South Patrick Shores, FL Marine Weather and Tide Forecast
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Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for South Patrick Shores, FL

June 23, 2024 7:21 PM EDT (23:21 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:25 AM   Sunset 8:23 PM
Moonrise 9:21 PM   Moonset 6:44 AM 
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NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.

Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 404 Pm Edt Sun Jun 23 2024

This afternoon - South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: east 3 feet at 8 seconds and south 2 feet at 4 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Tonight - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: south 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 2 feet at 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Monday - South winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 3 seconds and east 2 feet at 7 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon.

Monday night - South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 2 feet at 7 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.

Tuesday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon and evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 7 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Wednesday - Northwest winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast in the afternoon, becoming south in the evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Wave detail: east 2 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms.

Thursday - Southwest winds around 5 knots, becoming south in the afternoon and evening, becoming southwest after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers in the morning. A chance of Thunderstorms. Showers likely in the afternoon and evening. Thunderstorms likely in the evening, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024

Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.

Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near South Patrick Shores, FL
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Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 232003 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 403 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

New DISCUSSION, MARINE

KEY MESSAGES:

- High rain shower and storm chances with locally heavy rainfall into mid week

- High temperatures in the low to mid 90s with heat index values at 100-107 degrees each afternoon


DISCUSSION
Issued at 403 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

Currently-Tonight... Current KMLB radar imagery shows numerous showers and scattered lightning storms over much of east central Florida (mainly over the interior and along the Volusia county coast). Convection has been slow moving due to weak wind fields.
Scattered to numerous showers (PoPs ~ 60-70%) and scattered lightning storms are forecast through this evening with coverage forecast to diminish shortly after sunset before ending by midnight. The main hazards associated with lightning storms into this evening will be occasional to frequent lightning strikes, locally heavy rainfall (1-3" in a short amount of time with slow moving showers/storms), and wind gusts up to 30-40mph. South to southeast winds at 5-15mph are expected to become light and variable overnight.

Monday... The western Atlantic ridge will slowly move east tomorrow as a major shortwave trough deepens over the Northeastern CONUS. South to southeast winds at around 10mph are forecast into the afternoon to the east of the Orlando metro with west to southwest winds at 5-10mph to the west. The forecast is similar tomorrow with scattered showers and isolated lightning storms expected to develop near the Treasure Coast before coverage increases into the afternoon. Scattered to numerous showers (PoPs ~ 50-70%) and scattered lightning storms are forecast to develop into the afternoon and early evening as the east coast sea breeze pushes inland and boundary collisions occur between the weaker west coast sea breeze and outflow from previous storms. Afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s with heat index values in the 100-107 degree range are forecast under partly cloudy to partly sunny skies.

Tuesday-Saturday (modified previous discussion)... Moisture becomes reinforced on Tuesday as an area of low pressure lifts off the northeast U.S. coast and an accompanying surface boundary sinks towards Florida. Mid level high pressure across the southern U.S. retreats westward into mid week as a shortwave trough develops over the southeastern US. Another boundary sinks toward the state into Thursday, keeping PWATs elevated into late week. In response, coverage of afternoon showers and storms remain high (60-70%) each afternoon through the mid and long term forecast. A diurnal sea breeze development is expected each afternoon. Light west to southwest flow with a slightly stronger east coast sea breeze is expected Tuesday with sea breeze collisions mostly confined to the central to western side of the peninsula. West to southwest low level flow becomes more predominate mid to late week which will generally favor the inland extent of the west coast sea breeze through late week, and any sea breeze collisions are favored across the central or eastern side of the peninsula.
Guidance then suggests a transition to easterly flow into the weekend. The greatest hazards with any developing storms continues to be occasional to frequent lightning strikes and periods of locally heavy rainfall (1-3" a short amount of time).

High temperatures remain steady through the period and warm into the low to mid 90s each afternoon. Peak heat index values will generally range between 102-107 through late week.

MARINE
Issued at 403 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

Currently-Monday... Scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast to move offshore into this evening. South to southeast winds at around 10 to 15kts are forecast diminish into Monday morning at 5 to 10kts before backing southeast into the mid morning and afternoon. Scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast to develop into Monday morning over the local Atlantic with offshore moving showers/storms expected in the evening. The main hazards associated with lightning storms will be occasional to frequent lightning strikes, heavy rainfall, and wind gusts up to 35mph. Seas are forecast to build to 2 to 3 ft with up to 4 ft over the offshore Volusia county waters tonight.

