Monday, March8, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cocoa West, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:38AMSunset 6:28PM Monday March 8, 2021 10:18 AM EST (15:18 UTC) Moonrise 3:33AMMoonset 2:00PM Illumination 25% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 25 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 403 Am Est Mon Mar 8 2021
.small craft advisory in effect through 7 pm this evening...
Today..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tuesday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Wednesday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Thursday..East winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Friday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 403 Am Est Mon Mar 8 2021
Synopsis..High pressure over the southeast u.s. Will push offshore over the western atlantic with a trailing ridge axis north of the waters through the upcoming week. This will maintain a long fetch of east northeast winds over the local atlantic waters resulting in generally hazardous boating conditions.
Gulf stream hazards..Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots gusting to around 30 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Monday, march 8th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 13 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 8 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cocoa West, FL
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location: 28.36, -80.73     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 080906 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 405 AM EST Mon Mar 8 2021

DISCUSSION.

. Breezy With Dangerous Seas, Surf and Rip Currents Today .

. Increasing Fire Sensitivity This Afternoon .

Current . Massive high pressure ridge extends from eastern Canada into the GOMEX and FL early this morning. Breezy N to NNE surface winds continue along the ECFL coast, with sustained speeds 15-20mph gusting into the L-M30s along the barrier islands and 25-30mph over the mainland near the ICW. 3.9UM IR imagery shows an increasingly expansive marine SC deck starting to impinge on the coast from the Cape southward. The leading edge of the cloud deck has been eroding as it reaches the very dry continental air mass, however during the past few hours over the Atlantic, it has been transitioning from open cell to a mix of open/closed cell. This spells a little more early morning cloud cover for the Space/Treasure Coast Counties, so will likely need to tweak the sky grids the account for this. As one might expect in a north flow regime veering onshore, current temps show a large range, from the L40s over the far north interior to the U50s-L60s near the coast from the Cape southward.

Today-tonight . The large eastern NOAM high will expand east and elongate into the western Atlantic, causing winds to veer to NE today and ENE tonight. It will remain breezy along the coast today, but the gradient will very slowly start to relax late today into tonight. Skies will range from sunny-mostly sunny inland to partly sunny near the coast. As mentioned above, expect periods of mostly cloudy skies early for coastal areas. Max temps will reach L70s for all but the Volusia coast (U60s), with another night featuring a large temp spread . U40s for Lake/NW Volusia to L60s along coastal Martin/Saint Lucie.

Tuesday-Sunday . The upper-level trough that's been sitting over the western Atlantic over the past couple of days will finally push northeast away from the coast as the upper-level high located upstream builds. A meridional upper-level pattern will setup over CONUS as a strong ridge builds over the eastern half of the country. The breezy northeasterly winds will finally subside as the gradient loosens. A dry and quiet weather pattern will setup over FL as an upper-level high builds over the GOM with a surface high building over the western Atlantic. Easterly/northeasterly winds caused by the high over the western Atlantic will keep temperatures comfortable throughout the week with low humidity and dry conditions. Highs will gradually rise into the low-to-mid 70s throughout the first part of the workweek. Lows will drop down into the low-to-mid 50s across the typical cooler spots in the County Warning Area with lows into the upper 50s to mid 60s further south/southeast near the Treasure Coast.

A minor shortwave will attempt to move along the base of the upper- level ridge on Wednesday and into Thursday. However, models continue to show rain chances staying just south-southeast of the area off the coast of southeastern FL. Dry conditions will continue across the Space Coast through the rest of the week.

The high pressure center over the western Atlantic will continue to build and slowly retrograde southwest closer to the coast as the upper-level ridge builds through the weekend. Temperatures will gradually rise with highs reaching the low 80s by the end of the week and lows dipping down into the mid 50s to mid 60s. Winds will become more easterly-southeasterly by the weekend as the high gets closer to the Atlantic coast and positions itself slightly southeast of the area; this will help pump in warmer temperatures into the region, in addition to, higher dew-points. Highs will reach the mid- to-upper 80s over the weekend with lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

AVIATION. VFR. periods of BKN045-050 developing MLB-SUA, but should scatter out more by late morning or the afternoon. Gusty NE winds 040-050/15G25KT @TIX-SUA.

