Tuesday, November12, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Key Vista, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 5:40PM Tuesday November 12, 2019 3:53 PM EST (20:53 UTC) Moonrise 6:04PMMoonset 6:45AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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GMZ830 Tampa Bay Waters- 232 Pm Est Tue Nov 12 2019
.small craft exercise caution...
Tonight..North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots in the late evening and overnight. Bay and inland waters choppy. A chance of showers early in the evening, then a slight chance of showers in the late evening and early morning.
Wednesday..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Thursday..East winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A slight chance of showers early in the morning. A chance of showers in the late morning and afternoon.
Thursday night..Northeast winds around 10 knots. Bay and inland waters a light chop. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Friday..North winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to around 15 knots late in the afternoon. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. Showers likely in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon.
Friday night..North winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop. A slight chance of showers in the evening.
Saturday..North winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Saturday night..Northeast winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
Sunday..North winds around 15 knots. Bay and inland waters a moderate chop.
GMZ800 Synopsis For The Coastal Waters From Bonita Beach To Suwannee River- 232 Pm Est Tue Nov 12 2019
Synopsis.. Light winds 10 knots or less will persist through the afternoon over the gulf coast waters. A cold front will move southeast through the waters today through Wednesday bringing increased rain chances as well as gusty northerly winds behind the front. This has warranted the issuance of a small craft advisory for the eastern gulf coast waters beginning this evening at 00z and continuing through 00z tomorrow evening. Winds will subside slightly on Thursday as high pressure sets up north of the waters once again, but still remaining northeast around 15 knots. Another area of low pressure moves through the waters late Thursday into Friday bringing a high chance of showers to the area. Gusty northerly winds behind this system will set up, which will bring winds near cautionary or possibly advisory level through Sunday. No other marine impacts expected.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Key Vista, FL
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location: 28.18, -82.78     debug


Area Discussion for - Tampa Bay, FL
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Fxus62 ktbw 121924
afdtbw
area forecast discussion
national weather service tampa bay ruskin fl
224 pm est Tue nov 12 2019

Discussion
A highly amplified upper level pattern is setting up over the
eastern half of the u.S. A closed upper low sits north of the great
lakes with broad troughing extending south through the mississippi
river valley. This trough will lend support to the next cold front
that currently extends through southern ga and the panhandle of fl.

This front is expected to move through the florida peninsula over
the next 24 hours. A chance of showers will move through the nature
coast this afternoon, then moving southeast through west central and
southwest florida Tuesday evening into early Wednesday morning.

Strong surface high pressure builds in over the southeast u.S. On
Wednesday producing clearing conditions and will also help filter in
the next shot of cool and dry air with overnight lows on Tuesday
night and daytime highs on Wednesday coming in 5-10 degrees below
average. A slight warm up is expected on Thursday before the next
trough and cold front move through to close out the week and into
the weekend. The highest chance of showers will be Thursday
afternoon into Friday afternoon with 40-80 percent pops expected.

Upper ridging and broad surface high pressure moves in on Saturday
and Sunday bringing in pleasant weather to close out the weekend
into next week. Another deeper trough and surface low approaches
from the west Monday afternoon into Tuesday next week bringing the
next chance of rainshowers and will also help to keep temperatures
below average into next week.

Aviation
Vfr conditions expected through the afternoon hours. A cold front
will move into the area later this evening into Wednesday morning
bringing some MVFR ifr conditions for lower CIGS for ksrq northward.

Not expecting much as far as showers go, but will hold vcsh at all
terminals between 23z-09z. Winds will start out wsw, becoming wnw
after 21z, then becoming nne around 10-15 knots with some higher
gusts after 00z. No other aviation impacts expected.

Marine
Light winds 10 knots or less will persist through the afternoon over
the gulf coast waters. A cold front will move southeast through the
waters today through Wednesday bringing increased rain chances as
well as gusty northerly winds behind the front. This has warranted
the issuance of a small craft advisory for the eastern gulf coast
waters beginning this evening at 00z and continuing through 00z
tomorrow evening. Winds will subside slightly on Thursday as high
pressure sets up north of the waters once again, but still
remaining northeast around 15 knots. Another area of low pressure
moves through the waters late Thursday into Friday bringing a high
chance of showers to the area. Gusty northerly winds behind this
system will set up, which will bring winds near cautionary or
possibly advisory level through Sunday. No other marine impacts
expected.

