Wednesday, April8, 2020
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cocoa, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
12/16/2019 NOAA is having trouble with requests that include wind gusts. I am posting graphs without wind gusts until it gets fixed.
10/9/2019 Updated the Marine Zones.
9/4/2019 Fixed the weather maps due to NOAA moving them.
7/25/2019 New feature in the Airports section gives a link to 5 minute updates for data reports.

Sunrise 7:03AMSunset 7:46PM Wednesday April 8, 2020 8:32 AM EDT (12:32 UTC) Moonrise 7:40PMMoonset 6:41AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 15 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 402 Am Edt Wed Apr 8 2020
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming then becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday..West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 4 feet with a dominant period 11 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Thursday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 20 to 25 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Rough on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms.
Friday night..North winds 10 to 15 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 4 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday..East winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers.
Saturday night..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Seas 3 to 5 feet.
Sunday..South winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. Slight chance of showers.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 402 Am Edt Wed Apr 8 2020
Synopsis..Long period swells will continue to gradually diminish over the local atlantic waters today, as the high pressure ridge axis shifts south of the local atlantic waters. This will produce a veering wind flow becoming west today and Thursday. A cold front is then forecast to cross the area Friday, with winds increasing out of the north to northwest.
Gulf stream hazards..Westerly winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots tonight. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Tuesday, april 7th. 42 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 29 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 22 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cocoa, FL
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location: 28.4, -80.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 080758 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 358 AM EDT Wed Apr 8 2020

DISCUSSION. . Near-Record High Temperatures Today and Tomorrow .

Today . Surface high pressure to the northeast of the Bahamas will slide to the south and east setting up the surface ridge axis just south of Florida. As a result light southerly to southwesterly flow will steadily veer to westerly through this morning.

The westerly winds will then increase to around 10 mph by late morning with gusts of 15-20 mph at times in the afternoon. Expectation is that the flow will at least delay the development of the east coast breeze until late afternoon and keep it pinned close to the coast or possibly be strong enough to prevent it altogether. Either way, it will be a very warm day across east central Florida with plentiful sunshine across most the area. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s to near 90 inland and upper 80s to low 90s toward the east coast, threatening some daily record high temperatures (see climate section below). Deeper moisture across northern areas may keep temperatures a degree or two "cooler" with a bit more cloud cover and also combined with daytime heating a few showers could develop this afternoon, mainly from Leesburg to Sanford and points northward.

Tonight . The pressure gradient will remain fairly tight supporting winds of 10-15 mph keeping the atmosphere mixed overnight. With dewpoints in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees it will be very mild with lows only falling into the upper 60s to low 70s.

Thu-Fri . The latter half of the week begins an unusually active synoptic pattern for the southeastern CONUS, with evolution of a split flow upstream. A subtropical jet will eject out of old Mexico during Thu, and approach the eastern Gulf Thu night. Increasing moisture and winds aloft will bring unsettled conditions to the northernmost areas, and a small chc of showers will unfold during the afternoon Thu and into Thu night mainly across areas north of metro Orlando. Early Fri, a cold front will press southward from N FL as a broad upr trough swings across the SE. Proximity of a notable ascent region of the earlier mentioned 100+kt jet, and suitable moisture will increase shower chcs areawide, along with a small chc of perhaps elevated thunder. expect a cooler day with highs only in the L70s N to L80s southernmost sections ahead of the front. Showers taper from W-E Fri night with post frontal lows on the cool side in the L50s N to L60s S.

Weekend . A cut-off low responsible for split flow pattern will eject out of the NM/TX region late Sat. Locally, the front which passed on Fri will return back to the north as a warm front, leaving a sfc boundary favorable for development of showers and a robust warm sector quickly evolves across the area by Sat night. A small chc of rain will be mentioned Sat with this feature as temperatures rebound to the L80s. During Sun, the ejecting low will contribute to additional height falls upstream across the Lower MS Valley to eastern Gulf and with deep moisture and presence of an approaching trough rain chcs will increase somewhat During Sun, along with a chc of storms.

Next week . Med range guid settles the trough feature across the peninsula early in the week, and a mentionable rain chc along with possibility of thunder will account with some uncertainty of effects of a sfc trough feature to the area. The forecast is lower than normal confidence past Sunday.

