Sunrise 6:32 AM   Sunset 8:13 PM Moonrise 4:46 PM   Moonset 3:35 AM

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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 320 Am Edt Mon May 20 2024
Today - West winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming north 10 to 15 knots late this morning and afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: north 2 feet at 4 seconds and east 2 feet at 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms this afternoon. Tonight - North winds 10 to 15 knots, diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: north 3 feet at 8 seconds and east 2 feet at 4 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Tuesday - Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 8 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 3 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. A chance of showers. A slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Tuesday night - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 8 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Wednesday - East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: northeast 3 feet at 7 seconds and southeast 1 foot at 4 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. A slight chance of showers. Thursday - East winds 5 to 10 knots, becoming south after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Wave detail: southeast 2 feet at 4 seconds and northeast 2 feet at 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Friday - South winds around 5 knots, becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon and evening, becoming south 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.

AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm 952 Am Edt Wed May 8 2024
Synopsis - The atlantic ridge will continue to influence the state of florida through late week. Poor boating conditions are expected to develop Wednesday night into Thursday with increasing south to southwest winds. A frontal boundary is forecast to ease into central florida and the local atlantic waters Friday night and Saturday then become nearly stationary with scattered showers and lightning storms forecast to develop over the local waters.
Gulf stream hazards - South winds increasing 15 to 20 knots this evening.
the approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday may 6th.
40 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 30 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.

FXUS62 KTBW 200729 AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 329 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER

DISCUSSION
Issued at 325 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

Although much of the area remained rain free on Sunday, limited rain chances are expected to continue today and Tuesday with lingering moisture likely to produce a few showers and storms during the afternoon and evening primarily over the interior as a weak surface boundary remains draped across the peninsula while a trough aloft extends SW across the state from the W Atlantic.

Guidance continues to indicate meager rain chances for W FL today with PoPs generally 20-30 percent. With the setup continuing to favor interior convection and PWATs trending down toward the 1-1.3 inch range across most of the area today through early Tuesday, lower PoPs seem likely with best chances along the interior. As the trough aloft begins to shift east into the Atlantic on Tuesday, surface ridging along the E Seaboard will begin gradually building into the state with low-level NE winds overspreading the area and advecting Atlantic moisture across the state leading to a slight uptick in PoPs Tuesday afternoon with highest chances still focused across the interior but spreading further across W FL.

By Wednesday upper ridging looks to build NE across the state from the SW Gulf while the surface ridge remains in place, leading to mainly dry conditions for the majority of the area as subsidence limits moisture depth and rain chances, mainly to 20 percent or less for southern interior and SWFL locations. Shortwaves and attendant surface low pressure systems trekking across the OH/TN Valleys over the latter half of the week will weaken the ridging aloft while the surface ridge will shift E into the Atlantic in response, causing winds to shift to SE-S locally late week into the weekend with gradually increasing moisture and an increase in rain chances over the weekend into early next week.

Temps generally within a few degrees of average over the early part of the week before warming to above normal over the latter half of the week with the ridging over the area. Expect afternoon highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s away from the immediate coast today and Monday with coastal areas in the lower to mid 80s, then warming into the lower to mid 90s mid week and beyond away from the coast with immediate coastal areas in the mid to upper 80s.

AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 145 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

VFR expected through period with light winds overnight increasing out of the W-NW late morning into afternoon, highest in afternoon with higher gusts. Winds shift out of the NE and diminish during the evening. While afternoon and evening convection looks to remain east of terminals and confidence does not warrant mention this cycle, interior and SWFL terminals may require adjustments if trends favor potential impacts.

MARINE
Issued at 325 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

A weak surface boundary remains over the waters with W-NW winds today increasing along the immediate coast during the afternoon with sea breeze enhancement. High pressure then builds along the E Seaboard and over the waters Tuesday into late week favoring NE to E winds developing over the waters, turning onshore with the sea breeze during the afternoons followed by easterly surges late evening into overnight. The high shifts into the Atlantic late week into the weekend allowing winds to become more S-SE over the weekend into early next week.

FIRE WEATHER
Issued at 325 AM EDT Mon May 20 2024

A weak surface boundary remains draped across the state with winds generally NW-N today. High pressure builds into the state Tuesday into late week favoring NE-E winds before shifting into the W Atlantic into the weekend allowing winds to shift out of the SE-S. Expect winds near the coast to turn onshore during the afternoons with the sea breeze.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 90 73 91 75 / 10 10 20 0 FMY 91 72 92 73 / 20 20 30 10 GIF 91 70 90 71 / 30 10 40 0 SRQ 90 71 92 73 / 10 10 20 10 BKV 91 65 91 66 / 20 10 20 0 SPG 88 76 90 77 / 10 10 20 0

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 5 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https:// www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

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Hillsborough Bay
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Mon -- 01:36 AM EDT     1.93 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:38 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:37 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 06:49 AM EDT     1.52 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:28 PM EDT     2.62 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:49 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:08 PM EDT     0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:15 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Hillsborough Bay, Tampa Bay, Tampa Bay, Florida, Tide feet

Titusville
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Mon -- 02:29 AM EDT     3.76 feet High Tide
Mon -- 04:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 06:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:22 AM EDT     3.70 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 05:43 PM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:21 PM EDT     3.77 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:10 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 10:25 PM EDT     3.76 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Titusville, Indian River, Florida, Tide feet

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