Fire weather
High pressure over the area gives way to a cold front later today
into Wednesday with a chance of showers and storms expected.

Cooler and drier conditions filter in behind the front on
Wednesday, but remaining above any fire weather threshold. No
other fire weather concerns anticipated.

Preliminary point temps pops
Tpa 55 72 62 80 30 10 0 30
fmy 63 79 66 84 10 10 0 30
gif 57 72 62 81 20 10 0 30
srq 58 75 64 83 30 10 0 30
bkv 51 70 58 79 30 10 0 30
spg 57 73 64 81 30 10 0 30

Tbw watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Gulf waters... Small craft advisory from 7 pm this evening to 7 pm est
Wednesday for coastal waters from englewood to tarpon
springs fl out 20 nm-coastal waters from tarpon springs to
suwannee river fl out 20 nm-waters from bonita beach to
englewood fl out 20 to 60 nm-waters from englewood to
tarpon springs fl out 20 to 60 nm-waters from tarpon
springs to suwannee river fl out 20 to 60 nm.

Discussion aviation marine fire weather... 74 wynn
decision support... 25 davis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
FHPF1 - Fred Howard Park, FL 2 mi120 min SW 6 G 7 76°F 1013.8 hPa
CWBF1 - 8726724 - Clearwater Beach, FL 14 mi60 min W 7 G 8 78°F 77°F1013 hPa
ARPF1 - APK - Aripeka, FL 18 mi120 min W 6 G 8 83°F 1013 hPa
OPTF1 - 8726607 - Old Port Tampa, FL 25 mi60 min WNW 8 G 9.9 78°F 77°F1012.9 hPa
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 25 mi54 min SW 1.9 G 5.1
MCYF1 26 mi54 min 80°F
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 26 mi60 min SW 8.9 G 13
SAPF1 - 8726520 - St. Petersburg, FL 30 mi54 min W 8.9 G 12 79°F 76°F1013.1 hPa (-1.7)
CLBF1 31 mi60 min WSW 7 G 8 79°F 1012.1 hPa
GCTF1 31 mi60 min 78°F 1012.7 hPa68°F
MTBF1 37 mi60 min W 8 G 8 77°F 1013.3 hPa68°F
PMAF1 39 mi54 min 77°F 80°F1013 hPa (-1.6)
42098 42 mi54 min 79°F1 ft

Wind History for Clearwater Beach, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
St. Petersburg/Clearwater Airport, FL19 mi61 minW 810.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F64°F58%1012.6 hPa
Tampa, Tampa International Airport, FL20 mi61 minW 1010.00 miPartly Cloudy81°F66°F61%1012.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KPIE

Wind History from PIE (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4N3NW5N7N8NE7CalmNE3E5E3E3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4S5W5SW7SW12W13W8
1 day agoCalmCalmE3E7NE6E8E9E7E9E8E8E6E7E7E8NE6E7NE6E7E7NE5E7NE7E5
2 days agoN9NE12NE11
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NE10NE10NE10NE10NE9NE9NE8NE10NE8NE8NE9NE8NE7NE6NE9NE5E6NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Tarpon Springs, Anclote River, Florida
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Tarpon Springs
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:16 AM EST     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:37 AM EST     Full Moon
Tue -- 12:30 PM EST     2.85 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:39 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 06:10 PM EST     0.89 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:41 PM EST     2.97 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.82.51.91.20.60.1-0.1-00.411.82.42.82.82.521.51.10.911.422.52.9

Tide / Current Tables for New Port Richey, Pithlachascotee River, Florida
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New Port Richey
Click for Map
Tue -- 06:45 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 07:08 AM EST     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 08:37 AM EST     Full Moon
Tue -- 12:48 PM EST     3.28 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:39 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:03 PM EST     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:02 PM EST     0.95 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.332.51.91.10.50-0.100.71.62.53.13.33.12.621.51.111.21.82.53.2

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Tampa Bay, FL (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Tampa Bay Area, FL
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Gulf Stream Current


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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.