MARINE. Today-tonight . Gusty NNE winds will veer NE today and ENE tonight. Speeds of 20-25kt will slowly diminish to around 15-18kt for the Volusia-Brevard waters, but will remain at or near 20kt to the south. Coupled with a lengthening fetch, this will slow the decrease in seas from 7-10ft this morning, to 5-7ft late tonight. The inherited timing for scaling back the SCA form NW to SE beginning later this morning still looks solid. the only minor tweak will be to extend it for south of Sebastian Inlet, and well offshore Brevard County from 5 AM until noon on Tuesday.

Tuesday-Friday . Winds will trend downwards as the upper-level trough moves further away from the coast with high pressure building over the western Atlantic waters. Winds from the east-northeast will continue through most of the week from 15-20kts, gusting to around 25kts. Seas will gradually decrease to 3-6 feet across the Atlantic waters by Tuesday and continue through the week.

FIRE WEATHER. A fire sensitive day is ahead. While forecast wind speeds will be a little lower (13-15mph but still gusty at times) and minimum RH slightly higher (L-M30s far west interior), forecast ERC values have come up quite a bit since this past weekend. The net result is that both RH and winds will be very close to RFW thresholds, with supporting ERC values over the interior. Very high (90-100+) dispersion values are also being forecast, given the combination of strong transport winds through a deep mixed layer (4000-4500ft+).

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 67 52 72 55 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 70 52 75 54 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 70 57 73 57 / 10 10 10 0 VRB 71 57 73 57 / 10 10 10 0 LEE 70 49 75 53 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 70 52 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 72 54 75 55 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 71 57 74 57 / 10 10 10 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . High Surf Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Coastal Volusia-Indian River-Martin-Northern Brevard-Southern Brevard-St. Lucie.

AM . Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for Volusia- Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20- 60 nm.

Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM EST Tuesday for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm.



SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Cristaldi LONG TERM . Fehling


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 8 mi48 min NNE 8 G 13 63°F 66°F1031.8 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 11 mi22 min 65°F4 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 31 mi28 min NE 18 G 25 65°F 50°F
SIPF1 38 mi18 min 63°F 64°F1031 hPa (+3.0)
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 94 mi93 min NNE 12 58°F 1033 hPa41°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL11 mi22 minNE 1710.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F42°F44%1031.3 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL11 mi22 minNE 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy65°F45°F48%1031.1 hPa
Titusville, FL12 mi91 minNE 117.00 miMostly Cloudy66°F43°F43%1030.5 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL18 mi25 minNNE 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F44°F48%1030.8 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KCOF

Wind History from COF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoCalmN4SE9E5CalmNE12NE12N10N12
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2 days agoN6N6NE7NE7NE7NE8NE9NE6NE7NE6E4E4NE5N6N6N7N5NW7NW6NE4NE6E3NE3NE5

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:32 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:45 AM EST     4.10 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 10:07 AM EST     0.58 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:59 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 04:01 PM EST     3.07 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:27 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 09:56 PM EST     0.12 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.82.83.544.13.83.12.21.40.80.60.71.21.82.42.93.12.92.41.60.90.30.10.4

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida (2)
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:32 AM EST     Moonrise
Mon -- 03:39 AM EST     3.32 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:39 AM EST     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:54 AM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:59 PM EST     Moonset
Mon -- 03:50 PM EST     3.12 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:27 PM EST     Sunset
Mon -- 10:17 PM EST     -0.19 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.22.12.83.23.332.41.710.50.30.61.11.82.533.12.92.31.50.80.1-0.2-0.1

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