Tuesday-Thursday... Light southwest to west flow develops over the local Atlantic waters by Tuesday. Winds back southward each afternoon with the development of the east coast sea breeze. Seas remain 2 ft through the period with occasional seas to 3 ft well offshore. High coverage of showers and lightning storms continue each day.

AVIATION
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 135 PM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

Another afternoon of showers and storms are forecast across east central Florida, particularly across the interior terminals and MLB northward along the coast. VCTS ongoing with TEMPOs from 18-23Z today, with MVFR VIS and CIGs due to TSRA. Activity will begin to diminish after 00Z, with quiet conditions across the Treasure Coast terminals and lingering VCSH at the remaining coastal and interior terminals through 06Z. ESE winds this afternoon will become southerly and variable overnight. Winds pick back up out of the SW across the interior and at DAB and TIX, with the sea breeze developing around 15Z from MLB southward, making winds easterly. VCSH will be possible along the sea breeze from MLB southward after 15Z, with increasing shower and storm coverage forecast as the ECSB progresses inland tomorrow afternoon.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
DAB 74 93 76 93 / 30 60 30 70 MCO 74 93 76 92 / 40 70 30 70 MLB 74 91 75 91 / 30 50 30 60 VRB 74 90 75 91 / 30 50 20 50 LEE 76 94 77 94 / 50 70 30 70 SFB 75 94 76 94 / 40 70 30 70 ORL 75 93 77 93 / 40 70 30 70 FPR 73 90 74 91 / 30 60 20 60

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
AM...None.




Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind AirWater WavesinHgDewPt
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 14 mi55 min 83°F2 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 14 mi63 minWNW 2.9G7 89°F29.96
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 31 mi41 minWSW 12G14 81°F 82°F29.9876°F


Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisSkyWeatherAirDewPtRHinHg
KCOF PATRICK AFB,FL 2 sm86 minW 0610 smClear81°F73°F79%29.94
KMLB MELBOURNE INTL,FL 8 sm28 mincalm10 smClear79°F72°F79%29.96
KXMR CAPE CANAVERAL AFS SKID STRIP,FL 18 sm26 minW 0410 smA Few Clouds82°F73°F74%29.93
KTIX SPACE COAST RGNL,FL 23 sm34 mincalm7 smMostly Cloudy82°F73°F74%29.97
Link to 1 hour of 5 minute data for KCOF
   
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Wind History graph: COF
(wind in knots)
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Tide / Current for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
   
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Patrick Air Force Base
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Sun -- 03:13 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:00 AM EDT     3.48 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:25 PM EDT     -0.45 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:45 PM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Patrick Air Force Base, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.1
1
am
1.2
2
am
0.5
3
am
0.2
4
am
0.4
5
am
0.9
6
am
1.7
7
am
2.6
8
am
3.2
9
am
3.5
10
am
3.3
11
am
2.6
12
pm
1.7
1
pm
0.8
2
pm
0
3
pm
-0.4
4
pm
-0.4
5
pm
0.2
6
pm
1.1
7
pm
2.1
8
pm
3.1
9
pm
3.7
10
pm
3.8
11
pm
3.5


Tide / Current for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Sun -- 03:31 AM EDT     0.22 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:44 AM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:21 AM EDT     3.15 feet High Tide
Sun -- 03:12 PM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:53 PM EDT     4.71 feet High Tide
Sun -- 10:21 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida, Tide feet
12
am
2.8
1
am
1.8
2
am
0.8
3
am
0.3
4
am
0.3
5
am
0.7
6
am
1.3
7
am
2
8
am
2.7
9
am
3.1
10
am
3
11
am
2.5
12
pm
1.8
1
pm
0.9
2
pm
0.2
3
pm
-0.2
4
pm
-0
5
pm
0.6
6
pm
1.6
7
pm
2.6
8
pm
3.7
9
pm
4.5
10
pm
4.7
11
pm
4.4


Weather Map
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GEOS Local Image of southeast   
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Melbourne, FL,




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