Tuesday, July16, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Key Vista, FL

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Sunrise 6:43AMSunset 8:30PM Tuesday July 16, 2019 10:53 PM EDT (02:53 UTC) Moonrise 7:34PMMoonset 5:24AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 837 Pm Edt Tue Jul 16 2019
Rest of tonight..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms early in the evening.
Wednesday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Wednesday night..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east around 5 knots after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Scattered Thunderstorms in the evening.
Thursday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming west around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Thursday night..Northwest winds around 5 knots then becoming southeast after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Friday..Southeast winds around 5 knots then becoming southwest around 10 knots in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms late in the morning. Scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth.
Saturday..South winds around 10 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Scattered Thunderstorms in the late morning and afternoon.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 5 knots then becoming east after midnight. Bay and inland waters smooth. Isolated Thunderstorms in the evening.
Sunday..South winds around 10 knots then becoming west in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a light chop. Isolated Thunderstorms in the morning, then scattered Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 837 Pm Edt Tue Jul 16 2019
Synopsis..High pressure will remain over the waters through the end of the week with light winds and slight seas. Afternoon sea breezes each day will result in enhanced onshore winds near the coast. Winds and seas will be higher near Thunderstorms, otherwise no headlines are expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Key Vista, FL
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location: 28.18, -82.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 162350
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
750 pm edt Tue jul 16 2019

Update
Forecast looks on track for right now with most of the activity
along i-75. Showers and storms should start to weaken after sunset
with almost all the activity ending before midnight.

We are looking at a typical summertime seabreeze day tomorrow with
storms starting inland in the afternoon before slowly drifting
towards the coast by the late afternoon and evening hours.

Aviation
Vcts will stay in pie, tpa, lal, and srq through 03z tonight as
storms continue to flare up in the area. Tempo MVFR and ifr
conditions for the next couple of hours for tpa and pie where
storms are more likely. After that we can expectVFR conditions
overnight and in the morning before storms and vcts come back into
the tafs at 18z.

Prev discussion issued 333 pm edt Tue jul 16 2019
discussion (tonight - next Tuesday)...

little overall change to the forecast through the period as
mid upper level ridging will hold over florida through the work
week then shifts north over the eastern u.S. Over the weekend
before being suppressed south as a trough moves into the eastern
states early next week. Meanwhile at the surface the ridge axis
meanders over north central and central parts of the florida
peninsula through the period and gradually weakens some which will
allow the west coast sea breeze to move further inland.

For the rest of this afternoon scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue to develop and move toward the west lingering around
the tampa bay area northward during the evening. Later this
evening and overnight we'll see mostly clear to partly cloudy
skies with any leftover convection moving well out into the gulf.

Through the weekend we'll see a pretty typical summertime pattern
with scattered mainly afternoon and evening convection each day
moving out into the gulf during the night. The location of the
subtropical ridge will be the main driving force in our day-to-day
thunderstorm coverage and location. Other than minor fluctuations
north to south, the ridge axis should generally set up over
central florida, which will allow afternoon sea breezes to push
steadily inland from the tampa bay area north. Sea breezes south
of tampa bay will have a tougher time moving inland against the
predominant east t southeast flow south of the axis.

Early next week the exact location of the subtropical ridge varies
between the models depending on how deep the trough gets over the
eastern states. For now it looks the axis will shift south some
into south central florida with a more southwest flow across the
nature coast with light southeast to south elsewhere. Plenty of
moisture will remain in place leading to more scattered showers
and thunderstorms.

Temperatures will be near to a couple of degrees above normal
through the period.

Marine...

a ridge of high pressure will provide light winds and slight seas
through the week with a shift to onshore each afternoon as the sea
breeze develops. Isolated to scattered convection will be
possible, especially during the nighttime and early morning hours.

Fire weather...

sufficient low level moisture will keep relative humidity values
above critical levels through the week with no red flag
conditions expected. No significant fog is expected through the
period.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 78 92 77 91 40 50 30 40
fmy 76 92 75 92 20 60 30 50
gif 75 94 75 95 20 60 30 50
srq 76 91 76 91 30 40 30 40
bkv 74 94 73 93 30 50 30 50
spg 80 91 80 91 30 40 30 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... None.

Update aviation marine... 27 shiveley
upper air... 13 oglesby
decision support... 14 mroczka


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 2 mi119 min SE 12 G 13 85°F 1020.3 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 14 mi59 min NE 6 G 11 81°F 91°F1019.4 hPa
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 18 mi119 min NNW 1 G 2.9 96°F 1019.6 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 25 mi53 min ENE 5.1 G 8 78°F 87°F1019.8 hPa (+0.7)
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 25 mi53 min NNE 4.1 G 6
MCYF1 26 mi53 min 90°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 26 mi53 min N 4.1 G 6
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 30 mi59 min E 7 G 8.9 80°F 86°F1019.8 hPa
CLBF1 31 mi59 min E 1 G 4.1 80°F 1018.6 hPa
GCTF1 31 mi53 min 78°F 1019.5 hPa74°F
MTBF1 37 mi53 min E 4.1 G 7 78°F 1019.5 hPa72°F
PMAF1 39 mi65 min 77°F 89°F1019.3 hPa
42098 42 mi53 min 87°F1 ft

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL19 mi60 minENE 410.00 miFair79°F71°F77%1019.2 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL20 mi60 minNNE 410.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F72°F85%1019.9 hPa

Wind History from PIE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4CalmE4E5E7E7SE7SE6SE4SE5SE8S6SE4NE6E444NW7NW9NW8NW11E11NE10NE4
1 day agoNE3CalmE6SE7SE6SE5SE5CalmCalmE3SE6E63NE6NE5NE5N4NW11NW10N7SE10NE3CalmNE4
2 days agoSE4E3SE5E4E4E5E4E3SE3SE4SE5SE9SE11SE5E7NE7NE4N6N7N8N8N7NW7N4

Tide / Current Tables for Tarpon Springs, Anclote River, Florida
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Tarpon Springs
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:25 AM EDT     2.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:37 AM EDT     1.39 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 12:33 PM EDT     3.20 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:39 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tue -- 07:55 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.62.62.321.61.41.41.622.52.93.23.22.92.41.810.4-0.1-0.200.61.3

Tide / Current Tables for New Port Richey, Pithlachascotee River, Florida
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New Port Richey
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:43 AM EDT     2.98 feet High Tide
Tue -- 06:23 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:44 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:29 AM EDT     1.48 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:51 PM EDT     3.68 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:39 PM EDT     Full Moon
Tue -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:33 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 08:47 PM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.32.932.82.421.71.51.51.92.433.53.73.53.12.41.70.90.3-0.1-0.20.20.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.