AVIATION. Still a slight chance for some MVFR stratus to impact MCO, LEE, ISM and also toward VRB and FPR this morning but otherwise VFR conditions today. Some uncertainty on whether the east coast sea breeze will reach the coastal terminals late this afternoon, but TAFs show a backing of the winds in the 20-21Z timeframe. Could also see a few showers develop this afternoon toward DAB, but chances too low to include. For overnight tonight/early Thursday morning, MVFR to possibly IFR stratus is looking likely after 06Z.

MARINE. Today . Southwesterly winds around 15 kt early will veer westerly through this morning with the ridge axis south of Florida. Expect a 10-15 kt breeze through early afternoon that will diminish and back to around 10 kt as the sea breeze tries to develop. Seas will run 2- 4 ft nearshore and 3-4 ft nearshore.

Tonight . Boating conditions will become poor as westerly winds increase to 15-20 kt (mainly offshore) with the pressure gradient tightening. Small craft should exercise caution. Forecast still favors the lower of the wave models due to the offshore flow with seas building slightly up to 5 ft well offshore.

Thu-Fri . Offshore flow trajectory Thu-Thu Night will limit effects on seas with seas around 3 ft near the coast and up to 5-6 ft well offshore. A cold front will surge across the waters on Fri, likely creating advisory conditions from N-S by afternoon. Winds and seas will also be subject to gusts from showers and a few storms.

Weekend . Expect a brief lull in winds Sat, with seas allowed to temporarily decrease. Sly gradient flow will re-develop Sunday ahead of next approaching feature. Headlines for wind may be required for a portion of the waters Sunday with seas in the 4-6 foot range and winds 15 to 20 kts.

CLIMATE. Record highs will be approached the next two afternoons at some locations across east central Florida.

Record Record Date High/Year Date High/Year DAB 8-Apr 92 1938 9-Apr 91 1999 LEE 8-Apr 91 1978 9-Apr 90 2015 SFB 8-Apr 92 2006 9-Apr 91 1999 MCO 8-Apr 93 1908 9-Apr 96 1908 MLB 8-Apr 91 2006 9-Apr 92 1999 VRB 8-Apr 91 2004 9-Apr 92 2018 FPR 8-Apr 91 1939 9-Apr 91 2018

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 88 69 90 67 / 20 10 20 20 MCO 90 71 88 71 / 10 10 10 10 MLB 90 71 90 71 / 10 0 10 10 VRB 90 71 91 70 / 10 0 10 10 LEE 87 72 86 67 / 10 10 20 20 SFB 90 72 88 69 / 10 10 10 10 ORL 90 72 88 69 / 10 10 10 10 FPR 90 70 91 70 / 10 0 10 10

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.



SHORT TERM/AVIATION . Combs LONG TERM . Pendergrast


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 17 mi44 min SSW 8 G 8.9 71°F 75°F1015.3 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 20 mi32 min 74°F2 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 39 mi32 min SW 12 G 14 74°F 76°F1015 hPa (+1.3)69°F
SIPF1 45 mi47 min SW 7 71°F 70°F1015 hPa
TSHF1 - 8726667 - East Bay Causeway, FL 87 mi50 min S 4.1 G 6

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Titusville, FL10 mi45 minN 07.00 miFair0°F0°F%1014.9 hPa
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL19 mi36 minWSW 510.00 miFair72°F68°F91%1014.5 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL20 mi96 minSW 910.00 miA Few Clouds71°F67°F87%1014.3 hPa
Orlando International Airport, FL22 mi39 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds70°F66°F90%1014.5 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KTIX

Wind History from TIX (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalm--SE4SE5SE5SE10SE10SE8SE10SE8SE7SE8SE7------------------S5Calm
1 day agoE3E4E11E11E11
G15
E10SE5E8E8E6E5E5E5------------------CalmCalm
2 days agoNW7NW7CalmCalmE12E12NE10E10E10E10NE5NE5NE5------------------E3E3

Tide / Current Tables for Titusville, Indian River, Florida
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Titusville
Click for Map
Wed -- 05:27 AM EDT     4.14 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 12:07 PM EDT     4.09 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:31 PM EDT     4.15 feet High Tide
Wed -- 07:45 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:39 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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4.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.14.1

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:30 AM EDT     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:39 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:40 AM EDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:43 PM EDT     -0.78 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:44 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 09:07 PM EDT     5.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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1.30.1-0.6-0.601.12.43.54.24.33.82.81.50.2-0.6-0.8-0.20.92.23.54.654.73.9

Weather Map
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wmap_A
GEOS Local Image of Southeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Melbourne, FL (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Melbourne, FL
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerous of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.