFB-DED. Thus far, VSBY reductions have been limited to LEE, while having become widespread well SW of ISM. There should be some NE spread of low CIGs toward or across DAB-TIX through 12Z, with potential for IFR to LIFR VSBYs to reach ISM-MCO-ORL. Any fog should burn off by 13Z, with IFR CIGs lingering through 14-15Z.
HYDROLOGY
Issued at 408 AM EST Sun Dec 3 2023
The Saint Johns River at Astor is forecast to continue a very slow decline this week. The river is forecast to remain within Minor Flood Stage through mid week, but could fall into Action Stage later in the week. Near Geneva, Above Lake Harney the river is expected to fall below Action Stage later today.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 82 66 80 51 / 30 20 10 0 MCO 84 69 80 55 / 30 20 20 0 MLB 84 67 83 56 / 20 10 20 0 VRB 85 67 83 56 / 10 10 20 0 LEE 82 67 78 53 / 30 20 10 0 SFB 84 67 80 53 / 30 20 10 0 ORL 85 69 80 56 / 30 20 10 0 FPR 85 67 83 56 / 10 10 20 0
MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| 41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) | 23 mi | 47 min | 71°F | 2 ft | ||||
| TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL | 24 mi | 55 min | SSW 5.1G | 72°F | 76°F | 29.97 | ||
| 41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL | 37 mi | 33 min | SW 9.7G | 76°F | 79°F | 30.01 | 74°F | |
| 41068 | 40 mi | 95 min | SW 9.7G | 77°F | 80°F | 30.00 | 74°F | |
| 41114 - Fort Pierce, FL (134) | 41 mi | 47 min | 80°F | 2 ft |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (on/off) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KMLB MELBOURNE INTL,FL | 3 sm | 50 min | S 05 | 10 sm | Mostly Cloudy | 72°F | 72°F | 100% | 30.00 | |
| KCOF PATRICK AFB,FL | 12 sm | 48 min | SSW 04 | 7 sm | Clear | 72°F | 70°F | 94% | 29.97 | |
Wind History from MLB
(wind in knots)Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:37 AM EST 0.89 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 11:56 AM EST 3.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:05 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:25 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:22 PM EST 1.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:13 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:37 AM EST 0.89 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 11:56 AM EST 3.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:05 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:25 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:22 PM EST 1.14 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:13 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Canova Beach, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.3 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 2.4 |
| 3 am |
| 1.8 |
| 4 am |
| 1.3 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 1.2 |
| 8 am |
| 1.7 |
| 9 am |
| 2.4 |
| 10 am |
| 3 |
| 11 am |
| 3.5 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.6 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 3 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.5 |
| 9 pm |
| 2 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 11 pm |
| 3 |
Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:25 AM EST 0.85 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:58 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 11:45 AM EST 3.66 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:05 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:25 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:10 PM EST 1.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:13 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sun -- 05:25 AM EST 0.85 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:58 AM EST Sunrise
Sun -- 11:45 AM EST 3.66 feet High Tide
Sun -- 12:05 PM EST Moonset
Sun -- 05:25 PM EST Sunset
Sun -- 06:10 PM EST 1.09 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 11:13 PM EST Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.3 |
| 1 am |
| 2.9 |
| 2 am |
| 2.3 |
| 3 am |
| 1.7 |
| 4 am |
| 1.2 |
| 5 am |
| 0.9 |
| 6 am |
| 0.9 |
| 7 am |
| 1.3 |
| 8 am |
| 1.9 |
| 9 am |
| 2.5 |
| 10 am |
| 3.2 |
| 11 am |
| 3.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 3.4 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.7 |
| 5 pm |
| 1.3 |
| 6 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 7 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.7 |
| 11 pm |
| 3.1 |
Melbourne, FL,
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