Sunday, August25, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
South Patrick Shores, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 6:56AMSunset 7:52PM Sunday August 25, 2019 6:03 PM EDT (22:03 UTC) Moonrise 12:46AMMoonset 2:53PM Illumination 22% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 338 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Tonight..North winds 5 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..North winds 5 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday night..South winds 5 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..Northwest winds 5 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Thursday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming east in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 338 Pm Edt Sun Aug 25 2019
Synopsis..An area of low pressure will move northeast offshore from the carolinas, away from florida tonight through Monday. A typical summertime pattern returns into early this week with light winds across the waters becoming onshore near the coast with east coast sea breeze each afternoon.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Sunday august 25th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 9 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Patrick Shores, FL
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location: 28.21, -80.62     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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Fxus62 kmlb 251926
afdmlb
area forecast discussion
national weather service melbourne fl
326 pm edt Sun aug 25 2019

Discussion
Current-tonight... A trailing trough axis from low pressure
developing offshore from east central florida is allowing for
northeast low level flow behind the boundary and combined with
some dry air in the mid levels very limited convection at mid
afternoon. Isolated shower activity will move southwest across
the interior into early evening before diminishing. Dry weather is
then expected overnight with lows in the mid to upper 70s.

Monday-Friday (modified previous)... The atlantic mid level ridge
builds westward across sofl mon-tue, then retrogrades farther west
into the gomex wed-thu, where it gets absorbed into the eastern
lobe of the sonoran ridge. This leaves a slight weakness in the
h50 height fields over fl on thu-fri.

At the surface, departing low pressure system well offshore the se
conus (currently an 80 pct chc to become a tropical cyclone per nhc
2pm twoat) lifts NE offshore the mid atlantic NE conus. The weak
col region over ecfl Mon transitions to freshening westerlies tue-
wed as a cool front sags into the deep south. By thu, the tail end
of this front morphs into a broad low inverted surface trough
over florida, which gradually retrogrades westward into the gomex
by Friday night.

Sufficient moisture remains in place to support diurnal shower and
t-storm activity throughout the week. Weak h85-h50 steering flow on
mon will increase out of the west Tue into wed, then weaken again
by thu-fri. Pops this week remain on the high side of normal (50-60)
and these numbers may need to be nudged upward thu-fri should the
aforementioned surface trough develop overhead as progged. Temps
look to remain near to slightly above late august norms through the
period.

Next weekend... While the global model solutions show a large eastern
conus trough developing at days 7-8, the ecm is much more amplified
with it. The GFS is weaker, while showing a large tutt low moving
into the bahamas from the se. Both models show the atlantic surface
ridge axis north of central florida, with either east or SE flow
developing. Best bet this far out is to go with climo temps pops.

Aviation
Vfr conditions through the TAF period. Thunder chances appear low
across the interior sites so have only vcsh mentioned through early
this evening as isolated to scattered showers will continue to
develop. Except for sua, precip mention has been left out for
coastal terminals as any showers that develop are expected to remain
inland. There is also a small chance of having to add vcts at sua
later this afternoon but current thinking is that the storms will
remain to the south of sua.

Marine
Tonight... The trof extending from the low pressure area well
offshore will remain near jupiter inlet or the far southern
marine area overnight. NE N winds behind the boundary will be 5-10
knots across the NRN waters and 5 knots across the central and
south. Seas generally 2 ft near shore and south and up to 3-4 ft
offshore from volusia county.

Monday-Thursday... Light chaotic flow on Mon will become westerly on
tue-wed, the back more southerly on Thu as a surface trough develops
over the peninsula. Onshore winds will develop near the coast each
afternoon due to the ecsb circ. There is the potential for strong
offshore moving t-storms Tue and especially wed. Winds remain around
10kt or less with seas 2-3ft, but slightly lower close to the
coast.

Preliminary point temps pops
Dab 76 90 75 90 10 40 30 50
mco 77 93 76 93 10 60 50 60
mlb 77 91 75 90 10 50 40 50
vrb 75 91 74 91 10 60 30 50
lee 77 94 75 91 20 60 50 50
sfb 76 93 76 94 10 60 40 60
orl 77 94 77 93 10 60 50 60
fpr 74 91 74 91 10 60 30 50

Mlb watches warnings advisories
Fl... None.

Am... None.

Volkmer glitto combs


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 14 mi33 min 83°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 14 mi45 min N 8.9 G 12 86°F 83°F1014.6 hPa
SIPF1 26 mi33 min NNE 13 82°F 82°F1014 hPa
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 31 mi33 min N 12 G 14 83°F 83°F1012.8 hPa76°F
TPAF1 - 8726694 - TPA Cruise Terminal 2, Tampa, FL 98 mi45 min E 5.1 G 7

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL2 mi67 minNE 1410.00 miFair87°F79°F78%1013.3 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL7 mi70 minNE 1110.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F75°F65%1012.8 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL18 mi67 minno data10.00 miFair88°F78°F74%1013.2 hPa
Titusville, FL23 mi76 minNNE 107.00 miPartly Cloudy91°F75°F59%1013.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOF

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE11N11NE7E5E7----N4----------N5NW5NW9N8N6NE11NE12NE11NE12NE12NE14
1 day agoE9E7E3E7E11--------E12--CalmCalmCalmCalmNE4NE6NE9NE11NE11NE11NE11NE12NE11
2 days agoE8E10E10E10E9------E7E9----E8E9E6--E7NE7NE7NE10E12E10E8E9

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:02 AM EDT     3.41 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:36 AM EDT     0.38 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:01 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:15 PM EDT     0.88 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.12.73.23.43.32.82.21.40.80.40.40.71.42.22.93.43.63.532.31.71.10.91

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:45 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 03:07 AM EDT     2.94 feet High Tide
Sun -- 06:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:20 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 03:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 04:05 PM EDT     3.97 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:51 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:27 PM EDT     0.63 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.72.32.72.92.82.41.91.20.60.20.30.81.52.43.23.743.83.32.61.81.10.70.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.