Saturday, December7, 2019
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cocoa, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.
6/2/2019. Many thanks to a user for reporting an error on one of the Edit pages. The switch to PHP 7.2 caused many pages that previously worked to quit working. I fixed many but I still depend on users to report ones I missed. Please report errors HERE or send an email to me at L-36.com. Allen

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:27PM Saturday December 7, 2019 7:42 PM EST (00:42 UTC) Moonrise 2:45PMMoonset 2:38AM Illumination 84% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 320 Pm Est Sat Dec 7 2019
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the late evening and overnight. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 5 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Sunday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters.
Monday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Monday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers.
Tuesday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Chance of showers.
Wednesday night..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet. Chance of showers.
Thursday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. Chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 320 Pm Est Sat Dec 7 2019
Synopsis..A high pressure ridge will build northeast of florida and the adjacent atlantic through late weekend and into early next week, leading to increasing winds and seas. Another cold front will cross the waters Wednesday with poor to hazardous conditions developing behind the front.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Saturday, december 7th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 24 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 17 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cocoa, FL
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location: 28.4, -80.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 072010 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 310 PM EST Sat Dec 7 2019

DISCUSSION.

Tonight-Sunday . Ridge will build southward along the eastern U.S. coast through late weekend, with areas of low pressure over the Gulf and east of the area weakening. This will veer low level winds from the northeast to east, with a slight increase in winds expected. The onshore flow will increase moisture and combine with a weak inverted trough approaching the east coast of FL to generate isolated to scattered showers over the waters.

This activity will push westward and onto the coast, mainly north of the Cape after midnight and into Sunday morning, with potential for additional isolated shower development inland into Saturday afternoon. Overall rain chances remain on the lower end (20-30%), with best potential for measurable rainfall along the coast of Volusia and northern Brevard counties. Lows tonight will range from the mid-upper 50s across much of the interior, and around 60 degrees along the coast. Highs on Sunday will reach the mid to upper 70s, about 5F degrees above average.

Sun Night-Mon . A large high pres ridge off the Mid Atlc/New England coasts extending into the FL Peninsula will merge with a smaller ridge over the GOMex Sun Night into Mon, forming a monster ridge that will span from the wrn GOMex, acrs S FL, and up the W Atlc past the Canadian Maritimes. As this ridge dvlps, it will shunt the inverted trof and its asscd moisture into the Carolinas while forcing H100-H70 mean winds to veer to the S/SW. These winds, in turn, will tap a relatively dry airmass over the NW Carib, pulling it into FL: fcst PWats arnd 1.0" and H100-H70 mean RH btwn 50-60pct.

Numerical MOS responds to this pattern with single digit PoPs over most of the CWA, except for slgt chc of coastal PoPs Mon Night. However, by that time, the H100-H70 mean flow will be either parallel to the FL Peninsula or blowing offshore, making it difficult for low-topped nocturnal marine shras to advect onshore. Even if they did, they would just barely brush the coast with negligible impact. Will go with a dry forecast for now.

The dvlpg southerly flow will generate a warm air advection pattern to start the work week, allowing temps to remain abv avg. Mon min temps mainly in the M-U60s east of I-95 and in the L-M60s to the west. Mon high temps in the U70s along the coast and in the L80s over the interior. Mon night low temps in the L60s along and north of I-4M . M/U60s to the south.

Tue-Fri . (prev disc) Warming trend continues for Tuesday with southerly flow remaining in place. An increase in moisture may be enough to warrant a few afternoon showers along the sea breezes, but with warm and dry air aloft will only mention a 20% chance in the forecast. Highs in the low to mid 80s.

Increasing rain chances from mid to late week as our next cold front is forecast to sweep through the area on Wednesday into Wednesday night. Today's model suite has trended a little slower and farther north on where the front stalls out but still across southern Florida. Models are also showing higher moisture behind the boundary so only 20-30% rain chances are advertised along and ahead of it.

