Thursday, July29, 2021
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Marine Weather and Tides
Cape Canaveral, FL

Version 3.4
NOTICE
3/30/2021 -- ANZ330 has been split into ANZ331 and ANZ332. Click EDIT in Marine Forecast and select your new zone.
1/26/2021 -- The West Coast Satellite images havd been updated. They now use GEOS-17.
1/1/2021 -- The 7 day forecast are now working well. Thank you NOAA for your support.

Sunrise 6:42AMSunset 8:16PM Thursday July 29, 2021 5:02 AM EDT (09:02 UTC) Moonrise 11:07PMMoonset 11:01AM Illumination 75% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 20 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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AMZ552 Volusia-brevard County Line To Sebastian Inlet 0-20 Nm- 351 Am Edt Thu Jul 29 2021
Today..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in the morning. Slight chance of Thunderstorms. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Tonight..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet with a dominant period 8 seconds. Mostly smooth on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of Thunderstorms in the evening. Slight chance of showers.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 knots becoming southeast in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Friday night..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Sunday night..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Chance of showers and Thunderstorms.
Monday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Showers and Thunderstorms likely.
AMZ500 Synopsis For Flagler Beach To Jupiter Inlet Out To 60 Nm- 351 Am Edt Thu Jul 29 2021
Synopsis..The atlantic high pressure ridge is forecast to build across the southern half of florida through late week. This will produce light south-southwest to west winds, and generally favorable conditions for small craft operation outside of showers and Thunderstorms. Showers and lightning storms will affect the intracoastal waterway and near shore atlantic waters each afternoon into the early evening hours.
Gulf stream hazards..None. The approximate location of the west wall of the gulf stream based on the real time ocean forecast system as of Wednesday, july 28th. 41 nautical miles east of ponce inlet. 28 nautical miles east of port canaveral. 23 nautical miles east of sebastian inlet. 15 nautical miles east of fort pierce inlet. 10 nautical miles east of saint lucie inlet.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cape Canaveral, FL
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location: 28.41, -80.6     debug


Area Discussion for - Melbourne, FL
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FXUS62 KMLB 290750 AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 350 AM EDT Thu Jul 29 2021

DISCUSSION.

. High Coverage of Showers and Thunderstorms Through Late Week .

. Peak Heat Indices 101-106F Next Few Afternoons .

Current . The Atlantic high pressure ridge axis remains surpressed across the southern peninsula. KMLB NEXRAD 88D shows isolated convective activity along the WCNTRL FL coast, but ECFL remains mostly dry. Temperatures/dewpoints in the 70s areawide. Skies are PCloudy and winds light/calm with conditions humid.

Today-Tonight . Light offshore flow will be replaced by ESE/SE winds along the coast by early afternoon with formation/slow penetration inland of the ECSB. Daytime heating and PWATs surging north of 2 inches will favor SCT-NMRS (50-60pct) showers/lightning storms again this afternoon/early evening. Temperatures aloft remain near seasonal (-5.5C to -6.5C at 500mb) with storm steering flow light/variable at 5 kts or less. While we could see some ISOLD-SCT convection around in the morning and early afternoon, the main show will be reserved from mid aftn thru early evening.

The west/east coast sea breezes will penetrate inland with the west coast counterpart quicker inland moving. We expect storms to pile up across the eastern peninsula again late in the day as coverage increases thru further boundary collisions. Primary storm threats include frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds up to around 40 mph, and torrential downpours leading to nuisance flooding. The slow motion of storms today may allow some areas to receive 1 to 3 inches in a short duration. This may cause localized flooding of roads and other poorly drained urban and low lying areas. Areas that receive daily heavy rainfall and local streams/rivers will also need to be monitored. Activity will diminish into mid-evening with a mostly quiet overnight expected.

Afternoon highs should reach the L90s most everywhere with a few M90s possible over the interior. Peak heat indices between 101 and 106 (late morning/early aftn) ahead of thickening clouds and precip. It will remain muggy overnight as lows settle in the M-U70s. Cloud debris will slowly thin in the evening and overnight.

There remains a Moderate risk of life-threatening rip currents at all Central Florida Atlantic beaches today. Remember to always swim at a life-guarded beach, and never enter the surf alone.

Fri-Sun . Subtropical ridge axis remains near to south of Lake Okeechobee through late week into the weekend, as a frontal boundary shifts southward through the southeast U.S. and remains north of FL. This will continue a low level W/SW flow that will gradually strengthen through the period. This offshore flow should remain weak enough for the east coast sea breeze to form, especially tomorrow and Saturday. The sea breeze will be able to shift slightly inland before late day boundary collisions enhance shower/storm activity across east central FL.

Models do show some drier air working in across northern portions of central FL, which may lower coverage slightly near to north of Orlando compared to farther south. However, scattered to numerous afternoon showers and storms still expected each day, with a few stronger storms possible. Weak steering flow will also elevate the threat of locally heavy rainfall and minor flooding issues.

