Saturday, July4, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Patrick AFB, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 6:29AMSunset 8:25PM Saturday July 4, 2020 2:58 PM EDT (18:58 UTC) Moonrise 7:14PMMoonset 4:48AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 1017 Am Edt Sat Jul 4 2020
This afternoon..West to northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming northeast early in the afternoon, then becoming east by late in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of offshore-moving showers and Thunderstorms.
Tonight..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west after midnight. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of offshore-moving showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms in the morning, then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms after midnight.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
Monday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday..South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Tuesday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest 5 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming south 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 1017 Am Edt Sat Jul 4 2020
Synopsis..Winds will continue from the west as the atlantic ridge axis remains suppressed to the south. Expect east coast sea breeze formation today and slow penetration inland due to an overall weaker pressure gradient in place. Low pressure to the north will continue to draw deep moisture across the area bringing high, offshore-moving, shower and storm chances each day through the holiday weekend and into early next week.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Thursday, july 2nd. 44 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 33 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Patrick AFB, FL
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location: 28.25, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 041408 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1008 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2020

DISCUSSION.

. Storm Chances, a Few Strong, Remain High This Afternoon and Evening .

. An East Swell and Larger than Normal Tidal Range Will Contribute to a Moderate Risk for Life-Threatening Rip Currents at East Central FL Beaches .

Current-Today . The morning KXMR sounding came in with a PWAT of 1.82 inches and a 500 mb temp of -6.6C. The 915 MHZ Cape wind profilers show a continued stout WNW (15 kts) flow above the surface. MSunny to PCloudy skies across ECFL early this morning. We start, yet, another day already warm/humid. Ye olde and weak quasi- stationary frontal boundary continues to lie across the Deep South as moisture surges along and out ahead of it over the region. Surface winds are generally light WRLY. Aloft, a weak and closed circulation exists over the north Gulf with associated trough axis extending eastward across north FL and out through the western Atlc. Weak surface ridging remains southward over the Fl Straits and southern Gulf.

The stationary front will move little as subtle, weak perturbations aloft traverse the FL peninsula in the westerly flow. Additional cooling aloft to -7C/-8C is forecast by computer models across the area. Deep layer moisture is forecast to increase into this afternoon with PWATs approaching 1.90-2.20 inches almost areawide, though highest north of the Treasure Coast. The deep westerly flow will spell an active/early start, again, to the WCSB pushing across the peninsula. The pressure gradient appears weak enough and it appears the ECSB will be able to develop and push inland slowly. Higher coverage and greater intensity in storms will favor the eastern peninsula and storm motion (twd ESE at 15-20 mph) will drive storms back to the coast. Yet, another oppressive day with heat/humidity, and highs topping out in the L-M90s. Heat indices generally 98-103 degrees.

Mesoscale models seem to be lagging again in timing (initiation) and we very well could see ISOLD-SCT showers/storms developing/affecting the I-4 corridor by late in the morning/early afternoon, and points further south shortly thereafter. Intensity and coverage (NMRS) will increase during the day and early evening as storms push into ECFL, especially surrounding larger late day boundary collisions. Storm impacts include heavy downpours leading to localized nuisance flooding of prone areas or locales that have received recent heavy rainfall, frequent cloud to ground lightning in a few storms, perhaps some small hail, and gusty winds locally of 45 to 55 mph.

Tonight . Scattered storms will be ongoing into the evening and then push out across the Atlantic waters during the late evening hours. After midnight, dry weather is expected, except for a slight shower chance for Lake County late. Lows will be in the L-M70s. Clouds will thin through the night and winds will become light.

AVIATION. VFR conditions outside of convection. Generally WRLY surface winds today, but winds will become onshore along the east coast this afternoon with ECSB formation and slow penetration inland. WCSB will, again, be dominant with early convection along it as it traverses the peninsula. Later day boundary collisions and storm steering flow will favor the eastern peninsula for NMRS convection. Vicinity wording and tempo groups already exist in TAFs, and will shore up timing as necessary. Could again see some late morning/early aftn storms across the I-4 corridor, and shortly thereafter further southward during the day. Storm motion twd the east-southeast at 15-20 kts. Torrential downpours, gusty winds, locally, in excess of 35 kts, frequent cloud to ground lightning in a few storms, and small hail all in play.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . Weak surface ridge axis continues well south of the local coastal waters. Weak frontal boundary across the Gulf Coast States will, again, draw deep moisture across the region. Offshore (light) winds will become onshore this afternoon with sea breeze formation and slow penetration inland due to an overall weaker pressure gradient. Expect the surface wind field to become distorted at times from offshore moving showers/storms. Seas 1-2 ft near shore and 2-3 ft well offshore.

Mariners will need to keep an eye to the sky westward, on inland lakes as well as the intracoastal/near shore Atlc waters. Keep in mind that outflow from storms can reach your location well ahead of any precipitation. Expect an early initiation to showers/storms today (esp Cape northward) as they progress towards the east- southeast at 15-20 kts and will be offshore moving. Winds/seas locally higher invof storms. Storm wind gusts in excess of 35 kts will be likely along with torrential downpours and frequent cloud to water lightning in a few storms, perhaps even some small hail. Also note, that lightning can strike greater than 10 miles away from the parent storm.

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

Sedlock/Negron


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 11 mi63 min 84°F1 ft
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 11 mi59 min E 8.9 G 12 86°F 84°F1014.4 hPa (-1.3)
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 28 mi49 min NNW 3.9 G 5.8 82°F 83°F1013.4 hPa77°F
SIPF1 28 mi59 min ENE 7 83°F 82°F1015 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 99 mi71 min SSE 13 G 16

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL1 mi2 hrsENE 810.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F74°F61%1015 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL10 mi66 minENE 710.00 miA Few Clouds89°F77°F68%1013.3 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL15 mi63 minNE 710.00 miPartly Cloudy89°F75°F64%1013.5 hPa
Titusville, FL21 mi71 minVar 57.00 miMostly Cloudy90°F75°F63%1013.9 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOF

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9NW6SE5S4SE7S6S6S6W3W6W9W8W8NW7W6SW6W7W8W5W6NW6N4E8E6
1 day agoSW7NW14CalmCalmCalmSE7S7S6SW7S8SW10W11SW8W9SW9SW7W7W8SW7W6W7W5S4E10
2 days agoSW9SW6NW15
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S3CalmS6S4S4S7S6SW7SW7SW7SW8SW8SW8SW8SW8SW5W10W8SW7W8SW10

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:35 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:25 AM EDT     3.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 01:50 PM EDT     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:10 PM EDT     4.04 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.60.10.10.51.32.33.23.63.63.12.21.10.2-0.5-0.7-0.30.61.72.83.743.93.22.3

Tide / Current Tables for Canova Beach, Florida
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Canova Beach
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:47 AM EDT     0.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 05:48 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 06:30 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 07:36 AM EDT     3.63 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:02 PM EDT     -0.70 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 08:13 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 08:21 PM EDT     3.98 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.200.41.22.133.53.63.22.31.30.3-0.4-0.7-0.40.31.42.63.53.93.93.32.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.