The higher rain chances kick in Wednesday night into Thursday, especially along the coast, with breezy onshore flow developing as well as a coastal trough. By Friday, both the ECMWF and GFS are showing a low developing over the central Gulf of Mexico while the old frontal boundary lifts back north expanding the higher rain chances across much of the area. May need to introduce a slight thunder chance for Friday due to cooling and support aloft but will need more run to run continuity among the models.

Max temps mid-upper 70s on Wednesday with slightly cooler temps for late week. Lows generally upper 50s to low 50s for inland locations with coastal spots low to mid 60s.

AVIATION. Mainly VFR. Isolated to scattered showers will begin to develop and move into the coastal waters and onshore, mainly north of the Cape after midnight through Sunday morning. Tempo IFR/MVFR conditions will be possible with this activity, but for now will only mention VCSH at KDAB where best chance for rain exists.

MARINE. Tonight-Sunday . Ridge building down the eastern U.S. coast will increase NE winds up to 10-15 knots tonight, and then winds will veer to the east into Sunday, decreasing to 5-10 knots by the afternoon. Seas will gradually build, as NE swells contribute to wave heights up to 3-5 feet tomorrow.

Sun Night-Mon . Marginal boating conds continue as high pres build over the lcl Atlc waters, shunting an inverted trof into the Carolinas. Winds veering from a light to gentle E/SE breeze Sun evng to S/SE by daybreak Mon, bcmg gentle to moderate by sunset Mon. Persistent E/NE swell will enhance lcl wind waves with combined seas 3-4FT nearshore and 4-5FT offshore . dominant pds arnd 8sec. Slgt chc of shras late Mon Night into Tue.

Tue-Thu . (prev disc) Winds veer southerly and increase to around 15 knots on Tuesday and Tuesday night ahead of our next cold front that will move through the waters on Wednesday. Poor to hazardous boating conditions are forecast to develop behind the front Wednesday night into Thursday with NE winds increasing to 20-25 knots and combined seas building to 7 to 10 feet.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 60 75 62 78 / 20 30 0 10 MCO 60 78 59 81 / 10 20 0 10 MLB 62 78 66 79 / 20 20 0 10 VRB 61 78 67 79 / 20 20 0 0 LEE 58 78 59 81 / 10 20 0 10 SFB 59 78 60 81 / 20 20 0 10 ORL 62 78 60 81 / 10 20 0 10 FPR 60 78 67 79 / 20 20 0 0

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.



Short Term/Aviation . Weitlich Long Term/Impact WX . Bragaw


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi55 min N 2.9 G 2.9 64°F 69°F1022.7 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 20 mi43 min 70°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi43 min N 12 G 16 73°F 77°F1021.5 hPa (+1.0)58°F
SIPF1 45 mi58 min N 8.9 71°F 70°F1022 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 87 mi61 min ENE 1.9 G 2.9

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL10 mi57 minN 47.00 miPartly Cloudy70°F57°F64%1021.7 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL19 mi47 minN 410.00 miOvercast67°F58°F74%1021.3 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL20 mi2.8 hrsNNE 610.00 miFair71°F58°F63%1020.8 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL22 mi50 minNE 1010.00 miMostly Cloudy69°F53°F57%1021.6 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTIX

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalm------------------NW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN7N9NE9N9N6N4
1 day agoCalmCalm------------------NW4NW4CalmCalmN55SE6S5S5S5SE4S3S3
2 days ago----------------------W5W54NW7NW7N5NE5NE5N7NE7NE7N5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:51 AM EST     3.97 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:38 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 07:02 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:54 AM EST     3.94 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:18 PM EST     3.95 feet High Tide
Sat -- 02:44 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:26 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 07:24 PM EST     3.93 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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44444443.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.93.9

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:37 AM EST     Moonset
Sat -- 04:00 AM EST     3.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:01 AM EST     Sunrise
Sat -- 09:57 AM EST     0.77 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:43 PM EST     Moonrise
Sat -- 04:02 PM EST     3.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 05:25 PM EST     Sunset
Sat -- 10:09 PM EST     0.28 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.42.12.83.33.43.32.82.21.50.90.811.422.63.13.33.12.621.20.60.30.4

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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