It will remain very hot and humid through the period, with highs in the low to mid 90s and peak heat index values in the 101-106 range. Overnight lows will remain muggy in the mid-upper 70s.

Mon-Wed . Mid/Upper level trough across the eastern U.S. will keep ridge axis south of the area. This will continue to focus highest coverage of afternoon showers and storms toward the eastern side of the FL peninsula into next week. PoPs will therefore remain above normal in the 60-70 percent range each day, with highs in the low 90s each afternoon.

AVIATION. Another active setup for afternoon/early evening convection across ECFL today. Deep moisture, afternoon heating, and weak storm steering flow again headline the day. Light westerly flow early will give way to onshore winds at the coast by early afternoon with slow penetration inland of the ECSB. A late day collision of sea breezes/subsequent outflow boundaries will produce SCT-NMRS showers/storms across the eastern peninsula. Frequent lightning strikes, gusty winds and torrential downpours all in play. MVFR CIGs/VSBYs invof storms. "Vicinity"/"Tempo" wording/groups used as necessary. Storms diminish thru the evening with a mostly quiet overnight and light winds.

MARINE. Today-Tonight . Persistent easterly long period swell continues across the local waters. Generally favorable boating conditions are forecast to persist across the local waters outside of any shower/storm activity. Winds will generally be light and of an offshore component in the morning and again during the evening and overnight. In between during the afternoon, winds will transition to S/SE. Speeds generally 6-12 kts. Seas around 1-2 feet near the coast, with 3 feet possible well offshore. Winds/seas locally higher invof storms. The highest coverage of afternoon/early evening storms will focus along and west of I-95, though there will still be activity across the Intracoastal Waterway and very near shore Atlc waters. Cloud-to-water lightning strikes, torrential downpours, and a few wind gusts to 35 knots will be the main threats to mariners.

Fri-Mon . Subtropical ridge axis will remain south of the waters through the period. SW winds will generally range around 5-10 knots each morning, becoming S/SE into the afternoon/evening and increasing to 10-15 knots as the east coast sea breeze forms each day. Seas will range around 1-3 feet.

Scattered to numerous showers and storms will develop over land areas each afternoon. While steering flow will be weak, some of this activity will still be able to push offshore through late day producing gusty winds and frequent lightning strikes.

PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS. DAB 90 75 92 76 / 60 20 30 10 MCO 93 77 94 77 / 70 20 50 10 MLB 92 77 92 77 / 60 30 50 20 VRB 92 75 93 75 / 60 30 50 20 LEE 92 77 93 77 / 70 20 40 10 SFB 92 76 94 77 / 60 20 50 10 ORL 93 78 94 78 / 70 20 50 10 FPR 92 75 92 75 / 60 30 50 20

MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES. FL . None. AM . None.

SHORT TERM . Sedlock LONG TERM . Weitlich AVIATION . Sedlock


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TRDF1 - 8721604 - Trident Pier, FL 1 mi45 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 78°F 82°F1016.5 hPa
41113 - Cape Canaveral Nearshore, FL (143) 4 mi37 min 82°F1 ft
41009 - CANAVERAL 20 NM East of Cape Canaveral, FL 23 mi33 min W 5.8 G 7.8 80°F 85°F1014.9 hPa77°F
GTXF1 - Guana Tolomato Matanzas Reserve, FL 93 mi78 min W 1.9 74°F 1016 hPa74°F

Wind History for Trident Pier, FL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cocoa Beach, Cape Canaveral Air Force Station Skid Strip, FL4 mi67 minW 410.00 miFair76°F74°F93%1015.5 hPa
Cocoa - Patrick Air Force Base, FL12 mi67 minWSW 610.00 miFair78°F77°F99%1015.7 hPa
Melbourne International Airport, FL21 mi70 minWSW 310.00 miFair76°F74°F94%1015.4 hPa

Link to 5 minute data for KXMR

Wind History from XMR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW6W7W6W8W8W6W6W3E9E3SE7CalmSW4W4S3SW4W7W6SW4CalmSW5W4W4W4
1 day agoS4S5S5S4SW8W7W7S5SE9SE8SW6S7S6S6S8S9SW6W6W4W6S3SW6W6W6
2 days agoW5CalmCalmCalmS7--------------------------S7S7S4S4SW4SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Canaveral Harbor Entrance, Florida
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Canaveral Harbor Entrance
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Thu -- 12:06 AM EDT     3.83 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:30 AM EDT     0.21 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:40 PM EDT     3.57 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:49 PM EDT     0.57 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.83.73.12.31.40.70.30.30.61.32.233.53.63.22.61.91.20.70.60.81.42.12.9

Tide / Current Tables for Patrick Air Force Base, Florida
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Patrick Air Force Base
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:00 AM EDT     3.58 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:24 AM EDT     0.11 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:43 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 12:01 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 12:30 PM EDT     3.36 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:43 PM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.63.42.821.20.50.10.20.61.42.22.93.33.32.92.31.60.90.50.40.71.32.12.8

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NOTE: This section has been updated as of 1/26/2021. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may use the EDIT function to update your location.
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